Politcal Wagers

[flapjack]

Hey,

Thought I'd post this here - although maybe the off the wall forum would be more appropriate. My book currently has the following odds that look tempting to me to win the dem/rep nominations:

Clinton -110 - This was -200 before Iowa. Seems like maybe they are reading too much into Obama's Iowa win. She still has the inside track in a two horse race. I like the close to even odds on what should be the favorite.

Romney +400. Value bet.

Any thoughts? (No discussion on who and why you hate such and such candidate). Just looking for wagering throughts.

 

[bryanz]

I would be shocked if the American people put any republican in the WH.

 

[AR182]

flapjack...

i would not lay -110 on anybody...don't think there is value in that...

can you list all of the odds ?

thanks

 

[flapjack]

Maybe I was not clear. Those were to win each parties respective nominations, not the presidency. Here's all the odds

7:00 AM1 /08 /08PARTY TO WIN THE PRESIDENCY
# Money Line
1001 REPUBLICAN PARTY +165
1002 DEMOCRATIC PARTY -210
1003 ANY OTHER PARTY +1800

7:00 AM1 /08 /082008 NEW HAMPSHIRE PRIMARY -DEMOCRATIC WINNER
# Money Line
15965 BARACK OBAMA -165
15966 HILLARY CLINTON +135
15967 BILL RICHARDSON +1800
15968 JOHN EDWARDS +1500
15969 THE FIELD +3300

7:00 AM1 /08 /082008 NEW HAMPSHIRE PRIMARY -REPUBLIC WINNER
# Money Line
15971 MIKE HUCKABEE +285
15972 MITT ROMNEY +300
15973 RUDOLPH GIULIANI +600
15974 JOHN MCCAIN -325
15975 RON PAUL +1400
15976 THE FIELD +3300

7:10 AM1 /08 /082008 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION - DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATE
# Money Line
15951 HILLARY CLINTON -110
15952 BARACK OBAMA -120
15953 AL GORE +3300
15954 JOHN EDWARDS +1500
15955 BILL RICHARDSON +5000
15956 THE FIELD +3000

7:10 AM1 /08 /082008 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION - REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE
# Money Line
15956 RUDOLPH GIULIANI +260
15957 MITT ROMNEY +400
15958 RON PAUL +2000
15959 JOHN MCCAIN +185
15960 FRED THOMPSON +2500
15961 MIKE HUCKABEE +225
15962 THE FIELD +2500

 

[AR182]

thanks for listing the info...

this is just my opinion...

i like the republicans +165 only because of the odds & i don't think the dems are a lock.

i also like romney, mccain, & rudy at those odds...& since i think hillary will get the nomination i like hillary to win but again not crazy about laying -1.10...

good luck with what you decide..

 

[Toledo Prophet]

I am with AR on this one.....i have no idea who is going to win this sucker come November, might as well take the side with positive odds......since I am anti-republican, it would be a good way to, uh, hedge myself and make sure I still am a little happy come election day. :142smilie

But, how about taking a flier on +1800 for any other party.....micheal bloomberg, anyone!?!?!

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

What book is this- Flap jack?

Would think Hilliary a good bet @ -110
Real Clear politics which is consensus of all polls has Hilliary still almost doubling obama nationally.
44.6 to 24.4

Hate to tie money up for 11 months and already have small position that way but might take more---and hope I lose

which is possible as entrance polls show hilliary very weak in key areas--however believe that will be more revelant in pres election when she is forced to answer questions other than canned ones--
here are some interesting demographics on Iowa voting--
http://edition.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/epolls/#val=IADEM

 

[flapjack]

What book is this- Flap jack?

galaxysports.com