Possible Plays for Week 11

BigFatLooza

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Nov 1, 2006
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So far, I like:

Atl. +4
Vince Young played pretty well against Baltimore's D this past week so I'm assuming Vick can do just as well! Also, Atlanta's D is a little bit better than Tennessee's. I think Atlanta can win this game outright....they've got to be pretty pissed about their performance the past couple of weeks and should be very focused for this game.

UPDATE (11/16/06): Just saw the injury report. Way too many key injuries for the Falcons (DE Kerney OUT, DE Abraham OUT, CB Webster OUT, TE Crumpler QUESTIONABLE) . I will PASS on this game.

Minn +3.5
This play is based on my 'law of averages' theory (of course, I'm wrong most of the time but I'm going to go for it anyway). The Vikes are not only 0-3 the past three games but they are also 0-3 ATS as well. Basically what I'm saying is that I think they are 'due' for a win (at least, against the spread). Besides, they've beaten Washington and Seattle this season so they proved to me they can win on the road.

Indy -1
As long as the line doesn't go beyond Indy -2 I'll stick with the Colts.

Another game I'm considering: N.E. @ G.B.
At first, I liked G.B. +6 at home, but then I realized how well the Pats played on the road this year (4-0 on the road, 2-3 at home). What do you guys think about this game? At this point I'm leaning towards N.E.
 
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Mully

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Another game I'm considering: N.E. @ G.B.
At first, I liked G.B. +6 at home, but then I realized how well the Pats played on the road this year (4-0 on the road, 2-3 at home). What do you guys think about this game? At this point I'm leaning towards N.E.

I think these are two teams heading in opposite directions. Very hard to go on the road and win in the NFL. N.E. has made it look easy thus far and might be set up for a let down. When is the last time under Brady and the hooded one they lost 3 in a row?
 

BigFatLooza

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I think these are two teams heading in opposite directions. Very hard to go on the road and win in the NFL. N.E. has made it look easy thus far and might be set up for a let down. When is the last time under Brady and the hooded one they lost 3 in a row?

I usually prefer taking the home team getting points, but N.E. has blew out teams on the road this year (31-7 over Minn, 28-6 over Buff, 38-13 over Cincy). You're right about N.E. possibly being set up for a letdown on the road. 4-0 straight up and 4-0 ATS on the road this year and if I follow my own 'law of averages theory' this means I should go with G.B. instead. I guess this is one of those games that should be passed on. I swear, Vegas is so damn good at setting these lines.....
 
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