Potential Super Bowl Matchup and Spreads

[shbtopdog]

I am heading to my local book today and am Pondering a bet on the AFC to win the Super Bowl at
-143
I currently have a small play on the Chiefs at +750 made just prior
to the last regular season weekend, where they backed into the #2 seed (Thank you Miami)

I don?t really see a scenario where either Baltimore or KC aren?t at least a Fg favorite against any NFC team.
Now granted one of those 2 teams may not be the AFC representative it?s just not likely.
What do you guys think potential lines might be
KC vs Sf
KC vs GB
Balt vs Sf
Balt vs Gb

In the event Minnesota or Seattle were to make improbable runs that would make for great
hedging, middling opportunities

Any thoughts?

 

[Pound4Pound#1]

Gb to win it all :0008

 

[tball]

KC vs Sf
KC vs GB
Balt vs Sf
Balt vs Gb


Any thoughts?

kc -2 sf

kc -4 gb

balt -6 sf

balt -9 gb

:shrug:















:toast:

 

[shbtopdog]

Tball
Your lines seem reasonable, I do think KC would be-3 vs SF
was thinking Balt be a little less vs Sf because of their head to head in Balt
Maybe -4.5 opener??
Pound, if you like GB hopefully you grabbed to 10-1 that was available before last weeks play.
Be a total shocker to me, but you never know???

 

[tball]

Tball
Your lines seem reasonable, I do think KC would be-3 vs SF
was thinking Balt be a little less vs Sf because of their head to head in Balt
Maybe -4.5 opener??
Pound, if you like GB hopefully you grabbed to 10-1 that was available before last weeks play.
Be a total shocker to me, but you never know???

i hear you on SF, but personally I haven't been able to wholly buy into them this year, mind you, only having watched a handful of games (me on East Coast)... so my bias for sure baked into that line.

personally i think less than 6 is too low, but 4' sounds closer to what more like to happen

 

[Old School]

Sag #'s [rating]

KC -1.51 SF [28.13-26.62]


KC -2.93 GB [28.13-25.20]


BALT -2.81 SF [29.43-26.62]


BALT -4.23 GB [29.43-25.20]


Sag # recent performance

KC -1.48 SF [28.23-26.75]


KC -1.40 GB [28.23-26.83]


BALT -5.30 SF [32.05-26.75]


BALT -5.22 GB [32.05-26.83]​

 

[shbtopdog]

Thanks OS
I feel like those numbers seem on the low side.
I also feel like whoever wins the KC/Balt championship game (if indeed is the game)
Would get a bigger boost in their numbers and with majority of public money mostly spent on favorites in Super Bowls could explain a slightly bigger number.
At least I?m hoping for bigger numbers.😂
Thanks again for the info though.