Just seein' two lines currently:
fri 10/5 stl(Lohse)@Atl(Medlen)
+153/-163(6.5ov)
sat 10/6 cin(Cueto)@Sf(Cain)
+104/-110(6.5un)
No word on balt SP, yet (vs.Darvish announced).
It's likely Steve Johnson or lefty Saunders, both of which will need BP help and both of which will be major dogs in a matchup at Rangers Ballpark vs Yu.
Verlander vs whoevas at Comerica for that opener, what with the goofy playoff format this year (lower seeds starting at home for 2). Justin has been great at home this season and quite hot lately; I am hoping for a good line for Det for the opener (dream) but would settle for a decent series price (probably not to open and likely even less so pre-#2 barring an oiffensive offensvie performance by these cats in the opener).
I did an old system fuckaround and got 63% for a Braves win in the eliminator round. Need 62% on that -163 line to 'break-even' so pretty minimal value evident there. I heard one 'Vegas commentator' calling the Braves about a 2-1 favorite in this matchup and even then the 66.7% (666, really) only shows slightly more value. Early word is negligable (1mph) wind out to right field and sunny with no chance of rain. Lohse has performed great this year and the bullpen is solid, not to mention the pitcher's park scenario, so a runline option doesn't spark anything from my Musial seance. Medlen has limited work vs cards (5 relief app's) while Lohse has 1 meeting @ in '12 where he was not at his best but was going through one of his few rough stretches this season. Several current Braves have really attacked him, however, especially Chipper who has owns a 1.446 OPS vs in 13 ab's (not to mention 6 walks and 1 K, the former of which will continue in this game, methinks). I've grabbed a couple of P's w/some solid Sat.soccer for this one and certainly prefer it under to the other currently listed but 6.5 makes Mike a dull pass.
Same system showed me 55% on the G-Men (-110) which shows a +2 value indicator according to wikibuckets but I have an early lean with the reds visitation at +104 and you should trust these alleged system numbers even less than I do. (Very)Early weather reports suggests wind out to right-center at 12mph, partly cloudy with a 20% chance of percipitation. Under 6.5 with juice I couldn't play with your ex-wife's money. reds or pass for me, here, though Cain and a solid BP certainly give them a shot.
Yanks and Nats wait for some winners and a suspected Tex victory makes that series a little tougher to call then it might have been a month ago--if the Yanks are healthy then I would have no problem backing their O vs these Rangers but I think both BP's make overs (which will be high) more appealing than a trip to Syria to see what's really going on. Nats will play Atl, by my guess, starting Sunday, and the road start doesn't look particularly beneficiary and methinks they supremely need a Gio winning game or they will be pulling a Rays (from previosity, not from '12...injuries and some misconstrued SP's cost them '12, imo).
Braves on some parley shit and reds or pass G1.
That's the word and where I'm at, for now.
Enjoy the festivities.
<iframe width="420" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/c-QCFm9GIzQ" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>
fri 10/5 stl(Lohse)@Atl(Medlen)
+153/-163(6.5ov)
sat 10/6 cin(Cueto)@Sf(Cain)
+104/-110(6.5un)
No word on balt SP, yet (vs.Darvish announced).
It's likely Steve Johnson or lefty Saunders, both of which will need BP help and both of which will be major dogs in a matchup at Rangers Ballpark vs Yu.
Verlander vs whoevas at Comerica for that opener, what with the goofy playoff format this year (lower seeds starting at home for 2). Justin has been great at home this season and quite hot lately; I am hoping for a good line for Det for the opener (dream) but would settle for a decent series price (probably not to open and likely even less so pre-#2 barring an oiffensive offensvie performance by these cats in the opener).
I did an old system fuckaround and got 63% for a Braves win in the eliminator round. Need 62% on that -163 line to 'break-even' so pretty minimal value evident there. I heard one 'Vegas commentator' calling the Braves about a 2-1 favorite in this matchup and even then the 66.7% (666, really) only shows slightly more value. Early word is negligable (1mph) wind out to right field and sunny with no chance of rain. Lohse has performed great this year and the bullpen is solid, not to mention the pitcher's park scenario, so a runline option doesn't spark anything from my Musial seance. Medlen has limited work vs cards (5 relief app's) while Lohse has 1 meeting @ in '12 where he was not at his best but was going through one of his few rough stretches this season. Several current Braves have really attacked him, however, especially Chipper who has owns a 1.446 OPS vs in 13 ab's (not to mention 6 walks and 1 K, the former of which will continue in this game, methinks). I've grabbed a couple of P's w/some solid Sat.soccer for this one and certainly prefer it under to the other currently listed but 6.5 makes Mike a dull pass.
Same system showed me 55% on the G-Men (-110) which shows a +2 value indicator according to wikibuckets but I have an early lean with the reds visitation at +104 and you should trust these alleged system numbers even less than I do. (Very)Early weather reports suggests wind out to right-center at 12mph, partly cloudy with a 20% chance of percipitation. Under 6.5 with juice I couldn't play with your ex-wife's money. reds or pass for me, here, though Cain and a solid BP certainly give them a shot.
Yanks and Nats wait for some winners and a suspected Tex victory makes that series a little tougher to call then it might have been a month ago--if the Yanks are healthy then I would have no problem backing their O vs these Rangers but I think both BP's make overs (which will be high) more appealing than a trip to Syria to see what's really going on. Nats will play Atl, by my guess, starting Sunday, and the road start doesn't look particularly beneficiary and methinks they supremely need a Gio winning game or they will be pulling a Rays (from previosity, not from '12...injuries and some misconstrued SP's cost them '12, imo).
Braves on some parley shit and reds or pass G1.
That's the word and where I'm at, for now.
Enjoy the festivities.
<iframe width="420" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/c-QCFm9GIzQ" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>
