Predicted Scores vs. Vegas Lines - Nov. 7 - 9

[djchad]

[edit]
Took down the early numbers since the real ones are below.


Season record:

3-star 7-1-0 , 87.5%
2-star 14-7-1 , 66.7%
1-star 43-44-2, 49.4%

GLTA - Chad

 

[BuckWheat]

djchad

what site are you getting these projections--"Beck"?

 

[Joe De]

Don't mean to throw fly in the ointment....i show show La Tech by 5'....and i see posts moving on SJS...i'll do some more research..gl

 

[heleanth]

http://tbeck.freeshell.org/fb/predncaa.html

 

[BuckWheat]

Thanx heleanth

I'm familiar with the site, but I'm wondering where he's geeting his 2 star and 3 star predictions.

Hoping djchad will reply

 

[djchad]

buckwheat, please check my previous posts

 

[BuckWheat]

djchad

great research

I've been looking at that site for quite sometime, and couldn't find anything that was viable.

you've made a great observation, that I will be tracking

Thanx

 

[djchad]

Here are the numbers for this week.

34 of 38 services reporting. Avg std dev of 4.68.


<pre>

Favors Line Avg Pred Diff Std Dev Play
Air Force -18.00 -28.78 10.78 6.77 **
Alabama -21.50 -28.21 6.71 5.19 **
BC 3.00 -0.69 3.69 4.18 *
Buffalo 17.00 13.85 3.15 4.21 *
Colorado -4.00 -7.07 3.07 3.90 *
East Mich 23.00 16.90 6.10 9.16 **
Georgia -14.50 -19.36 4.86 3.90 *
Iowa -28.00 -32.16 4.16 6.32 *
Iowa St 12.50 8.11 4.39 6.39 *
Kansas 35.00 29.68 5.32 6.35 *
Miami -8.50 -11.81 3.31 3.57 *
Minnesota 6.50 3.69 2.81 2.77 -
New Mex St -1.50 -6.63 5.13 5.57 *
Notre Dame -28.00 -35.50 7.50 6.06 **
Ohio St -6.50 -14.93 8.43 7.03 **
Oklahoma -9.00 -19.94 10.94 6.10 **
Pitt -17.00 -20.99 3.99 5.52 *
SJ St 4.00 -3.09 7.09 3.35 ***
Sou Miss -6.50 -9.33 2.83 4.38 -
South Fla -15.00 -24.47 9.47 6.66 **
Tulsa 27.50 23.26 4.24 3.69 *
UNLV 10.50 4.13 6.37 4.99 **
USC -16.00 -19.56 3.56 4.67 *
UTEP 28.00 22.13 5.87 7.19 *
Va Tech -13.00 -19.24 6.24 6.31 **
Virginia 16.00 10.43 5.57 4.39 *
Wash St -5.00 -9.08 4.08 3.95 *



</pre>

 

[Joe De]

thx chad i see my UNLV is in the hunt for a winner....

 

[ND2002HORNS]

bump

 

[djchad]

Final results from this past weekend. I believe this is the first week that the 1-star games out performed the 2-star games. Overall 13-12 for the weekend.

<pre>

Favors Line Avg Pred Diff Std Dev Play Result Score
Air Force -18.00 -28.78 10.78 6.77 ** W 49-30
Alabama -21.50 -28.21 6.71 5.19 ** L 28-14
BC 3.00 -0.69 3.69 4.18 * L 14-24
Buffalo 17.00 13.85 3.15 4.21 * L 21-45
Colorado -4.00 -7.07 3.07 3.90 * W 42-35
East Mich 23.00 16.90 6.10 9.16 ** W 31-33
Georgia -14.50 -19.36 4.86 3.90 * L 31-17
Iowa -28.00 -32.16 4.16 6.32 * W 62-10
Iowa St 12.50 8.11 4.39 6.39 * L 7-58
Kansas 35.00 29.68 5.32 6.35 * W 7-45
Miami -8.50 -11.81 3.31 3.57 * W 26-3
Minnesota 6.50 3.69 2.81 2.77 - - 24-41
New Mex St -1.50 -6.63 5.13 5.57 * L 30-32
Notre Dame -28.00 -35.50 7.50 6.06 ** L 30-23
Ohio St -6.50 -14.93 8.43 7.03 ** L 10-6
Oklahoma -9.00 -19.94 10.94 6.10 ** L 26-30
Pitt -17.00 -20.99 3.99 5.52 * L 29-22
SJ St 4.00 -3.09 7.09 3.35 *** W 42-30
Sou Miss -6.50 -9.33 2.83 4.38 - - 20-13
South Fla -15.00 -24.47 9.47 6.66 ** L 31-28
Tulsa 27.50 23.26 4.24 3.69 * W 12-31
UNLV 10.50 4.13 6.37 4.99 ** L 17-28
USC -16.00 -19.56 3.56 4.67 * W 49-17
UTEP 28.00 22.13 5.87 7.19 * W 17-23
Va Tech -13.00 -19.24 6.24 6.31 ** L 42-50
Virginia 16.00 10.43 5.57 4.39 * L 14-35
Wash St -5.00 -9.08 4.08 3.95 * W 32-21



Week W L T %
*** 1 0 0 1.000
** 2 7 0 0.222
* 10 5 0 0.667


Season W L T %
*** 8 1 0 0.889
** 16 14 1 0.533
* 53 49 2 0.520


</pre>