preseason trend

[4bubba]

Aug 11

To late now of course, but I will try to remember for next year.

Points scored by last years playoff teams HOF and preweek 1:
SF 7
NYJ 16
PIT 6
BAL 12
OAK 6
GB 13
PHI 20
NE 19
STL 26
CHI 3
SF 14
MIA 10
T B 14
TOTAL POINTS=166 / 13 games = 12.8 points per team.

Points by last years non-playoff teams HOF and preweek 1:
WAS 38
HTN 17
GIA 34
JAX 13
ATL 23
CIN 24
BUF 17
DET 6
DAL 20
GIA 22
TEN 28
WAS 37
CAR 30
HTN 13
NO 10
DEN 27
CLE 27
MIN 15
KC 17
IND 28
SEA 10
ARI 24
SD 17
TOTAL POINTS = 497 / 23 GAMES = 21.6 POINTS PER TEAM.

On average, non-playoff teams scored 8.8 points more than playoff teams.

 

[Redfish]

Interesting observation 4bubba, does anything ever get by you??? Appreciate your efforts. GL!

 

[4bubba]

Aug 11

If this trend continues, the UNDER should be the play.

Of course it is even more important that:

1) MIA plays the Saints on THUR, only 3 days after TB.

2) TB plays at JAX on Fri, only 4 days after MIA (and they travel)

3) TB and MIA have been practicing against each other all week.

 

[tampa]

You need to run a trend on scores by new offensive coordinators/offensive minded head coaches in the pre-season. It might fit into your trend well, as usually you dont fire offensive coordinators or head coaches when you were in the playoffs last year. In this game however, both these teams have hired "offensive minded" saviors as head coaches. If given the opportunity, they will put 70 points on the board without worrying about silly things like running up the score. The disaster that could happen is, after selling this new "offensive" scheme to the team, telling them to buy into the system and it will work, to go out and score 6 points. I very much like the over in this game.
Tampa

 

[4bubba]

Aug 11

Tampa, you could be right.

I also was thinking that the Johnson & Johnson w/ King threesome all have NFL starting experience. I have not seen a rotation yet, but they should be able to move the ball.


Again, the worry is that both sets of coaches are not happy about the EXTREMELY short week and may just use this as a scrimmage. They have been together for over a week and may have already planned out what they will do together in this game.

 

[4bubba]

Aug 12

The game followed afterall. There also was a non-offensive TD which really showed that UNDER was the play.

The results lowered the playoff teams avg per game to 12.8 as edited in the original list.

l will try to remember this for the HOF and preweek 1 next year.

I am not sure if the trend will continue next week.

 

[4bubba]

Aug 12

A recap of this trend

HOF and preweek 1

last years playoff / non playoff teams:

playoff team vs playoff team

UNDER 3-0

non-playoff vs non-playoff

OVER 7-1