Projected lines/totals Monday

Fast Eddie

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Forum Member
Nov 16, 2006
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Here are today's numbers, projected total and 5 inning total are next to the home team. I added overall rating, last 5 outings and career for the pitchers below.

Away-- Los Angeles Angels John Lackey
Home-- San Francisco Giants Barry Zito -130 10.8 6.2

Notes:

** NSR Better Team San Francisco Giants
xx NSR Better Pitcher San Francisco Giants

Away-- Milwaukee Brewers Dave Bush -112
Home-- Cleveland Indians Carl Pavano 7.2 4.3

Notes:

** NSR Better Team Milwaukee Brewers
xx NSR Better Pitcher Milwaukee Brewers

My Pitcher ratings

John Lackey
30.1 Last 5

29.7 2009 Season

38.5 Career

Barry Zito
33.2 Last 5

36.3 2009 Season

38.1 Career

Dave Bush
29 Last 5

35.7 2009 Season

36.6 Career

Carl Pavano
38.6 Last 5

35.3 2009 Season

35.8 Career

Had a shit day posting plays now 1-7 (-6.5), numbers aren't that bad overall, I just can't post everyday. Still crappy posted plays none the less.

Playing today

SF +110
SF over 8.5 +100

1.5 units each

You'll see I'm going with the numbers in one game and a no play in the other even though they both look like plays. Here's a quick explanation.

If you look at my plays SF is at home, with the "better" overall and "better" last 5 pitcher. As far as taking the over, the projected number is higher and both pitchers recent form doesn't indicate a pitchers duel.

As far as the other game Mil/Clev, Bush is just slightly better overall, but has been the far worse pitcher of late. I don't trust him and that keeps me off the Brewers and the under.

Just a few thoughts on how I use the numbers. Yesterday was bad, hoping for a couple winners today.
 
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