my own series lines. Yeah yeah... a phantom.. that's me. Like every year, I worked pretty hard on this and here they are. No comments. Just the frickin' lines. Yeah I must be a bit frustrated to use the word "frickin'" - don't ask why; you don't wanna know. Anyways.. not important. But I'm still wondering why we had over 200 posts/replies in the Baseball forum yesterday and barely just a dozen here (excluding Mr Mo's PODs) when the playoffs are knocking at our doors... The NHL is in real bad shape folks.. And that's probably the main reason why it is so hard to make money betting on it: few people bet on it, so the "public opinion", which will boost some of the lines in the NFL, NBA or MLB, has less impact in the NHL. Ok - next: You can often find some tremendous values in series lines. Just like standard regular games, looking for valuable dogs is the best approach IMO. This is *once again* likely gonna be my last post until round 2:
New Jersey -550
MPO: (Most probable outcome): New Jersey in 5
So here... I'll pass on New Jersey unless I find something weird like -350 or better. I'll bet on Carolina if I can find +650 or better (I have some serious doubts about that). the reason why I won't bet if I find, let's say, Carolina +600 or New Jersey -450 is quite simple: I always let myself a certain margin of error. In other words, I don't trust my own lines at 100%. Quite normal. Just don't bet on everything... Look for strong values. Period.
No need to explain my betting strategy for the rest, here are the home-made lines:
Ottawa -230
MPO: Ottawa in 5
Washington -105
MPO: Pittsburgh in 6
*here don't forget about the fact that Super Mario could be injured during this serie. His back is always a problem. I have considered this factor and that's probably the main reason why Washington has a very slight advantage; that plus the home-ice advantage of course.
Philadelphia -120
MPO: Philadelphia in 7
Colorado -550
MPO: Colorado in 5
Detroit -250
MPO: Detroit in 5
*Might be interesting for LA here... I expect to see Detroit -400 or something around. Detroit has always been a "public" team and this often means great value for the other team.
Dallas -240
MPO: Dallas in 5
St-Louis -190
MPO: St-Louis in 7
Looking at the matchups, the more it goes, the more it stays the same. Colorado is playing Vancouver this year instead of Phoenix, while New Jersey is playing Carolina instead of the Panthers. As for the rest, we're now in 2001... right?
Good luck in the first round.
[This message has been edited by katts (edited 04-09-2001).]
New Jersey -550
MPO: (Most probable outcome): New Jersey in 5
So here... I'll pass on New Jersey unless I find something weird like -350 or better. I'll bet on Carolina if I can find +650 or better (I have some serious doubts about that). the reason why I won't bet if I find, let's say, Carolina +600 or New Jersey -450 is quite simple: I always let myself a certain margin of error. In other words, I don't trust my own lines at 100%. Quite normal. Just don't bet on everything... Look for strong values. Period.
No need to explain my betting strategy for the rest, here are the home-made lines:
Ottawa -230
MPO: Ottawa in 5
Washington -105
MPO: Pittsburgh in 6
*here don't forget about the fact that Super Mario could be injured during this serie. His back is always a problem. I have considered this factor and that's probably the main reason why Washington has a very slight advantage; that plus the home-ice advantage of course.
Philadelphia -120
MPO: Philadelphia in 7
Colorado -550
MPO: Colorado in 5
Detroit -250
MPO: Detroit in 5
*Might be interesting for LA here... I expect to see Detroit -400 or something around. Detroit has always been a "public" team and this often means great value for the other team.
Dallas -240
MPO: Dallas in 5
St-Louis -190
MPO: St-Louis in 7
Looking at the matchups, the more it goes, the more it stays the same. Colorado is playing Vancouver this year instead of Phoenix, while New Jersey is playing Carolina instead of the Panthers. As for the rest, we're now in 2001... right?
Good luck in the first round.
[This message has been edited by katts (edited 04-09-2001).]