PUBLIC FADES

[Dr. Fade]

We are at the point of the NCAA BB season when the oddsmakers have enough input that the posted lines should be pretty tight. So it is time to start fading the public plays. I will keep a record starting today. Today's plays are:

Nebraska +7
G. Tech -9.5
SD ST +3
Wyoming +3.5

I am shooting for 60% when all is said and done.
Good Luck

 

[ThrowinPicks]

Just a suggestion but, beware of the early money. Often times these early bets are folks that understand what theyre doing. It may be safer to determine this around 30 minutes or so before tip-off.

Gl with this method.

 

[Dr. Fade]

It would probably be better to wait a little bit, but the very late $$ is usually sharp action after they let the public bet the #'s up.

 

[ThrowinPicks]

It would probably be better to wait a little bit, but the very late $$ is usually sharp action after they let the public bet the #'s up.

This is also true.

One thing I've noticed is that when the public is hammering one side to the tune of 80% or higher and the number holds steady. The books are on the winning side more often than not.

 

[glasshalfempty]

With you on Georgia Tech, not drinking the kool-aid after NC State played the game of their life against NC.

 

[Dr. Fade]

Nebraska play gaining strength- I'm making Nebraska a 2x play. GL

 

[tpaine07]

Im actually on all of those plays tonight, lines just beg you to take the other side.

lets have a big night, i like your style.

 

[Dr. Fade]

3-2 on the night. Didn't see BYU/WYO game but 39 FT attempts for BYU on the road.? Wow. I'm glad I didn't watch that one.