Qatar Masters

[Stanley]

Round 1 play (2pts):

Thongchai Jaidee to beat Emiliano Grillo -120 @ 5Dimes
Big difference between these two which isn't reflected in the odds. Jaidee has finished ahead of Grillo in 30 of 38 common events and he has made the cut in 11 of 12 visits to Doha GC, whereas Grillo has finishes of mc-74th in his two previous visits to this course. Grillo has shown decent form in recent months, but he still ranks 131st in the World whereas Jaidee is inside the top-40 - that's too big a difference in these players for these odds.

[unofficial rd1 system plays: Fraser tb Ritzpatrick -120; Siem tb Wiesberger +100]

 

[lostinamerica]

Outrights:

Nicolas Colsaerts(40/1) e.w.
Ross Fisher(40/1) e.w.
Romain Wattel(70/1) e.w.
Steve Webster(80/1) e.w.
Thomas Aiken(80/1) e.w.
Niclas Fasth(300/1) e.w.

Tom Lewis(150/1) e.w. 1st Round Leader

GL

 

[kickserv]

Charl Schwartzel to win Commercial Bank Qatar Masters at 18-1 odds

Thorbjorn Olesen to win Commercial Bank Qatar Masters at 28-1 odds

 

[Stanley]

Round 2 play (2pts):

Stephen Gallacher to beat Rafa Cabrera-Bello +100 @ Bet365
I'll take these odds to back the #33 player in the World Ranking in an event such as this and with a dominant 10-5 h2h record in his favour over the last 15 events. Both players have good course histories at Doha GC, but Cabrera-Bello hasn't done particulary well when 2nd on the leaderboard after rd1 or rd2, so this is a good opportunity for Gallacher who is only two further shots back in 14th place after rd1.

 

[lostinamerica]

In-running:

Ernie Els(50/1)(1/4 for 1-2-3-4) e.w.

GL

 

[Stanley]

Round 4 play (2pts);

Thongchai Jaidee to beat Rafa Cabrera-Bello +100 @ Bet365
Opposing a player who tends to struggle in rd4 - the last time that he shot a sub-70 final round was back in 2014 and his last five rd4 scores have been: 80-73-84-72-75. Jaidee is much more consistent as you'd expect from a player ranked #33 in the World and has never had such problems in the final round even when eight shots back as he is this week.

[unofficial rd4 system plays: Carlsson M tb Hebert -111; Pepperell tb Grillo +100; Morrison tb Quiros +105; Lorenzo-Vera tb Hebert +100]

 

[kickserv]

4th Round Match-Up Parlay
--------------------------------------------------------
Henrik Stenson beat Tom Lewis
Stephen Gallacher beat Kiradech Aphibarnrat

odds = +120