Quicken Loans National

Another Steve

Put Pete In
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Jul 7, 2002
11,520
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63
67
Benbrook
Outrights

Outrights

ODDS TO WIN QUICKEN LOANS NATIONAL 2015 JUSTIN ROSE +885
ODDS TO WIN QUICKEN LOANS NATIONAL 2015 TONY FINAU +4020
ODDS TO WIN QUICKEN LOANS NATIONAL 2015 WILL WILCOX +4670
ODDS TO WIN QUICKEN LOANS NATIONAL 2015 STEWART CINK +6000
 

Another Steve

Put Pete In
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Jul 7, 2002
11,520
235
63
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Benbrook
Match Ups

Match Ups

Round 1 Match Up
T WOODS (RND 1) +150 (B HAAS (RND 1) vrs T WOODS (RND 1))

4 Round Match Ups
T FINAU +125 (T FINAU vrs B HAAS)
W WILCOX +130 (H ENGLISH vrs W WILCOX)
 

Stanley

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Jul 26, 1999
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Manchester, England
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Round 2 plays (2pts):

Retief Goosen to beat Michael Thompson -160 @ 5Dimes [also available @ Pinnacle and The Greek]
An unusual matchup between the player who tops the leaderboard and the player in last place. Thompson also warrants that last place position as he ranked last in greens in regulation yesterday. Already nine shots off the cut line, I can't see him finding the motivation or the game to challenge Goosen in today's round.

Russell Knox to beat Sean O'Hair -138 @ Paddy Power
Both tied in 43rd place, but Knox played much better than his opponent yesterday, ranking 8th in greens in regulation, whereas O'Hair was 73rd. Given that O'Hair has missed four of his last five cuts, he is another player who is not expected to significantly improve his game today so Knox, who has two top-10 finishes in his last four starts, warrants favouritism in this matchup.

Jeff Overton to beat Hudson Swafford -120 @ 5Dimes
A similar story in this matchup. Overton played well in rd1, finishing the day in 6th place and with only Goosen hitting more greens in regulation; Swafford finished the day in 27th place and ranked 44th in greens in regulation. Without a top-25 finish in his last eight starts, he is another who appears unlikely to play significantly better today.

Vijay Singh to beat K.J. Choi -125 @ 5Dimes
Singh ranked inside the top-10 for greens in regulation yesterday and, but for better play around the green, would have finished the day much higher than 43rd place. He has the form to do so today - he has finished inside the top-20 in two of his last five starts, whereas Choi has just one top-20 finish in the last 13 months.

Pat Perez to beat Patrick Rodgers -120 @ Paddy Power
Perez is inside the top-20 after rd1 and that has become a familiar position for PP recently: since the Tour left Florida in March, he had made the cut in every event and finished 26th or better in 8 out of the 10 events. Over that period, Perez holds a 6-0-1 h2h score over Rodgers over both 72 holes and in rd2 alone. In these respective forms, Perez should be a clear favourite for today's round.
 

LA Burns

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digging on 1 today:


Lingmerth with a nice 65 yesterday, and in his post round interview he noted that he and Jimmy Walker were feeding off of each other a bit (Walker shot a 63 in rd 2) - in contrast, Chappell mentioned that he was playing with a couple of guys who were grinding to make the cut and that he lost his rhythm a bit on the back 9 in round 2 where he carded a 68 - these 2 playing together in the penultimate group for round 3 so I look for this situation to even out a bit - additionally, Chappell hitting more fairways and greens than Lingmerth (and just about everybody else for that matter as he is t1 and t2 in those categories this week) so an advantage for Kevin in ball striking to this point


for rd 3, playing:


Chappell -115 vs Lingmerth



and as always, good luck no matter which golfers you choose


LA Burns
 

Stanley

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Round 4 plays (4pts unless stated):

Carl Pettersson to beat David Lingmerth +150 @ Ladbrokes [available generally]
Good odds to back Pettersson who is very good in the final round when inside the top-10: in the last 15 times that he has been in that position, he has shot a sub-par round 14 times and in the one time that he shot a level-par round, it was a Major - the 2012 PGA Championship. Together with hitting more greens in regulation than Lingmerth, he doesn't warrant these odds.

John Huh to beat Tiger Woods +175 @ Coral [available generally]
Opposing Tiger after his troubles yesterday. He certainly showed in rd1 and rd2 that he is capable of shooting a low score, but it is highly dependent on his driving and there has only been one round in which he has driven well. Now nine shots back, motivation may be a factor after such a poor round and that is confirmed by the fact that it was back in 2013 when he last broke 70 when 8+ shot behind the leader at the start of the final round. Huh has done that twice in the last month alone - 66 in rd4 of the Greenbrier Classic; 68 in the John Deere Classic.

Jason Bohn to beat Kevin Chappell -125 @ Paddy Power [also available @ SkyBet] [2pts]
Chappell is 0-for-1 when leading after 54 holes on the PGA Tour (2011 Children's Miracle Network Classic) and 0-for-2 when leading after 54 holes on the Web.com Tour (2010 Wayne Gretzky Classic; 2010 Cox Classic), so he is an easy player to oppose in this situation. Bohn has the form - top-15 finishes in his last two starts - to keep him in contention today.

Carl Pettersson to beat Charles Howell -111 @ Paddy Power [also available @ SkyBet] [2pts]
Backing Pettersson again and with good reason to oppose Howell. This is the first time since 2013 that Howell starts the final round inside the top-5 and he is without a top-30 finish in his last ten starts, so contention rust should be an issue.
 

LA Burns

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for rd 4, playing:


Lingmerth -125 vs Pettersson


not a fan of opposing one of Stanley's plays but on the younger Swede here - monitored him yesterday as I was lined up against him and he played tough, one bad shot and a double on 9 turned a potential 66 into a 68 - Lingmerth seems to be in a good place right now and at the tail end of a great summer, getting his first win in June and playing in the British a couple of weeks ago (pretty sure it was his 1st Open and his 1st time playing St Andrews) - then celebrating a birthday by going skydiving with his wife and now back in contention this week - I know if I had a couple of months like that I would be feeling pretty good and pretty free today - more of a play on Lingmerth than a play against Pettersson but Carl seemed to have wielded a really hot putter yesterday in his round of 64 so could be a slightly different story today if the flat stick cools off a bit - also think the course will play a bit tougher for Pettersson today than it did for his early tee time yesterday as it continues to dry out as the week moves on


as always, good luck


LA Burns
 

Another Steve

Put Pete In
Forum Member
Jul 7, 2002
11,520
235
63
67
Benbrook
4th Round Match Up

4th Round Match Up

T FINAU (RND 4) -125 (P PEREZ (RND 4) vrs T FINAU (RND 4))

ODDS TO WIN QUICKEN LOANS NATIONAL - UPDATED KEVIN CHAPPELL +520
 
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