RAS NCAA Hoops - 11/19/04

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RightAngle

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NCAA Hoops - 11/19/04

-- NEXT UPDATE will be out before 5:00am Pacific on SATURDAY, November 20.

RAS Official Plays 0-0 (Recommended as 1 or 2 UNIT plays)
*Three plays Friday:

Lines current as of 4:15am EST

Louisiana Tech vs Lafayette Under 141 (play to 138) - 3:30pm Pacific
Louisiana Tech games averaged 133.5 points per game last season. They have added JC transfer point guard Daevon Haskins to a lineup of four returning starters. Haskins is the first true point guard the Bulldogs have had in a while. La Tech features 6-9 super sophomore Paul Mislap who led the nation in rebounding as well as the WAC in blocked shots as a freshman. He has added 15 pounds in the offseason and should again be a major force. They have another big body in 6-9, 255 pound returning starter Wayne Powell. Both Powell and Mislap led the team in scoring in their two exhibitions. One thing the Bulldogs do not do is shoot well from long range. They ranked 9th in the WAC in 3-point shooting last year and in their two exhibitions shot 10 of 29 from behind the arc vs weak competition. They also do not appear very deep with only 7 players getting double digit minutes in final exhibition game. Clearly, this team will favor a half court style. After one exhibition game, head coach Keith Richard said, "We wanted to run motion and work the clock."

Lafayette games averaged 146 points per game last season which is why this line is somewhat high. In recent years Lafayette would jack up a lot of quick shots and live and die with it. However, head coach Jesse Evans has moved on to San Francisco and new head coach Robert Lee is going to employ a slightly more conservative approach demanding better shot selection and more focus on defense. The Ragin Cajuns also lost three double digit scorers to graduation including top two scorers, top two assist leaders, and top three 3-point shooters who were responsible for 200 of their 237 made 3-point field goals last year. Like Louisiana Tech, Lafayette has a major concern with 3-point shooting coming into the season. They shot just 3-of-21 from behind the arc in only exhibition game. Perhaps their best 3-point shooter, ETSU transfer Tiras Wade, had to sit out last year and may require some time to regain his rhythm. Only 119 points were scored in their exhibition game which is one of the lowest totals I have come across this year. Coach Lee has said the team will need to create some offense from its defense. Said one Lafayette player, "We sleep defense and wake up thinking about defense.?

The experimental rules used in early season tournaments are favoring low scoring games. The widened key makes it difficult to post up close to the basket and the extended 3-point line is lowering shooting percentages. This game features two instate rivals with high hopes for the season playing on a neutral court at LSU. La Tech went under 5 of 6 away from home and Lafayette went under 5 of 8 away from home last season. This game figures to be tightly contested with points coming at a premium.

Under 141 1 UNIT

Continued...
 

RightAngle

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Purdue at Miami Ohio -3 (play to -4) - 5:15pm Pacific
Miami returns four starters from an 18-11 team that led the MAC in scoring defense last year. They also were last in field goal percentage among MAC teams in league play but head coach Charlie Coles believes this team will be a much better shooting team. He also believes he has one of the deepest teams in the conference. Ten players saw double digit minutes in lone exhibition game. Senior guard Chet Mason and senior forward Danny Horace are poised for breakout years. Mason led the nation in rebounds by a guard last year with 7.9rpg. He is already an accomplished slasher and has worked diligently on his outside shooting in the offseason. Horace meanwhile served warning by pouring in a game high 32 points in the exhibition game. Two other starters return but junior guard William Hatcher has taken a starting spot away from one. He upgrades the point guard position which will allow Mason to focus on scoring more and former starter Hausfield to come off the bench as a 3-point specialist. A pair of sophomores, 6-9 center Monty St. Clair, and 6-6 Nathan Perry will round out the starting five. Both came on strong at the end of last year.

Purdue lost six key players from last years 17-14 season. They then were delivered a big blow when 6-5 junior guard David Teague went down with a hand injury a few weeks ago. He will be out until at least early December and the Boilermakers figure to take their lumps until then and maybe even after. Teague was the teams leading returning scorer, leading returning rebounder, one of their better ball handlers, one of their best defenders, and an experienced player on a team where such is not common. The weight of the team now falls on point guard Brandon McKnight, forward Matt Keifer, and JC transfer forward Landry. McKnight is not the type of player who is going to beat teams on his own. Kiefer, a 6-10 sophomore, is a very nice prospect and already a good player but still has a ways to go before becoming a go to type. Landry will help some but not enough. This team is very inexperienced and probably will struggle just as much on the defensive end as they do on offense. The newcomers were turnover prone in the exhibition games. It will not get any easier tonight. Even last years experienced team went just 4-8 on the road, and 1-3 in non-conference road games.

The Redhawks are very well coached and very difficult to beat at home. They are very sound defensively, have plenty of depth, and appear to be improved offensively overall from last year. This could be one of their better teams since Wally Szczerbiak departed. MAC teams rarely get the chance to host a team from the Big 10 and when they do it is a big deal. Boilermakers will have their hands full.

Miami Ohio -3 1 UNIT

Continued...
 

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Idaho +11.5 (play to +10) at Boise State - 7:15pm Pacific
The Big West is an underrated league and the Vandals had a great run last year. After starting the season 3-9 and 0-3 in conference they went on to finish 11-7 in their final 18 games, even giving Pacific a run for their money in Big West tournament Semifinal. Among the 7 losses, none were by more than 11.5, and six were by a combined 23 points (3.83 average). Four of those coming in close losses to league heavyweights Utah State and Pacific. Head coach Leonard Perry is going to end up at a major school at some point. He enters his 5th season here and the teams RPI has improved every year. The Vandals lost three good starters but have more returning players who have been in the system for a while than they have had recent years. Newcomer guards Tihon Johnson (JC transfer) and Jerod Haynes (freshman from Chicago area) are reportedly excellent. They will join returnees Tanoris Shepard and Dandrick Jones in a strong backcourt rotation. Idaho will most often play three guards with three seniors battling for time in the two frontcourt openings. All three saw significant minutes last year and Perry is very good at developing tough hard nosed players.

Boise State lost four good seniors from last years team, three of which were starters. They have two returning starters and three other returnees to mix in with a whopping 8 newcomers. Some are well regarded, but it will probably take some time for this team to find an identity. They have been downright embarrassing in two exhibition games this season. They were blown out by Albertson College 87-66 in opener and just squeaked by Northwest Nazarene University 73-67 in final tune-up a week ago.

Idaho dominated in their only exhibition game prompting coach Perry to say he was not surprised they played well because they have been playing well in practice everyday. He also commented how happy he was to finally have two good point guards. One thing Perry has not done yet is beat instate rival Boise. He is 0-6 in this series going into tonight's game. With seven returning lettermen and much stronger guard play, Idaho is much better equipped to perform well out of the gate this year. Expect a competitive game and chance at an outright upset. Take the points.

Idaho 1 UNIT

Continued...
 
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RightAngle

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RAS Added Looks 1-2 (Recommended as 1/2 UNIT plays)
*No play Friday.

RAS Added Info (Information purposes only)

Pepperdine - All conference forward Yakhouba Diawara (leading scorer, rebounder, best defender last year) was reportedly slowed by an ankle injury vs East Carolina but looked much healthier in following game vs Siena.

Gonzaga - Atheltic starting wing guard Errol Knight (hand) was injured in practice and is out indefinitely. JC transfer forward J.P. Batista has yet to be cleared to play by the NCAA.

UCSB - Starting guard Cecil Brown, starting forward/center Cameron Goettsche, reserve forward Chris Devine, and reserve forward David Kennedy are out for San Diego State game. Forward Glenn Turner (ankle) has missed both exhibition games and significant practice time but is expected to be available.

San Diego State - Starting point guard Wesley Stokes is ineligible at least for the fall semester.

Auburn - Senior guard Ronny Lemelle is out indefinitely with a knee injury. Head coach Lebo called him the best outside shooter on the team. His injury hurts an already depleted roster. New Auburn head coach Jeff Lebo is a Pennsylvania native and expects over 100 family and friends in attendance for Temple game.

Rhode Island - Starters and senior co-captains Dawan Robinson (back) and Jamaal Wise (knee) are expected to miss Friday vs Brown. Robinson led the team in scoring last year.

North Carolina - Star point guard Raymond Felton (one game suspension) will miss Friday's game vs Santa Clara.

All early season tournaments will play with the following experimental rules: Expanded key, block/charge circle similar to NBA, and the international 3-point line.

Good luck!


Cordially,

Edward
 

Bill

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Just wanted to thank you for the information you pass along and your contribution to this board. It is very helpful and I know it takes a lot of time.

:clap: :hail

Thanks,
Bill
 
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