Not sure how many look at these, but I found these on OLY... thoughts are appreciated as I'm trying to narrow down the list.
Florida St Over 11, -110
They have 13 games and I don't see them losing 3. I actually think 11-2 is right on so I wouldn't bet this one but if had to I'd take the over. I see one loss at Miami for sure and then one more from either @Maryland,@ Louisville, @NC State or FLA at Home. I think they will lose one of those for a 11-2 year but I could see them sweeping these before losing two of them so I will side with the over.
Michigan over 8.5, -190
Mich was tough last year and will be again. 7 back on 0 with the QB and 8 on a super tough D from last year. 12 games schedule and I don't see 4 L's on it. Some possible L's are Wash, @Illinois,Mich St,Wisc,@ Ohio St. To get 9 wins they need 2 of those 5 and I think they do it. Strong lean to the over.
Illinois over 7, +110
12 game slate but don't see a 6-6 here. Lost Kittner but still have the backfield and Brandon Llyod on the outside. Throw it up and he will get it. Tough games in @Southern Miss, Mich, @Penn st, @Wisky, and Ohio St. Even if they lose all 5 of those they push and I don't see that happening. Super strong lean to the over.
Washington St over 8.5, -135
12 game slate and return 9 guys from a stellar offense last year so they will be tough to stop. Also return 6 on D so have a nice base. Tough schedule in the pac 10 but I see a 9-3 season. Tough ones are @ohio st, USC,@Stan,@AZ,ORG,WASH,@UCLA. 7 tough games but I see them going 2-2 or 3-1 on the road and 2-1 at home. Decent lean to the over.
Washington over 8.5, +105
The huskies s/b very strong on O returning 8 starters and a solid QB. I like how the schedule sets up as well with 5 home games after their trip to michigan to start the year. The first four of the five should be cupcake games as it's SJS,Wyo,Ida and Cal. So even if they lose at Mich to start they year they will bounce back to at least a 4-1 mark and get the confidence back. The next game is at home as well vs AZ which should put them at 5-1 before a tough stretch and if they beat Mich that should lock up the 9 wins. Tough games are @Mich,@USC,@ASU,UCLA,Org St, @Org,@Wash St. I see ASU as a W and Org St as a W at home so then they only need 2 out of the final 5 and I see that happening. The over for a very very strong lean.
USC under 7.5, -150
USC does return 8 on O but they have a very tough schedule and were not that good last year. The non-conference schedule is not pretty with Auburn, @ Colorado (L) and @ K-St (L). Could be 0-3 going into conference play and then have conference road games at WSU,ORG,UCLA and Stanford. Probably 2 more losses at least and maybe 3 and they still have to play Wash at home. I see a best case for them at 7-5 so I have a strong lean to the under.
Colorado over 8.5, -140
Colorado was a strong squad last year... They return 7 on O and 8 on D and both K's so no reason not to think they will fight for the conference championship again. I see road blocks @UCLA,@Oklahoma,@Nebraska and home games vs Texas Tech and K-State. I see them losing at OKlahoma and possibly nebraska in a revenge game so then they will need 2 wins from the remaining three and I see that happening. Lean to the over.
Oregon under 9, -190
Don't see the ducks being the same w/o harrington. He was crucial to that team and will be missed. Only 5 back on O and 6 on D so lots of holes to fill. I see L's @Wash St and at home vs Wash so that is 2 L's already. They will drop at least one more if not two in the other 10 games. Dont have the hardest schedule as they start with 4 home games with Miss St,Fresno st,Idaho and Portland St but I just have a gut feeling they are over-rated this year. I see 9-3 at best, lean to the under.
Texas under 10, -115
Texas just seems to piss on themselves every year. I see 10-2 as the best they will do so I will take a chance they piss away one more for a 9-3 year. 8 back on O so will be tough to stop but only 5 on D so a little vulnerable. I see at least one loss coming from either @Nebraska or @K-St or at home vs Oklahoma. I also seeing them blowing one of the two vs the rivals, @ Texas Tech or vs. Texas A&M. I see 2 L's out of those 5 games and could see 3 L's before 4 W's so a slight lean to the under
Nebraska under 10.5, -200
The huskers have some shoes to fill with Crouch gone and only 5 back on O and 6 on D. They were not spectacular last year and alot of people are thinking this will be a rebuilding year. They have a 13 game slate with possible L's being @Penn St,@ Iowa St, @ Okl st, @Texas A&M, vs Texas,@K-St and vs Colorado. With alot of new players I see the huskers dropping a few they shouldn't and a 10-3 season ahead which is normally good but not for nebraska and not good enough for the over. Lean to the under.
Oklahoma over 10.5, +110
Only a 12 game schedule so not much breathing room on this one but I see them as being extremely tough. They return 9 on O and 7 on D from a championship caliber team. Granted they have some big holes to fill but from what I read they have the guys to step in and step up right away. They do have some tough games but I see them coming away with the W in most of them. I expect one L coming from either @Texas or vs Colorado. A split in those gets them the 11-1. Tough to go thru the season with only one L though so this is a small play on the over as there are other small stepping stones in TT,Ok St who always plays them tough and @A&M.
Georgia over 8.5, -140
The bulldogs should be tough this year retuning 8 on O. I see a very favorable schedule and a 9-3 record very possible and 10-2 wouldn't suprise me. They have the two toughest games at home with Tenn and Fla and I wouldn't be suprised to see those being their only two L's. @Bama will not be easy but I see them having the talent to get the job done. I also just have a gut feeling on these guys and sometimes that is better than all the numbers. Decent lean to the over.
Florida under 9.5, -200
Definitly going against the public opinion on this one but I am not seeing 10 wins. I think they will be good and Zook will fill in fine for spurrier but again they have a tough schedule and I don't see them getting thru it 10-2. I see L's vs Miami, @Tenn and @FSU. Even if they can get 1 of those they still have to get by @Georgia and vs LSU! I see them losing 3 of those 5 at least and no better than a 9-3 season. Pretty strong lean to the under.
LSU over 7.5, -175
Big shoes to fill here as well but a solid base of 6 and 6 back for the O and D from a solid team that steeped up huge to end the year last year. They have some tough games but a 8-4 season looks very reasonable. I see easy W's in The Citadel, Miami(OH),La Lafayette and @ Kentucky. That is 4 wins and then they only need 3 out of the last 8 and that is very very likely with home games vs Ole miss,Miss St and BAMA. They should get a W @ARK as well and could get on at Auburn or VT. Either way I see 8 wins in this schedule and have a strong lean on the over.
Miami over 10 wins, +115
Another tough pick here but with the number right on 10 I would side to the over. I think 10-2 is right on and 11-1 more likely than 9-3. Tough games @FLA,BC,FSU,@Tenn and VT but I see them getting 3 of those 5. Slight lean to the over.
Tennessee over 10, +125
Tennessee will be tough as usual and with their schedule I see 10 wins as very possible. The tougest games will be FLA,@GA,Bama and Miami. To get 10 they only need 2 of those and with 3 of them at home I see that very possible. 10-2 is probably right on but 11-1 is possible so a slight lean to the over.
Those are some quick write ups and I am running out of time so I couldn't do more but I will end with my favorite and top play.
My "MONSTER CFB O/U TOTAL OF THE DECADE" is:
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish UNDER 7.5 wins, -185
We all know ND has not been the same the last 5 or 10 years and things won't change this year. They just don't have the talent right now to compete and have lost some crucial players for various reasons from rape to acacemically ineligable to transfer to graduation. Losing Julius Jones will defintily hurt the irish. Another thing going aginst them is that first year coach Ty Willingham likes the wide open west coast offense but he can't run it here becuase he doesn't have the position players he needs for it. It will take him a few year to implement it and recruit the players he needs for it to be successful. So for now he will have to ease into it and that's not his style and will be tough to do. But even with all that the one main thing going against ND like it does every year is the strength of schedule! When you are re-building you usually want some cupcakes on the scheudle but looking at ND's schedule there are not many cupcakes. The only game ND should win for sure are @Air Force, @Navy and vs Rutgers. Even the AF game is no gurantee on the road with the goofy wishbone they run. So even if they get those 3, they still need 5 wins of the remaining 9 games to get to 8-4 and I don't see any way that happens with this team. The reamaining 9 are:
@#20 Maryland
vs Purdue
vs #10 Michigan
@ #18 Michigan St
vs Stanford
vs Pitt
@ #4 Florida St
vs Boston College
@ #19 USC
I see one win at most out of those road games and 3 at most out of the home games which leaves them at 7-5 for the year. I am giving them the benefit of the doubt on those as well. Personally and my guy feeling says that ND goes 2-7 in those 9 and 5-7 on the year which is WELL under the 8 wins they need and even if I'm wrong like I usually am, I have 2 games to give and still get the win. I could be wrong and ND could suprise but I don't see it happening so this will be my top play of the season!
Florida St Over 11, -110
They have 13 games and I don't see them losing 3. I actually think 11-2 is right on so I wouldn't bet this one but if had to I'd take the over. I see one loss at Miami for sure and then one more from either @Maryland,@ Louisville, @NC State or FLA at Home. I think they will lose one of those for a 11-2 year but I could see them sweeping these before losing two of them so I will side with the over.
Michigan over 8.5, -190
Mich was tough last year and will be again. 7 back on 0 with the QB and 8 on a super tough D from last year. 12 games schedule and I don't see 4 L's on it. Some possible L's are Wash, @Illinois,Mich St,Wisc,@ Ohio St. To get 9 wins they need 2 of those 5 and I think they do it. Strong lean to the over.
Illinois over 7, +110
12 game slate but don't see a 6-6 here. Lost Kittner but still have the backfield and Brandon Llyod on the outside. Throw it up and he will get it. Tough games in @Southern Miss, Mich, @Penn st, @Wisky, and Ohio St. Even if they lose all 5 of those they push and I don't see that happening. Super strong lean to the over.
Washington St over 8.5, -135
12 game slate and return 9 guys from a stellar offense last year so they will be tough to stop. Also return 6 on D so have a nice base. Tough schedule in the pac 10 but I see a 9-3 season. Tough ones are @ohio st, USC,@Stan,@AZ,ORG,WASH,@UCLA. 7 tough games but I see them going 2-2 or 3-1 on the road and 2-1 at home. Decent lean to the over.
Washington over 8.5, +105
The huskies s/b very strong on O returning 8 starters and a solid QB. I like how the schedule sets up as well with 5 home games after their trip to michigan to start the year. The first four of the five should be cupcake games as it's SJS,Wyo,Ida and Cal. So even if they lose at Mich to start they year they will bounce back to at least a 4-1 mark and get the confidence back. The next game is at home as well vs AZ which should put them at 5-1 before a tough stretch and if they beat Mich that should lock up the 9 wins. Tough games are @Mich,@USC,@ASU,UCLA,Org St, @Org,@Wash St. I see ASU as a W and Org St as a W at home so then they only need 2 out of the final 5 and I see that happening. The over for a very very strong lean.
USC under 7.5, -150
USC does return 8 on O but they have a very tough schedule and were not that good last year. The non-conference schedule is not pretty with Auburn, @ Colorado (L) and @ K-St (L). Could be 0-3 going into conference play and then have conference road games at WSU,ORG,UCLA and Stanford. Probably 2 more losses at least and maybe 3 and they still have to play Wash at home. I see a best case for them at 7-5 so I have a strong lean to the under.
Colorado over 8.5, -140
Colorado was a strong squad last year... They return 7 on O and 8 on D and both K's so no reason not to think they will fight for the conference championship again. I see road blocks @UCLA,@Oklahoma,@Nebraska and home games vs Texas Tech and K-State. I see them losing at OKlahoma and possibly nebraska in a revenge game so then they will need 2 wins from the remaining three and I see that happening. Lean to the over.
Oregon under 9, -190
Don't see the ducks being the same w/o harrington. He was crucial to that team and will be missed. Only 5 back on O and 6 on D so lots of holes to fill. I see L's @Wash St and at home vs Wash so that is 2 L's already. They will drop at least one more if not two in the other 10 games. Dont have the hardest schedule as they start with 4 home games with Miss St,Fresno st,Idaho and Portland St but I just have a gut feeling they are over-rated this year. I see 9-3 at best, lean to the under.
Texas under 10, -115
Texas just seems to piss on themselves every year. I see 10-2 as the best they will do so I will take a chance they piss away one more for a 9-3 year. 8 back on O so will be tough to stop but only 5 on D so a little vulnerable. I see at least one loss coming from either @Nebraska or @K-St or at home vs Oklahoma. I also seeing them blowing one of the two vs the rivals, @ Texas Tech or vs. Texas A&M. I see 2 L's out of those 5 games and could see 3 L's before 4 W's so a slight lean to the under
Nebraska under 10.5, -200
The huskers have some shoes to fill with Crouch gone and only 5 back on O and 6 on D. They were not spectacular last year and alot of people are thinking this will be a rebuilding year. They have a 13 game slate with possible L's being @Penn St,@ Iowa St, @ Okl st, @Texas A&M, vs Texas,@K-St and vs Colorado. With alot of new players I see the huskers dropping a few they shouldn't and a 10-3 season ahead which is normally good but not for nebraska and not good enough for the over. Lean to the under.
Oklahoma over 10.5, +110
Only a 12 game schedule so not much breathing room on this one but I see them as being extremely tough. They return 9 on O and 7 on D from a championship caliber team. Granted they have some big holes to fill but from what I read they have the guys to step in and step up right away. They do have some tough games but I see them coming away with the W in most of them. I expect one L coming from either @Texas or vs Colorado. A split in those gets them the 11-1. Tough to go thru the season with only one L though so this is a small play on the over as there are other small stepping stones in TT,Ok St who always plays them tough and @A&M.
Georgia over 8.5, -140
The bulldogs should be tough this year retuning 8 on O. I see a very favorable schedule and a 9-3 record very possible and 10-2 wouldn't suprise me. They have the two toughest games at home with Tenn and Fla and I wouldn't be suprised to see those being their only two L's. @Bama will not be easy but I see them having the talent to get the job done. I also just have a gut feeling on these guys and sometimes that is better than all the numbers. Decent lean to the over.
Florida under 9.5, -200
Definitly going against the public opinion on this one but I am not seeing 10 wins. I think they will be good and Zook will fill in fine for spurrier but again they have a tough schedule and I don't see them getting thru it 10-2. I see L's vs Miami, @Tenn and @FSU. Even if they can get 1 of those they still have to get by @Georgia and vs LSU! I see them losing 3 of those 5 at least and no better than a 9-3 season. Pretty strong lean to the under.
LSU over 7.5, -175
Big shoes to fill here as well but a solid base of 6 and 6 back for the O and D from a solid team that steeped up huge to end the year last year. They have some tough games but a 8-4 season looks very reasonable. I see easy W's in The Citadel, Miami(OH),La Lafayette and @ Kentucky. That is 4 wins and then they only need 3 out of the last 8 and that is very very likely with home games vs Ole miss,Miss St and BAMA. They should get a W @ARK as well and could get on at Auburn or VT. Either way I see 8 wins in this schedule and have a strong lean on the over.
Miami over 10 wins, +115
Another tough pick here but with the number right on 10 I would side to the over. I think 10-2 is right on and 11-1 more likely than 9-3. Tough games @FLA,BC,FSU,@Tenn and VT but I see them getting 3 of those 5. Slight lean to the over.
Tennessee over 10, +125
Tennessee will be tough as usual and with their schedule I see 10 wins as very possible. The tougest games will be FLA,@GA,Bama and Miami. To get 10 they only need 2 of those and with 3 of them at home I see that very possible. 10-2 is probably right on but 11-1 is possible so a slight lean to the over.
Those are some quick write ups and I am running out of time so I couldn't do more but I will end with my favorite and top play.
My "MONSTER CFB O/U TOTAL OF THE DECADE" is:
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish UNDER 7.5 wins, -185
We all know ND has not been the same the last 5 or 10 years and things won't change this year. They just don't have the talent right now to compete and have lost some crucial players for various reasons from rape to acacemically ineligable to transfer to graduation. Losing Julius Jones will defintily hurt the irish. Another thing going aginst them is that first year coach Ty Willingham likes the wide open west coast offense but he can't run it here becuase he doesn't have the position players he needs for it. It will take him a few year to implement it and recruit the players he needs for it to be successful. So for now he will have to ease into it and that's not his style and will be tough to do. But even with all that the one main thing going against ND like it does every year is the strength of schedule! When you are re-building you usually want some cupcakes on the scheudle but looking at ND's schedule there are not many cupcakes. The only game ND should win for sure are @Air Force, @Navy and vs Rutgers. Even the AF game is no gurantee on the road with the goofy wishbone they run. So even if they get those 3, they still need 5 wins of the remaining 9 games to get to 8-4 and I don't see any way that happens with this team. The reamaining 9 are:
@#20 Maryland
vs Purdue
vs #10 Michigan
@ #18 Michigan St
vs Stanford
vs Pitt
@ #4 Florida St
vs Boston College
@ #19 USC
I see one win at most out of those road games and 3 at most out of the home games which leaves them at 7-5 for the year. I am giving them the benefit of the doubt on those as well. Personally and my guy feeling says that ND goes 2-7 in those 9 and 5-7 on the year which is WELL under the 8 wins they need and even if I'm wrong like I usually am, I have 2 games to give and still get the win. I could be wrong and ND could suprise but I don't see it happening so this will be my top play of the season!
