Reno-Tahoe Open

[DOGS THAT BARK]

72 hole
tripp +110 over Pernice @ Sportingbet
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
believe Pernice may be non runner

 

[Stanley]

Outright plays (1 unit):

Tim Herron to win 25/1 e.w. @
BetInternet and BlueSq
Had struggled until last week - he had missed his last four cuts - but there were little signs of this as he entered last weekend in the top-5 on the PGA Championship leaderboard. He did falter to finish 14th, but he is a player who records high finishes in spells and this could be one of them. He did finish 12th and 7th on this course in 2000 and 2001 so he does know how to master this course and he will face far less daunting competition this week if he finds himself in the same position heading into the weekend.

Rod Pampling to win 25/1 e.w. @ BetDirect
Certainly one of the form players in this field with top-25 finishes in each of his last four events and an early leader in last week's PGA Championship. He finished in the top-20 last year and while he has struggled to win events when in contention, he shouldn't be too far from the leaders on Sunday.

Luke Donald to win 33/1 e.w. @ Coral
Donald has won on this Tour - the rain-shortened Southern Farm Bureau Classic last year - and has shown good form recently. He was 23rd last week and 3rd in the Scandinavian Masters two weeks beforehand. He can certainly win in this company and should certainly match his top-20 finish of last year.

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

Outright to place @ Skybet
Tway 7/1
Leads this field in top 5's per event
19 starts and 3 top 5's for break even place odds of 6.33 against MUCH stronger fields. I'll give him a look against this crew.

Plus not bad course form with 7th-cut-12th-6th last 4.

 

[smoothie]

. . .

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

Just checked Smootie and yes it was.

 

[milpalm]

I had Briny Baird pencilled in for this event but he is not playing.

My other picks are
Slocum 50/1, playing well at the moment.
Tway 33/1, very good record in this event.

 

[Whalers Rule]

Three outright picks each 1 unit e.w

Heath Slocum 40-1
Guy boros 80-1
Darron Stiles 125-1

 

[lostinamerica]

OUTRIGHTS:

Kevin Sutherland(33/1) for 0.50* e.w. @ Bet365

GL

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

Finals Tway 27th stat tallied in other PGA thread

 

[Stanley]

Final update: 2-1; +4.25 units

Herron 2nd
Pampling 3rd
Donald 36th

With two selections in the final group on Sunday, I was hoping to catch the winner and while they had the measure of the rest of the field, I didn't foresee a 63 from Triplett to steal the title. Disheartening, loss-making week overall as had nine selections in contention across four events heading into the final round, but ended with no winners and only three place wins. Better to be close than not at all, I suppose.

PGA Tour ytd
Matchups: 120-75; +30.80 units
18-holes: 101-108; -37.91 units
Outrights: 29-80; +69.37 units

All Tours ytd
Matchups: 307-214; +130.98 units
18-holes: 244-226; -9.57 units
Outrights: 75-265; +21.39 units