Outright plays (1 unit):
Chris Riley to win 14/1 e.w. @
UKBetting
Nothing too inspired this week; just the top-3 in my ratings available at odds above my own lines. Riley is a justifiable favourite for this event. In his last five events, he as secured three top-3 finishes, finished 14th in the International, which is also held at altitude, and finished 22nd in the British Open. His course form is solid, he was born locally and has finished top-15 in his last two home-state events. No need to add any more.
Charles Howell to win 16/1 e.w. @
Victor Chandler
After a difficult spring, Howell has put together an extended run of decent finishes. No top-10s since February, but on the fringes of contention more often than not and could have been more, but for a 3rd round 80 last week when only three shots off the lead after 36 holes. Finished 4th last year, having been the halfway leader, and looks a great player against this field.
Steve Flesch to win 25/1 e.w. @
Victor Chandler
Flesch completes a triumvirate of players who have yet to win on Tour, but for whom it is only a matter of time. Solid performances in the last two weeks - 10th and 17th - allied with excellent course - top-10 in the last two years and top-15 in the last four events in Nevada - should point to yet another high finish from Flesch. Less likely to win than the other two, but someone has to this week!
