RHP v RHP Week 8/17-8/23/2015

[kenman]

My #'s difference from database # because it use closing lines.

WEEK 7/27-8/2/15 +2035
WEEK 8/3-8/9/15 +675
WEEK 8/10-8/16/15 +2345
WEEK 8/17-8/23 ??

Taking the HF ML and RL in Right Hand Pitcher vs Right Hand Pitcher duel. (R v R) since ALLSTAR BREAK -- ML 88-43, RL 65-66

SU: 88-43 (1.35, 67.2%) avg line: -146.7 / 135.2 on / against: +$2,794 / -$3,257 ROI: +14.6% / -24.8%
RL: 65-66 (-0.15, 49.6%) avg line: 155.1 / -168.8 on / against: +$3,171 / -$4,004 ROI: +24.1% / -18.1%

http://sportsdatabase.com/mlb/query...STR++and+20150719<=date+&submit=++S+D+Q+L+!++

WK 8/17-8/23

http://sportsdatabase.com/mlb/query...20150817<=date<=20150823&submit=++S+D+Q+L+!++

R v. R, NL v. NL (conf.) are 41-17 after ALSTARS break. (game(s) will be in bold)

http://sportsdatabase.com/mlb/query...e=NL+and+o:conference=NL&submit=++S+D+Q+L+!++

MON 8/17

BAL -110
RL +180

NYY -160
RL +125

PIT -220
RL +100

STL -155
RL +145

SD -165
RL +135

 

[JMize]

Nice read Kenman

Going to play the RL using 1 of my Books all Week since the RL only has to win basically 50% and still Cash nicely

Any idea how this went prior to the Break? Gl rest of way

 

[kenman]

JMize, on the season it:

SU: 395-266 (0.64, 59.8%) avg line: -141.6 / 130.7 on / against: +$3,276 / -$6,016 ROI: +3.5% / -9.1%
RL: 273-388 (-0.85, 41.3%) avg line: 158.4 / -172.2 on / against: +$3,612 / -$7,548 ROI: +5.4% / -6.6%

Before the ALLSTAR BREAK

SU: 307-225 (0.45, 57.7%) avg line: -140.2 / 129.5 on / against: +$250 / -$2,547 ROI: +0.3% / -4.8%
RL: 208-324 (-1.04, 39.1%) avg line: 159.3 / -173.1 on / against: +$241 / -$3,344 ROI: +0.5% / -3.6%

 

[JMize]

Thanks Ken plugged in all on the RL....except for Baltimore its a borderline play right now

 

[Jord20]

Sorry if this has been explained already...

Is there any rationale to this system? Or just something you noticed was winning?

Thanks ken

 

[kenman]

Sorry if this has been explained already...

Is there any rationale to this system? Or just something you noticed was winning?

Thanks ken

Jord, no rational at all... Just noticed it was winning at a reasonable rate before ASB, so I decided to ride it and still producing winner every week.

One might call it seasonal trend I guess. Thanks and GL

 

[kenman]

Thanks Ken plugged in all on the RL....except for Baltimore its a borderline play right now

Yeah that BAL is still on the borderline for me too... Hard enough to beat a team three straight, but 4, especially when you rack up 19 runs on them prev. Night.

GL.

 

[JMize]

Been tracking another System and it Shows Baltimore as well on it

 

[jng]

Sorry if this has been explained already...

Is there any rationale to this system? Or just something you noticed was winning?

Thanks ken

As I mentioned a week or so ago, right-handed people and therefore RHPs are easy to find. Therefore, a RHP might need better stuff, greater velocity, more control, than a LHP. Lines, for better or worse, are mostly predicated on relative pitching skills between the two starters. All other factors like hitting, fielding, BP are smaller parts of both the linesmakers' numbers and the public's perception.

A home favorite, later in the season, RHP v RHP may actually be a stronger "favorite" to win than the line reflects.

Jord, Kenman, others, I'm well aware that the above is partly junk, but, you know what I mean?

 

[Jord20]

As I mentioned a week or so ago, right-handed people and therefore RHPs are easy to find. Therefore, a RHP might need better stuff, greater velocity, more control, than a LHP. Lines, for better or worse, are mostly predicated on relative pitching skills between the two starters. All other factors like hitting, fielding, BP are smaller parts of both the linesmakers' numbers and the public's perception.

A home favorite, later in the season, RHP v RHP may actually be a stronger "favorite" to win than the line reflects.

Jord, Kenman, others, I'm well aware that the above is partly junk, but, you know what I mean?

I can definitely partially buy into that theory.

Ken - was there historical data on this trend?

 

[WildBillPicks7]

GL tonight and this wk, Ken!

I really like Boston tonight although they don't fall into the RH v RH hm fav route.


:0074

 

[kenman]

I can definitely partially buy into that theory.

Ken - was there historical data on this trend?

Jord, the database I use to get any historical data on this trend only go back to 2004

http://sportsdatabase.com/mlb/query...d+HF+and+STR+and+o:STR++&submit=++S+D+Q+L+!++

you can click on the year to the right column and it show you how it did for that year On/Against for ML and RL.

 

[JMize]

I passed on the Baltimore play line too close to pick....sure enough there up 3-1 and qualified on a System i been tracking :facepalm:

 

[kenman]

I hear you JMIZE, the one best qualified to win(PIT) base on line end up getting wacked, and the one with less of a chance(BAL) end up get the ML and RL

:facepalm::facepalm:

 

[JMize]

I hear you JMIZE, the one best qualified to win(PIT) base on line end up getting wacked, and the one with less of a chance(BAL) end up get the ML and RL

:facepalm::facepalm:

Lol yeah and i said another System i have had Baltimore. ...wish i pulled the trigger....but the line bothered me...oh well hoping to get 2 of the 4....Cards have had there chances to blow it wide open

 

[kenman]

MON 8/10 ML 4-1 +180 RL 2-3 +15 == NLvNL ML 2-1 RL 1-2

TUE 8/18

HOU -120
RL +170

STL -150
RL +145

CHC -150
RL +135

SD -180
RL +125

 

[Bear Tracks]

Good stuff here, fellas. I apologize if I missed it somewhere in the thread but does it call for placing the same amount/units on both the RL & ML? Thanks.

 

[kenman]

Good stuff here, fellas. I apologize if I missed it somewhere in the thread but does it call for placing the same amount/units on both the RL & ML? Thanks.

for easy record tracking purpose ... same amount/units is use for both ML and RL

GL

 

[kenman]

MON 8/17 ML 4-1 +180 RL 2-3 +15
TUE 8/18 ML 2-2 -100 RL 1-3 -175

WED 8/19

NYY -180
RL +105

MIL -145
RL +145

SD -160
RL +135

BAL-125
RL+165

LAA -130
RL+160

Bets all games ML & RL equal amount.

 

[WildBillPicks7]

Could be some runs in that ATL/SD game today Ken. GL!

:0074