runline splits from 2009

[EXTRAPOLATER]

2009 RL..HW...by2+...%....HRL%...AW...by2+...%....ARL%...HL...by2+...%....HRLL...AL...by2+...%....ARLL
Ariz.........36.....25...69.4...30.9.....34...25...73.5...30.9.....45...36...80.0...44.4...47...29...61.7...35.8
Atl..........40.....25...62.5...30.9.....46...34...73.9...42.0.....41...30...73.2...37.0...35...21...60.0...25.9
Chi.NL.......46.....38...82.6...47.5.....37...29...78.4...35.8.....34...29...85.3...36.2...44...27...61.4...33.3
Cin..........40.....28...70.0...34.6.....38...31...81.6...38.3.....41...29...70.7...35.8...43...35...81.4...43.2
Col..........51.....35...68.6...43.2.....41...34...82.9...42.0.....30...21...70.0...25.9...40...29...72.5...35.8
Flor.........43.....26...60.5...32.1.....44...31...70.4...38.3.....38...30...78.9...37.0...37...25...67.6...30.9
Hou..........44.....24...54.5...29.6.....30...26...86.7...32.1.....37...27...73.0...33.3...51...38...74.5...46.9
LAD..........50.....30...60.0...37.0.....45...37...82.2...45.7.....31...23...74.2...28.4...36...22...61.1...27.2
Mil..........40.....27...67.5...33.3.....40...33...82.5...40.7.....41...28...68.3...34.6...41...31...75.6...38.3
NYM..........41.....29...70.7...35.8.....29...22...75.9...27.2.....40...30...75.0...37.0...52...38...73.1...46.9
Phil.........45.....32...71.1...39.5.....48...37...77.1...45.7.....36...28...77.8...34.6...33...20...60.6...24.7
Pit..........40.....32...80.0...39.5.....22...18...81.8...22.5.....41...33...80.5...40.7...58...44...75.9...55.0
SD...........42.....30...71.4...37.0.....33...22...66.7...27.2.....39...34...87.2...42.0...48...35...72.9...43.2
SF...........52.....40...76.9...49.4.....36...27...75.0...33.3.....29...25...86.2...30.9...45...27...60.0...33.3
Stl..........46.....31...67.4...38.3.....45...36...80.0...44.4.....35...26...74.3...32.1...36...24...66.7...29.6
Wash.........33.....19...57.6...23.4.....26...18...69.2...22.2.....48...36...75.0...44.4...55...43...78.2...53.1
Balt.........39.....31...79.5...38.3.....25...16...64.0...19.7.....42...35...83.3...43.2...56...41...73.2...50.6
Bost.........56.....42...75.0...51.8.....39...31...79.5...38.3.....25...17...68.0...21.0...42...33...78.6...40.7
Chi.AL.......43.....31...72.1...38.3.....36...29...80.5...35.8.....38...27...71.0...33.3...45...29...64.4...35.8
Clev.........35.....25...71.4...30.9.....30...21...70.0...25.9.....46...37...80.4...45.7...51...39...76.5...48.1
Det..........51.....33...64.7...40.7.....35...25...71.4...30.5.....30...21...70.0...25.9...47...34...72.3...41.5
KC...........33.....31...93.9...38.3.....32...18...56.2...22.2.....48...36...75.0...44.4...49...36...73.5...44.4
LAA..........49.....34...69.4...42.0.....48...36...75.0...44.4.....32...24...75.0...29.6...33...23...69.7...28.4
Min..........49.....33...67.3...40.2.....38...30...78.9...37.0.....33...28...84.8...34.1...43...28...65.1...34.6
NYY..........57.....41...71.9...50.6.....46...40...86.9...49.4.....24...17...70.8...21.0...35...26...74.3...32.1
Oak..........40.....31...77.5...38.3.....35...29...82.8...35.8.....41...28...68.3...34.6...46...36...78.3...44.4
Seat.........48.....25...52.1...30.9.....37...25...67.5...30.9.....33...28...84.8...34.6...44...29...65.9...35.8
TB...........52.....39...75.0...48.1.....32...25...78.1...30.9.....29...20...69.0...24.7...49...33...67.3...40.7
Tex..........48.....39...81.2...48.1.....39...29...74.3...35.8.....33...28...84.8...34.6...42...29...69.0...35.8
Tor..........44.....30...68.2...37.0.....31...24...77.4...29.6.....37...27...73.0...33.3...50...32...64.0...39.5


Likely won't line up, again, but left to right it's
Home wins
Home wins by 2+
% of Home wins covering -1.5
% of Home games covering -1.5
away wins
away wins by 2+
% of away wins covering -1.5
% of away games covering -1.5
...then the reverse...
Home losses
Home losses by 2+
% of Home losses spanked -1.5
% of Home games spanked -1.5
away losses
away losses by 2+
% of away losses that were -1.5
% of away games spanked at -1.5 (ARLL)


Hopefully that makes some sense.
Some interesting results, such as of the Royals 33 wins at home...31 were by 2+. Surprising considering they had a solid closer in Soria and unlikely to be duplicated in '10.

Might or might not be useful to those that pursue runlines.
Show road RL's--as expected--a bit healthier.
Hopefully lines up better than expected.

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

fuck it...I might try to re-align it tomorrow.

I'm either crashing or hitting battertown for some smokes.

 

[BrandonLangsMom]

Very interesting information.......

Without going back and taking a look at the moment, I see that the two highest home RL %'s were with the Royals (as you mentioned) and the Pirates. The thing about that is that (again without doing the research just yet) I would think that between 1/3 and 1/2 of each of those games they were the dog, so there really wouldn't be any value on them, unless you were crazy enough to play the alternate RL's some books offer

I am going to go back and take a look to see how many of those games they were favored. Even when they were favored it wouldn't have been by much which would make the payback on the RL huge.

Thanks for getting my brain going just a couple days short of Opening Day!