Nemo, I have alway's used a formula of yard's per rush average. I look for a team that average's more than 3 yard's per carry, vs. a team that allow's 3 yard's per carry. It is a solid formula. Of course, you do need to look at the opponet's each team has faced. What I mean is,if one team struggled running the ball vs. Oklahoma,and the other ran all over Tulsa,well,factor that in. it really pay's greater dividend's when conference play start's. I hope that helps.