Russian Open

lostinamerica

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Oct 10, 2001
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Between Green Bay and Iowa City
I'd be worried if every week I didn't have at least a play or two percolating in my head for the following week by the time the final putts have been holed on Sunday. As Thursday approaches it's not unusual to have cooled on some of the prospects, while any of those keen prospects that have given off nothing but positive vibes right up to the off on Thursday simply dominate my results in terms of actual strike rate and/or just worthy efforts, vis-a-vis my other sources of plays that fill out a card covering all events of about 8-15 plays per week (i.e., proverbial value losers, tailing, quality research, process of elimination, a hunch, prior notes, tripping over a nugget, the list goes on) . . . And while being greeted with a sweet price on Monday (or in my case sweating until Wednesday at the greek and 5dimes) is always exciting, it would be fair to say that in about 98.5% of those "Sunday night" instances, the odds won't cause a moment of hesitation (in fact, I'll claim to sometimes risking a bit more when I'm disappointed in the odds in order to get a bigger payoff if my suspicions prove correct) . . . You've got to trust your stuff, or you'll be beating yourself up.

Peter Lawrie(40/1), Laura Davies(50/1), Rich Beem(100/1), Kenny Perry(66/1), Ben Crenshaw(?), and Stewart Cink(50/1), in about that order, were where I was at on Sunday night. The unusual thing for this week was having a name in mind for every event . . . It only takes one.

GL
 

Stanley

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Jul 26, 1999
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Manchester, England
www.tour-tips.com
Outright plays (total stake per play: 1pt)

Steve Webster to win 16/1 e.w. available generally
There is always a big question mark over the motivation of the more established Tour players when it comes to events like these - minor Tour events with plenty of European Challenge Tour players while the Tour's best players are playing in a bigger event overseas - but that should not be the case with Webster. There has been a dramatic turnaround in his game (and presumably focus) since the death of his mother two months ago and he has finished in the top-10 in his last two events against strong fields. Motivation will clearly not be an issue here and it would a fitting dedication to his mother if he were to win this week.

Carlos Rodiles to win 40/1 e.w. available generally
Rodiles already has a top-3 finish this season (Open de Espana) and looks as though he may repeat the feat last week when starting very strongly in the Deutsche Bank Players' Championship of Europe. He did slide down the leaderboard on that occasion, but given that he opened with a 63 last year and was 1st or 2nd in each of the first three rounds last year, he should be confident of playing well again this week.

Richard McEvoy to win 66/1 e.w. @ Ladbrokes, Victor Chandler and William Hill
McEvoy has plenty of experience around this course with three top-30 finishes in the last five years and while he has missed a lot of cuts, he did secure two top-10 finishes last month on the European Tour, one of which was in the similar strength Saint-Omer Open. Those recent top-10 finishes on the main Tour put him in rare company in this field, so he should be at lower odds than this which such course experience.
 
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