Russian Open

[Stanley]

Round 1 play (2pts):

Gary Murphy to beat Robert Dinwiddie -105 @ Five Dimes
Dinwiddie has put in some impressive performances over the last 2 months, but he has still failed to shoot a lower 1st round score than Murphy in their last three events and with no previous course experience he is very unlikely to do so tomorrow against a player who has finished 3rd and 6th on this course in the last two years

 

[phar.lap]

72 holes

Ben Barnham -111 to beat Iain Pyman
Sportsacumen

 

[lostinamerica]

Outrights:

Edoardo Molinari(100/1) e.w.
Jean-Francois Lucquin(66/1) e.w.
Danny Willett(40/1) e.w.
Benn Barham(40/1) e.w.

GL

 

[Stanley]

Round 2 play (2pts):

Terry Pilkadaris to beat Henrik Nystrom -105 @ Five Dimes [also available @ Unibet]
Both have good records on this course, but Pilkadaris doesn't warrant being an underdog to a player who has missed his last six cuts and failed to break 70 in any of his last 17 rounds

 

[Stanley]

Round 3 plays (2pts):

Luis Claverie to beat Ignacio Sanchez-Palancia -130 @ Five Dimes
Claverie may have been struggling on the European Tour this season, but at least he is a main Tour player and he has been playing well this week - he ranks 3rd in greens in regulation so far. Sanchez-Palancia has missed three cuts out of five starts on the Challenge Tour this season, so looks more likely to struggle under the pressure of a top-5 position tomorrow

Ben Barham to beat Danny Willett +105 @ Five Dimes
No doubting Willett's potential for the future, but he double-bogeyed the last hole in very poor fashion when finishing his round today. With Barham also playing better from tee-to-green over the full 36 holes, the value appears to be in backing the more experienced player in this matchup

 

[Stanley]

Round 4 plays (2pts):

Mikael Lundberg to beat Jamie Moul -130 @ Unibet]
Lundberg has led a Tour event with one round to play twice in the last three season and has won on both occasions, including the Russian Open on this course in 2005. Added to finishes of 11th and 3rd in his two other previous appearances on this course and he should be confident for tomorrow. Moul is another good prospect who is worth opposing in this type of matchup at the moment

Fredrik Andersson Hed to beat Rafa Echenique 110 @ Bet365
Echenique showed a purple patch of form last month, but otherwise Andersson Hed has dominated this matchup, particularly when either player is out of contention in the final round

 

[Stanley]

Further Round 4 play (2pts):

Lee Slattery to beat Lloyd Saltman +110 @ BetFred
A little suprising to find Saltman the favourite with BetFred when every other bookie may him the underdog in this matchup ... and with good reason: Saltman has missed his last four cuts, two of which have been on the Challenge Tour, whereas Slattery has been playing much better and has a good record on this course, including a top-10 finish two years ago