What is up with this line??? It's AT Rutgers and they are getting points here? Anyone know anything about New Hampshire? Obviously the books do.....too fishy for me here....
Rutgers +3.5 vs New Hampshire?????
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I have no idea. NH is ranked 19th in D-1AA and is starting a red shirt freshman on the road.
here is a link:
http://www.unhwildcats.com/pdf/football/notes0907.pdf
here is a link:
http://www.unhwildcats.com/pdf/football/notes0907.pdf
I saw it at covers.usatoday.com I don't think any books have it available for obvious reasons...just wondered if anyone knew why the line is the way it is....
I bet the game (NH +22) & I will tell you that the line is flat out wrong. I believe the line opened Rutgers -22.
5 Dimes is the only book I know of that offers 1AA-II-III games as well as games when a 1A opponent faces off against a 1AA-II-III school & vice versa.
The games are usually up in the middle of the week & can be found if you click NCAA Added.
I focus on these games more as they are easier to beat as there are alot of soft lines. If you like betting big dogs then you'd like it too as seeing 50+ dogs is quite common. This week we have a +65 dog in Cheney State. They failed to cover last week as a 60 pt dog though.
5 Dimes is the only book I know of that offers 1AA-II-III games as well as games when a 1A opponent faces off against a 1AA-II-III school & vice versa.
The games are usually up in the middle of the week & can be found if you click NCAA Added.
I focus on these games more as they are easier to beat as there are alot of soft lines. If you like betting big dogs then you'd like it too as seeing 50+ dogs is quite common. This week we have a +65 dog in Cheney State. They failed to cover last week as a 60 pt dog though.
Rutgers -20.5 at 5Dimes
Mr. Hockey, you took UNH +22? I would love to hear your reasons. I would think Rutgers at home would be a solid play.
Mr. Hockey, you took UNH +22? I would love to hear your reasons. I would think Rutgers at home would be a solid play.
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New Hampshire +22
NH is one of the top tier teams in the A 10 conference & started off their season by beating their conference foe Delaware who happens to be the defending 1-AA National Champion. This would be a classic letdown spot but I don't see them being flat when they are going up against a 1A foe. The line is inflated because they are facing a Rutgers team that just had its biggest win in the program in ages. I don't see how after beating a Big 10 team, they will give a damn to face a 1AA team. NH is a good team & I would not be surprised if they pulled the upset. This line should at highest be Rutgers -10 or 11 based on home field advantage. I haven't created new #'s for this season but I know the A10 well & they aren't 22 points inferior to Rutgers or any Big East team for that matter.
NH is one of the top tier teams in the A 10 conference & started off their season by beating their conference foe Delaware who happens to be the defending 1-AA National Champion. This would be a classic letdown spot but I don't see them being flat when they are going up against a 1A foe. The line is inflated because they are facing a Rutgers team that just had its biggest win in the program in ages. I don't see how after beating a Big 10 team, they will give a damn to face a 1AA team. NH is a good team & I would not be surprised if they pulled the upset. This line should at highest be Rutgers -10 or 11 based on home field advantage. I haven't created new #'s for this season but I know the A10 well & they aren't 22 points inferior to Rutgers or any Big East team for that matter.
Add in the fact that Rutgers points last week came from 4 FG's and a INT run back for a TD. Not the type of offensive production I would like to see from a team laying almost 3 TD's.
I think the Michigan St. win was impressive from a final score standpoint, but when you delve a little deeper, I see no reason why this New Hampshire team couldn't hang around here. Like others have said, they did just beat the the 1-AA defending champs and while the perception is that there is miles and miles of difference between the programs in 1-A and 1-AA, take a look at some of the teams making noise in the 1-A in their first couple of years of stepping up classes...UConn, Troy, Florida Atlantic.
Personally, the ONLY way I would play this game would be taking the generous points with UNH.
-JC
I think the Michigan St. win was impressive from a final score standpoint, but when you delve a little deeper, I see no reason why this New Hampshire team couldn't hang around here. Like others have said, they did just beat the the 1-AA defending champs and while the perception is that there is miles and miles of difference between the programs in 1-A and 1-AA, take a look at some of the teams making noise in the 1-A in their first couple of years of stepping up classes...UConn, Troy, Florida Atlantic.
Personally, the ONLY way I would play this game would be taking the generous points with UNH.
-JC
Hey Guys,
I am going to have to disagree. Yes, I am a Rutgers fan, but this is not a homer decision. If you look at the depth charts on paper, the Rutgers linemen outweight the UNH linemen by 50 pounds. This is the not the same Rutgers team that lost to Villanova 2 years ago (yes it happened). This is why Coach Schiano will not let the team "look ahead".
If you saw the MSU game, RU drove very well on MSU but broke down in the red zone. These things happen in game one, but they're fixed. UNH just doesn't have the horses. Delaware is the returning champs, but they lost A LOT of talent from last years' team to the NFL.
I see this as another 55-10 game, similar to the University of Buffalo's first trip to Rutgers.
I don't think UNH will be able to run on Rutgers. MSU wasn't able to, and UNH won't. Will UNH be able to pass with it's starting QB out for the year? They're relying on a redshirt freshman at QB. UNH doesn't have the same type of receivers as MSU. Rutgers blocked a punt vs MSU. How many will they block vs UNH? Schiano won't run up the score on UNH, but Rutgers has a lot of depth. The 2nd team running back, Pittman, ran for 100+ yards AT Tennessee two years ago. I dont see UNH having the athletes to keep up.
I could see a 35-3 at the half. Then the Rutgers 2nd team will come in. These guys are talented, young football players. They're Greg Schiano's recruits who has recruited 4 of the best RU classes ever in his 4 year tenure. I would be confident with the RU 2nd team vs UNH's first team, straight up. From 35-3 at the half, it'll go to 52-10.
Rutgers has the advantage on offense, defense and special teams. Rutgers is at home. Rutgers is mentally ready. Rutgers has no significant injuries. The Rutgers 2nd team running back is no slouch. RU will get a big lead and run to ball to take time off the clock...they can't help it if the 2nd team back breaks a big run.
I am going to have to disagree. Yes, I am a Rutgers fan, but this is not a homer decision. If you look at the depth charts on paper, the Rutgers linemen outweight the UNH linemen by 50 pounds. This is the not the same Rutgers team that lost to Villanova 2 years ago (yes it happened). This is why Coach Schiano will not let the team "look ahead".
If you saw the MSU game, RU drove very well on MSU but broke down in the red zone. These things happen in game one, but they're fixed. UNH just doesn't have the horses. Delaware is the returning champs, but they lost A LOT of talent from last years' team to the NFL.
I see this as another 55-10 game, similar to the University of Buffalo's first trip to Rutgers.
I don't think UNH will be able to run on Rutgers. MSU wasn't able to, and UNH won't. Will UNH be able to pass with it's starting QB out for the year? They're relying on a redshirt freshman at QB. UNH doesn't have the same type of receivers as MSU. Rutgers blocked a punt vs MSU. How many will they block vs UNH? Schiano won't run up the score on UNH, but Rutgers has a lot of depth. The 2nd team running back, Pittman, ran for 100+ yards AT Tennessee two years ago. I dont see UNH having the athletes to keep up.
I could see a 35-3 at the half. Then the Rutgers 2nd team will come in. These guys are talented, young football players. They're Greg Schiano's recruits who has recruited 4 of the best RU classes ever in his 4 year tenure. I would be confident with the RU 2nd team vs UNH's first team, straight up. From 35-3 at the half, it'll go to 52-10.
Rutgers has the advantage on offense, defense and special teams. Rutgers is at home. Rutgers is mentally ready. Rutgers has no significant injuries. The Rutgers 2nd team running back is no slouch. RU will get a big lead and run to ball to take time off the clock...they can't help it if the 2nd team back breaks a big run.
