SA Tour

[bettingmad]

D McGuigan 50/1 Ladbrokes
Two top 10's here and recently made the six man play-off for the Dunhill after looking the most likely winner earlier on. Immelman made the same play-off but has quotes of 15/8 here compared to McGuigans 50/1, he did win the mickey mouse last week but could be due a rest!

 

[steved]

0.5 ew Titch Moore 40/1 (Hills)
double winner on SA Tour before Christmas...looks like celebrated too much as out with washing until last week's 5th. Not brilliant record here but looks like he has improved and but for an 80 here last year rd 2, would have done much better..

 

[Stanley]

Outright plays (0.75 units):

Scott Dunlap to win 25/1 e.w. @ BlueSq
Swerving Immelman who is a little too short at 3/1 and has everything to lose this week, so hoping that at least one of the following join him on the leaderboard. Dunlap was a runner-up in the Vodacom Players Championship last month and has started 2003 in similar fashion, finishing 30th, 15th and then 5th last week. No course form, but if he can continue that trend it will be good enough.

Andrew McLardy to win 33/1 e.w. @ Paddy Power
McLardy has secured four top-20 finishes in his last five events, including his 2nd place finish last week. That is an excellent run of form and together with a 4th place finish last year, he should be much shorter than 33s even with Immelman in the field.

Bruce Vaughan to win 40/1 e.w. @ Bet365 and Stan James
Returned to form to provide a handsome dividend last week as a place-only play. No such options this week, but with equally impressive course form at Leopard Creek (17th in 2001 and 2nd last year), he could go close again ... provided his knee holds out!

 

[Stanley]

Matchup plays (0.75 units unless stated):

Scott Dunlap to beat Jean Hugo -111 @ Expekt [1.5 units]
Expecting a big week from Dunlap and so will side with him again. They have both played the last four Sunshine Tour events and Dunlap has prevailed three times; the only loss being when Hugo came so close to winning the South African Open. Dunlap has no course form, but with Hugo shooting 79-77-67-74 to finish 49th on his previous appearance, he doesn't look like a contender this week.

Louis Oosthuizen to beat Richard Sterne -118 @ Expekt
Schwartzel may have stolen the show at the South African Open, but the young Oosthuizen also looks an exciting prospect. The 2002 Irish Amateur Champion missed his first cut - the 2002 South African Open - but have since finished inside the top-30 in each of his subsequent five events. Sterne may be more experienced having spent a season on the European Challenge Tour, but trails Oosthuizen 1-3-0 in the last four events.

Tjaart Van Der Walt to beat Charl Schwartzel -118 @ Expekt [-125 @ Five Dimes]
Continuing to oppose Schwartzel after the hype of the South African Open. He has missed the cut and finished 51st since that top-3 finish. With no course form, he is easy to oppose again, particularly against someone who is playing well and has played the course beforehand.

Also have lean on Dunlap over Otto [-115 Five Dimes], but that's probably enough on a player without course experience for this tournament.

 

[DOGS THAT BARK]

appreciate the notatation of 5dimes Stan. Saves me mucho time scouting

 

[Clive]

Thought I'd share with you some of the prices at the South African sportsbook I've been using...now, bear in mind that last week they went 100 Schwartzel and 150 Bruce V

Imm 2/1
Brad 11/2
Otto 10
McN 12
McGuig 14
McLardy 16
Dunlap 18
Sterne 20
Bruce 22
Walt 40
Oost 50

They do offer place only and I had a little on Walt at 10/1...only a little as their limits are tiny, and I'm well over-exposed in this event!!

 

[Stanley]

Final update:

Matchups: 2-1-0; +1.37 units

Dunlap/Hugo WON by 9
Oosthuizen/Sterne WON by 2
Van Der Walt/Schwartzel LOST by 6

Outrights; 0-3; -2.25 units

Dunlap 13th
McLardy 50th
Vaughan 22nd

Small loss on the event, but very volatile scoring. Dunlap had been 2nd after two rounds, but faltered over the weekend, while Oosthuizen had trailed Sterne by 11 shots after two rounds, but still won. Still a very profitable 2003 Sunshine Tour season though.

Southern Africa Tour ytd
Matchups: 13-7; +4.44 units
Outrights: 2-10; +10.13 units