Samsung World Championship
- Thread starter pharlap
- Start date
cbet has turned out on of my fav books--wish more would follow their example of in running place wagers--can't believe they dropped Mathews last week to 18/1 place after a 1st rd 70.
STATUS Description Price Wager USD Payout Results
Paid Longs Drugs Challenge - Tournament - Top 5 - MATTHEW, Catriona Win 19.00 10.00 190.00 PERROT, Nicole
(Winner)
STATUS Description Price Wager USD Payout Results
Paid Longs Drugs Challenge - Tournament - Top 5 - MATTHEW, Catriona Win 19.00 10.00 190.00 PERROT, Nicole
(Winner)
72 hole @ Expekt
Baena -124 over Birdie Kim
1st rd
Kane +105 over B Kim (ties lose)
some interesting lines at Oly--what a diff a month makes----
10/13/2005 10:00 AM Annika Sorenstam vs The Field
451 Annika Sorenstam +175
452 The Field -215
10/13/2005 10:00 AM Annika Sorenstam vs Paula Creamer
453 Annika Sorenstam -195
454 Paula Creamer +170
10/13/2005 10:00 AM Jeong Jang vs Michelle Wie
455 Jeong Jang -110
456 Michelle Wie -110
10/13/2005 10:00 AM Cristie Kerr vs Catriona Matthew
457 Cristie Kerr -110
458 Catriona Matthew -110
10/13/2005 10:00 AM Natalie Gulbis vs Pat Hurst
459 Natalie Gulbis -110
460 Pat Hurst -110
10/13/2005 10:00 AM Lorena Ochoa vs Heather Bowie
461 Lorena Ochoa -110
462 Heather Bowie -110
10/13/2005 10:00 AM Candie Kung vs Gloria Park
463 Candie Kung -110
464 Gloria Park -110
Baena -124 over Birdie Kim
1st rd
Kane +105 over B Kim (ties lose)
some interesting lines at Oly--what a diff a month makes----
10/13/2005 10:00 AM Annika Sorenstam vs The Field
451 Annika Sorenstam +175
452 The Field -215
10/13/2005 10:00 AM Annika Sorenstam vs Paula Creamer
453 Annika Sorenstam -195
454 Paula Creamer +170
10/13/2005 10:00 AM Jeong Jang vs Michelle Wie
455 Jeong Jang -110
456 Michelle Wie -110
10/13/2005 10:00 AM Cristie Kerr vs Catriona Matthew
457 Cristie Kerr -110
458 Catriona Matthew -110
10/13/2005 10:00 AM Natalie Gulbis vs Pat Hurst
459 Natalie Gulbis -110
460 Pat Hurst -110
10/13/2005 10:00 AM Lorena Ochoa vs Heather Bowie
461 Lorena Ochoa -110
462 Heather Bowie -110
10/13/2005 10:00 AM Candie Kung vs Gloria Park
463 Candie Kung -110
464 Gloria Park -110
Outright plays (total stake per play: 1.5pts)
Jeong Jang to win 12/1 e.w. @ Stan James, BetInternet, Expekt and BetFred
Annika Sorenstam has looked like a tired player since the Solheim Cup and with her announcement that her schedule has been designed to ensure that she only plays the minimum of 70 rounds this season required for her to lift the Vare Trophy (lowest scoring average on Tour), she is certainly opposable with players in better form. One of those in Jang, who has the opportunity to atone for her four-putt when tipped two weeks ago and ultimately finishing 6th. With form beforehand that reads 9th, 5th, 32nd, 1st, 2nd, 4th and 6th, this is clearly not simply a hot spell of form. She has experience of this course having finished 6th last year and that was one of three top-6 finishes in her last Californian events. It should be at least repeated this week.
Natalie Gulbis to win 18/1 e.w. @ BetInternet
Gulbis is making her debut in this event, but with only one year's course history that is not such a great handicap, particularly as this is her home State. She won the California Women's Amateur Championship at the age of 14 and had been the youngest player to qualify for a LPGA Tour event (the Longs Drugs Challenge in California) until Michelle Wie in 2002. And she is a player very much in form. She responded to Saturday's 76 with a 64 in final round last week to finish 11th, even though it ended her run of top-10 finishes, of which she had secured five in her previous six starts. A player in great form that will draw a large body of support from the crowd.
Catriona Matthew to win 20/1 e.w. @ Ladbrokes
Matthew is another in form with back-to-back top-3 finishes in the last two weeks in California and she had finished in the top-10 in three of her previous four starts. She does have course experience, opening with a 64 last year and entering the final round in 5th place, despite being in poor form at the time. That is not the case this year and she should, once again, appear near the top of the leaderboard.
Jeong Jang to win 12/1 e.w. @ Stan James, BetInternet, Expekt and BetFred
Annika Sorenstam has looked like a tired player since the Solheim Cup and with her announcement that her schedule has been designed to ensure that she only plays the minimum of 70 rounds this season required for her to lift the Vare Trophy (lowest scoring average on Tour), she is certainly opposable with players in better form. One of those in Jang, who has the opportunity to atone for her four-putt when tipped two weeks ago and ultimately finishing 6th. With form beforehand that reads 9th, 5th, 32nd, 1st, 2nd, 4th and 6th, this is clearly not simply a hot spell of form. She has experience of this course having finished 6th last year and that was one of three top-6 finishes in her last Californian events. It should be at least repeated this week.
Natalie Gulbis to win 18/1 e.w. @ BetInternet
Gulbis is making her debut in this event, but with only one year's course history that is not such a great handicap, particularly as this is her home State. She won the California Women's Amateur Championship at the age of 14 and had been the youngest player to qualify for a LPGA Tour event (the Longs Drugs Challenge in California) until Michelle Wie in 2002. And she is a player very much in form. She responded to Saturday's 76 with a 64 in final round last week to finish 11th, even though it ended her run of top-10 finishes, of which she had secured five in her previous six starts. A player in great form that will draw a large body of support from the crowd.
Catriona Matthew to win 20/1 e.w. @ Ladbrokes
Matthew is another in form with back-to-back top-3 finishes in the last two weeks in California and she had finished in the top-10 in three of her previous four starts. She does have course experience, opening with a 64 last year and entering the final round in 5th place, despite being in poor form at the time. That is not the case this year and she should, once again, appear near the top of the leaderboard.
Matchup plays (1.5pts unless stated):
Marisa Baena to beat Birdie Kim -123 @ Expekt
Can't find too many matchups that I like, but will always look to oppose the U.S. Women's Open champion while she is still overpriced because of that win. Kim has a best finish of 29th since that win in June, has never played this course before now and has a best finish of 36th in California. Of the 17 books pricing up this event, she is the highest odds in 14 of them. And against Baena who had a top-10 finish two weeks ago, she trails 28-3-0 in the last 31 common events.
Lorie Kane to beat Birdie Kim -120 @ Centrebet
Some books have Kane as joint-last player in their market and she is admittedly in poor form, but she still has a 5-1-0 h2h record against Kim in strokeplay events since that U.S. Women's Open win. And whereas Kim is making her debut in one of these end-of-season restricted-field events, Kane is a veteran of these, playing in this particular event every year from 1998-2003 and finishing no worse than 11th every times.
Wendy Ward to beat Birdie Kim -161 @ NordicBet [3pts]
Ward is most in-form of the three players to oppose Kim and shares with Baena the distinction of averaging over one shot per round better than Kim on the LPGA Tour this year; Kane averages two-thirds of a shot better per round. She has missed only one cut in North America since her opening event in February and comes into this event on the back of two top-25 finishes in California over the last two weeks. She may not be good enough to win this event, but there is still a large gulf between her and Kim.
Marisa Baena to beat Birdie Kim -123 @ Expekt
Can't find too many matchups that I like, but will always look to oppose the U.S. Women's Open champion while she is still overpriced because of that win. Kim has a best finish of 29th since that win in June, has never played this course before now and has a best finish of 36th in California. Of the 17 books pricing up this event, she is the highest odds in 14 of them. And against Baena who had a top-10 finish two weeks ago, she trails 28-3-0 in the last 31 common events.
Lorie Kane to beat Birdie Kim -120 @ Centrebet
Some books have Kane as joint-last player in their market and she is admittedly in poor form, but she still has a 5-1-0 h2h record against Kim in strokeplay events since that U.S. Women's Open win. And whereas Kim is making her debut in one of these end-of-season restricted-field events, Kane is a veteran of these, playing in this particular event every year from 1998-2003 and finishing no worse than 11th every times.
Wendy Ward to beat Birdie Kim -161 @ NordicBet [3pts]
Ward is most in-form of the three players to oppose Kim and shares with Baena the distinction of averaging over one shot per round better than Kim on the LPGA Tour this year; Kane averages two-thirds of a shot better per round. She has missed only one cut in North America since her opening event in February and comes into this event on the back of two top-25 finishes in California over the last two weeks. She may not be good enough to win this event, but there is still a large gulf between her and Kim.
Going to pick on Birdie Kim once again but odds not quite as generous as yesterday.
2nd rd
Ward -113 over Kim @ Cbet (ties lose)
2nd rd
Ward -113 over Kim @ Cbet (ties lose)
Picked on Kim once to often yesterday 
3rd rd @ Cbet
Jang -122 over Jones
Odds a little steep but lots of #'s on positive side
Jang leads tour in scor ave last 3 months--over a stroke ave better than Jones 3rd rd--but more so they also get some wind today and not good for Jones who is spotting Jang 20 yards of tee already. Jones generally struggles in wind unless course is tough-which this isn't especially considering they giving free drops from bushes for scoreboard and bees
3rd rd @ Cbet
Jang -122 over Jones
Odds a little steep but lots of #'s on positive side
Jang leads tour in scor ave last 3 months--over a stroke ave better than Jones 3rd rd--but more so they also get some wind today and not good for Jones who is spotting Jang 20 yards of tee already. Jones generally struggles in wind unless course is tough-which this isn't especially considering they giving free drops from bushes for scoreboard and bees
Outrights - FINAL RESULT: 0-3; -4.50pts
Jang 14th
Gulbis 4th
Matthew 7th
From the 1st round, this was always going to be a race for 2nd place and Matthew did get there towards the end of her 3rd round, but the rest was not so impressive: she finished her third round with a five and then started her final round with three fives to end any hopes. Gulbis was the highest-placed, but with only three places it was still a loss.
Matchups - FINAL RESULT: 3-0; +6.00pts
Baena/Kim WON by 3
Kane/Kim WON by 1
Ward/Kim WON by 3
Kim did finish (joint) last as predicted and while the sweep did ensure the event finished in profit overall, they should have been more comfortable wins.
LPGA Tour ytd
Outrights: 16-54; +9.52pts
Matchups: 44-21; +59.09pts
Jang 14th
Gulbis 4th
Matthew 7th
From the 1st round, this was always going to be a race for 2nd place and Matthew did get there towards the end of her 3rd round, but the rest was not so impressive: she finished her third round with a five and then started her final round with three fives to end any hopes. Gulbis was the highest-placed, but with only three places it was still a loss.
Matchups - FINAL RESULT: 3-0; +6.00pts
Baena/Kim WON by 3
Kane/Kim WON by 1
Ward/Kim WON by 3
Kim did finish (joint) last as predicted and while the sweep did ensure the event finished in profit overall, they should have been more comfortable wins.
LPGA Tour ytd
Outrights: 16-54; +9.52pts
Matchups: 44-21; +59.09pts
