Just thought I'd throw a thought up on the San Fran ATS losing streak they have going on. It now stands at 9 straight losses against the spread, or 8 losses and a push depending on what spread you may have gotten on the Dallas game back in Dec.
It seems like everyone is mentioning this in there reasoning, but my thoughts on this is that there's NO value whatsoever in this "ATS Losing streak" stuff for this game. Vegas or linesmakers tend to be a bit slow on catching up with what lines should be on teams that are "expected" to do well...San Fran was one of these teams from which after last season, people had very high expectations of mainly because the entire team was intact from last season. This is much the same with "public" teams.
The fact of the matter is, San Fran during the entire reg season and their wild card game have only NOT been favored 3 times! In those games the most points they were getting as a Dog was 3 and of course the other 14 games they have been favored.
The line is now at San Fran +6.5 which just seems to be a bit over adjusted by bettors and books. Of course, there's much more to capping this game than just comparing the lines, but just wanted to throw this up for what it's worth. Personally as I got into this game more I ended up taking San Fran at +6 a couple days ago which is the opposite of my original opinion before actually capping the game....and yes I would have played San Fran at +4.5 yet even if the line didn't move.Had a bad day yesterday, so hopefully today's a bit better.
Good luck all!
-ndnfan
It seems like everyone is mentioning this in there reasoning, but my thoughts on this is that there's NO value whatsoever in this "ATS Losing streak" stuff for this game. Vegas or linesmakers tend to be a bit slow on catching up with what lines should be on teams that are "expected" to do well...San Fran was one of these teams from which after last season, people had very high expectations of mainly because the entire team was intact from last season. This is much the same with "public" teams.
The fact of the matter is, San Fran during the entire reg season and their wild card game have only NOT been favored 3 times! In those games the most points they were getting as a Dog was 3 and of course the other 14 games they have been favored.
The line is now at San Fran +6.5 which just seems to be a bit over adjusted by bettors and books. Of course, there's much more to capping this game than just comparing the lines, but just wanted to throw this up for what it's worth. Personally as I got into this game more I ended up taking San Fran at +6 a couple days ago which is the opposite of my original opinion before actually capping the game....and yes I would have played San Fran at +4.5 yet even if the line didn't move.Had a bad day yesterday, so hopefully today's a bit better.
Good luck all!
-ndnfan
