Sat 10/16

layinwood

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12-14 -3.35 units for the year

I should have just played my big play last week. For some reason I find myself breaking too many of my own rules this year. Bama was the best example. I never take a team on the road after a BIG game at home. I took Bama anyway and paid for it. Stanford has cost me two weeks in a row so I guess it's time to get off that wagon. Michigan-not sure what I saw. I know a lot of good cappers had State but I never saw it. Nothing like hitting by half time your biggest play in two years just to lose or push every other game. DAMNITT


I'll be very big on the Texas Nebraska under as soon as it comes out and that will be the only play for the week. Quality over quantity from here on out. Actually Tech OSU over might be a play depending on how high it is. Tech has found their groove under Brown now but they're D is missing too many people to even slow down OSU.
 

atmswim

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I don't care how high the Tech OSU over is I am all over it.

Also, did you see A&M is favored at home against Mizzu!
 

layinwood

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Scott, the Aggs are officially on my don't play list. I won't play on them or against. Teams with QBs like him are bet killers. Some of the days he'll lite it up and look like an NFL qb and then others he'll make the other teams D look like the greatest ever. Basically if you bet on or against the A&M, you're betting on how he'll do.

Tech's offense has found their timing with the new Brown offense. One he gets this 4 star recruit in at tight end next year then you'll see the full offense. I think he's really needing that position right now to do everything he wants.

The defense actually is playing better but Scott Smith was just suspended for the year and he has been one of the best on D so far this year. OSU should score quite a few.
 

layinwood

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Nebraska Texas under 46 5units

Tech Okie State over 68.5 5units


It's been a while since I've played two plays very large in the same week but I love both of these plays and if I didn't have two of them, one would be a 7.

Nebraska should hold UT to fewer than 14 points and I really believe with a week off Texas will be able to slow Nebraska O down. Texas hasn't been great this year but they have the athletes to run with Neb. Take away two personal foul penalties against OU and Texas really shut that team down for the most part.

Tech, like I said last week, found their legs in the 2nd half of the Iowa State game and it continued thru last week vs Baylor. Not only has their yard per pass increased which has opened the underneath routes up but their running game has also started clicking. Being this is in Lubbock I expect Tech to put up 40+ without problem. Brown has stated this week he will really turn up the number of plays in the game.
Tech's big problem is they're missing Smith on D. He has been suspended for the year and IMO had been their defensive MVP up to the point he was out. They also have a couple of other injuries that will hurt them in this game. I just don't see Tech stopping the OSU offense.

The reason I'm not on Tech is because I think this is a whoever has the ball last wins type game and I don't want to be sweating it.




 

joefrog91

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Nebraska Texas under 46 5units

Tech Okie State over 68.5 5units


It's been a while since I've played two plays very large in the same week but I love both of these plays and if I didn't have two of them, one would be a 7.

Nebraska should hold UT to fewer than 14 points and I really believe with a week off Texas will be able to slow Nebraska O down. Texas hasn't been great this year but they have the athletes to run with Neb. Take away two personal foul penalties against OU and Texas really shut that team down for the most part.

Tech, like I said last week, found their legs in the 2nd half of the Iowa State game and it continued thru last week vs Baylor. Not only has their yard per pass increased which has opened the underneath routes up but their running game has also started clicking. Being this is in Lubbock I expect Tech to put up 40+ without problem. Brown has stated this week he will really turn up the number of plays in the game.
Tech's big problem is they're missing Smith on D. He has been suspended for the year and IMO had been their defensive MVP up to the point he was out. They also have a couple of other injuries that will hurt them in this game. I just don't see Tech stopping the OSU offense.

The reason I'm not on Tech is because I think this is a whoever has the ball last wins type game and I don't want to be sweating it.





I think I'm going to follow you on these two. Good luck! :0074

EDIT: Took Under 46.5 and Over 69 respectively.
 
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layinwood

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Good luck to both of us then.


I apologize for the paragraphs in my earlier post. For some reason it was centering everything when I went to type it in and I couldn't do anything about it.
 

layinwood

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Thanks AR!

Joe, the only receiver that really matters out of those three is Cooper and he only catches 4-5 a game. Shouldn't be too big of a deal in this offense. As long as Blackmon is playing that's all that matters. Tech will have to double or roll coverage to cover him and that should free up the other guys. In that system the smarts of the 4th and 5th receiver mean more than anything and that's a lot easier to find in backups.

It will be interesting to see Tech's D vs this offense. They've spent all of their college lives playing against it in practice and now they get to play against it in the game.
 

joefrog91

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Thanks AR!

Joe, the only receiver that really matters out of those three is Cooper and he only catches 4-5 a game. Shouldn't be too big of a deal in this offense. As long as Blackmon is playing that's all that matters. Tech will have to double or roll coverage to cover him and that should free up the other guys. In that system the smarts of the 4th and 5th receiver mean more than anything and that's a lot easier to find in backups.

It will be interesting to see Tech's D vs this offense. They've spent all of their college lives playing against it in practice and now they get to play against it in the game.

Okay, thanks. I don't know enough about those guys. I was worried there for a second.
 
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