Sat 11/ 20

[layinwood]

Overall 20-23 -1.25 units

Picking up 9 units last week kept me alive but grasping for air. I get back to the positve side after this week.


OU -7(bought half) 5 units

Big play for me this week. This game might be close to the 7 but IMO it's double digits by the end. Baylor is a feel good story this year but in all reality they haven't beaten anyone good unless you consider beating Texas a good victory. They've lost and not covered to every good team they've played. This is a good time to go against them as last week was a tough loss for them after leading vs the Aggs. It's also a good spot to go on OU because they've lost their two road games this year and because of that I'm pretty sure Bob won't have a hard time motivating them. They also need to win to have a chance at the Big 12 title game.

 

[layinwood]

Aggies +3 2units


As much as I hate them I have to say they're playing very good football. IMO if Tannehill is their QB from the start then they would be a 1 loss team. He's cut down on the TOs for the team and he's also stretching the field more than Johnson was. I believe he's 1.5 more yards per attempt than Johnson. He's also 13 points higher on completition %. He keeps drives going and gives the D a chance to rest.

The Aggs rush D at home has been outstanding and their team speed on D is very good. I think Nebraska has a very hard time driving down the field.

 

[atmswim]

Rob...last weekend was huge for me! Almost doubled my bankroll with OU! Probably won't do that again....haha!

I agree with both selection this weekend. I know OU is bad away from Norman but Baylor is completely overrated. They jumped all over A&M the first half of the game last week and then went scoreless the 2nd half. Our defense is much better this year than last but not good enough to hold a team that was once in the top 25 out of the endzone! I see OU jumping out to a quick led and Baylor folding under the pressure. Expect another 40 plus performance from OU this weekend.

As for the A&M game....I hope we are right. The school has been promoting this game all year and it is a Maroon Out which signifies that this is the biggest home game of the year. Bigger than OU two weeks ago. I think Nebraska is a little over rated because the teams they have played aren't that good. I don't think K. State, Texas or Ok State is that good. I really think if A&M played OK State again we win big since Johnson and his 5 TOs will be gone. As for Mizzu, take away 3 huge plays and the Mizzu defense shut down Nebraska. I think our defense is better than last year, it is at home and the black shirts of Nebraska will not be able to stop our offense at home with Tannehill as QB.

 

[layinwood]

I'm not saying they'll stop the A&M offense but they'll slow it down. Nebraska will be the best D the Aggs have faced. In all reality the under on this game is probably good to go as well. This game has W on it for whoever has the fewest TOs. I think the health of the Corn QB helps in this game.


I'm hitting one more game but just not sure how much yet. San Diego St is a good team and they're playing a team that is on death watch all of the sudden. I don't even think the game is close.

 

[atmswim]

I really like Fresno St. +30 vs Boise State. I was looking at Boise State and their schedule is ridiculously bad! VT is horrible not matter how many games they win in the ACC because the ACC is horrible! Also, Fresno is nothing special but I think they keep it within 2TDs!

 

[layinwood]

San Diego St +3(bought half) 1unit


San Diego State is a better team at this point in the season at home or not so getting the home field advantage is just a bonus.

 

[layinwood]

Damn SDST and giving it away in the 4th.

Still picked up 5.8 on the day and finally I'm on the positive side.

2-1 +5.8 on the day

22-24 +4.55 for the year

What a freaking grind this has been.