First post this year on college football...
2-4 on only post in NFL...
waiting for college hoops (will Marcus overvalue the Hilltoppers??? can anyone compete with Arizona??? I can't wait 'till I hear "Chaminade" on SportsCenter...)
Thanks djchad...
I used the info from the site used by djchad on predicted scores and crunched the numbers. (Thankfully, Dad was a Calc/DiffEq Prof) These are the plays that I am playing...
So here are the plays...
----------------------------------------
2 unit plays
Indiana +9
Nevada +4
UConn +8
LSU -3'
Notre Dame +9'
-----------------------------------------
1 unit plays
Virginia +5
Ohio State -4'
Air Force -18
Texas Tech +6
C. Mich +20'
Indiana, Nevada, UConn based on average predicted score over 5 points from line and low Std Deviation
LSU and ND based on ave pred score over 7 points from line
AF would fall with LSU and ND but only 1 unit based on larger line (over 14/16 points - 2 TDs)
Virginia, OSU 1 unit based on slightly larger Std Dev.
C. Mich 1 unit based on late line movement placed average Pred Score over 5 points. (3 *** if djchad used 5 points instead of 6)
Texas Tech based on lowest Std Dev on the board and Std Dev<Average Pred Score Diff vs Line
Cal. Iowa St and UAB passed due to Std Dev > Diff. Avg. Pred Score vs Line.
Based on my family math background (Dad, Brother, and Sis all Math Teachers...I chose a real paycheck vs. 3 months vacation), these are the plays I have put in...
GL to ALL
2-4 on only post in NFL...
waiting for college hoops (will Marcus overvalue the Hilltoppers??? can anyone compete with Arizona??? I can't wait 'till I hear "Chaminade" on SportsCenter...)
Thanks djchad...
I used the info from the site used by djchad on predicted scores and crunched the numbers. (Thankfully, Dad was a Calc/DiffEq Prof) These are the plays that I am playing...
So here are the plays...
----------------------------------------
2 unit plays
Indiana +9
Nevada +4
UConn +8
LSU -3'
Notre Dame +9'
-----------------------------------------
1 unit plays
Virginia +5
Ohio State -4'
Air Force -18
Texas Tech +6
C. Mich +20'
Indiana, Nevada, UConn based on average predicted score over 5 points from line and low Std Deviation
LSU and ND based on ave pred score over 7 points from line
AF would fall with LSU and ND but only 1 unit based on larger line (over 14/16 points - 2 TDs)
Virginia, OSU 1 unit based on slightly larger Std Dev.
C. Mich 1 unit based on late line movement placed average Pred Score over 5 points. (3 *** if djchad used 5 points instead of 6)
Texas Tech based on lowest Std Dev on the board and Std Dev<Average Pred Score Diff vs Line
Cal. Iowa St and UAB passed due to Std Dev > Diff. Avg. Pred Score vs Line.
Based on my family math background (Dad, Brother, and Sis all Math Teachers...I chose a real paycheck vs. 3 months vacation), these are the plays I have put in...
GL to ALL
