SAT NBA HT Center

[Randercity]

YTD: 25-19 +5.10 Units
Sides: 10-11
Total: 15-8

After a stellar start, back to back bad nites... bad thinking. I need to get more selective. I'll be posting leans and opinions, and only post a play when I feel it warrants OUR money. I rarely rate plays, last nite's INDY game was an exception. I loved that play. Giving me +8.5 at HT with a home team favorite!

I totally screwed myself on the LAKERS 2nd half. After MEMPHIS put up 30 in the 2nd, should have figured PHIL would emphasize DEF coming out of the break, and keep his starters going til they played well. That's what happened, and both my plays were dead. I played that strictly by the numbers, but I should have considered the PHIL FACTOR. I'm a LAKER fan... watch every game. That was dumb of me... hope y'all were fading those!

Anyway, it's Saturday nite... not sure if I'll be around. Gonna try... Good luck with whatever you do.

 

[Randercity]

Sac Kings at MIAMI

ZO is back and the offense shows it... man. Terrible first half by MIAMI. Still, they are at home, down by 18, and I have to believe they got the talent to get this one under double digits by the end. NOT as confident about this one as last nite's IND game, but SAC has to be tired, and it should show late. I think the HEAT will apply some late in this game!

MIA -7

 

[beertime]

im in! lets win some money tonight..

hope i dont curse you like a normally do.

 

[Randercity]

Warriors at KNICKS

Another terrible half by the home team, but then again, the KNICKS are terrible! I don't know if they can come back in this game unless SPREE & CO go nuts from outside. They got no rebounding and it is showing. Right now NY is hitting 35% from the field, which should pick up, but I'm taking this game OVER 91.5, or 171.5 for the game, a full 12 pts below closing line. I think WARRIORS will keep pace with NY, KNICKS will shoot better, but no enough to win this one. OVER is the better play, lean to NY -6.

OVER 91.5

 

[Randercity]

don't sweat it beertime... nice call on the KINGS FH btw... too bad MIA couldn't help the Over.

 

[beertime]

ya 31 for miami is the lowest fh number this year..pretty sad..
and what the buck is with the bucks? they used to fire outta the gate everygame fh and this year miami runs all over them at home.they cant shoot tonight either it looks like.
chit happens..

 

[Randercity]

Portland at INDIANA

PORT had a big lead, and INDY closed it just before the half. BLAZERS still hot, hitting for 55% the first half. Can't see them doing that again. IND is playing back to back and 4 in 5, so I doubt if the OLD legs of REGGIE can make any heroics tonite. I played PORT in the game, gonna sit on that with the lead here at HT. IF anything... I'd lean to the UNDER in 2nd half. UNDER 97 is 200 for game, and if PORT cools off, they shouldn't approach that number....

 

[Randercity]

Minn at MILW

Another terrible start by home team... do we see a trend here! Sheesh... MILW comes back in this one!

MIL -7.5 & OVER 99

no time for big write ups!

CHAR OVER 90
DALLAS -6
SPURS UNDER 93.5

 

[Randercity]

BUCKS will make a comeback in this one down by 18. Laying 7.5 we only need to get to within 10. Also, BUCKS are streaky and I think they get their rhythm and get this one over the total too!

CHAR shot okay, but BULLS shot terrible from field and yet lead. I can't trust either of these teams to win, but I think they'll continue to run and if they can hit an average % from the field, we should get this one over the 90, or 185 for the game.

DALLAS another home team in a rut to start game... good teams should come back at home. Look for DAL to make a run at the win here.

SPURS have big lead, and with no SHAREEF, don't look to see much from DUNCAN and Co in 2nd half. Once they get up by 25, they'll be done for the nite. ATL is hurting for scoring with SHAREEF, so who's gonna shoot now??? This game will probably not hit 180.

 

[Randercity]

TORONTO at UTAH

**D O U B L E P L A Y** UNDER 97.5

 

[Randercity]

These two combined for 107 points so far, but I doubt if they hit 195 for the game. UTAH is playing very methodically, only shooting 30 times the whole half. They hit 17 of them though, and that is why they are in this game. They'll keep this game at their pace, old and slow, and not let VINCE and his boys turn this into a street game. I feel this is by far the strongest game of the nite.

 

[TJBELL]

good luck on the double play!!!!!

 

[Randercity]

I guess this is NITE 3 of my learn from your mistakes course... man. I've been breaking a few golden rules in sports capping lately and it's shown. Mainly, "don't ask bad teams to do good things!"

I asked MIAMI to come back on SAC, although MIAMI is not a bad team. Asked the WARRIORS & KNICKS to score a lot... did the same with CHARLOTTE and CHICAGO! All this, after backing the GRIZZ and OVER last nite. Need a break I think... getting too caught up in the numbers, and not looking at the simple facts. Some teams just suck! Maybe after getting my fill of football tomorrow I can get back in the groove on Monday... til then, good luck on SUNDAY and tonite if you've played the late ones.

Three bad nites = a break!

 

[TJBELL]

hope you hit your football games tomorrow! i learned never take the OVER on the friggin knicks!!!! my big play tomorrow is denver-5.5 thanks as always for your plays RC!!!