YTD: 1-1-1.....thankfully bought that extra 1/2 point last, earning me a push with the Turtles.....oh well, its obviously better than a loss.....i'll have a few plays tomorrow, and lets get it started with this one write-up.
BC +7 (bought a half point) at Georgia Tech. I know a lot of talk has been made about Tech's start and the aggressive D they play under DC Tenuta. Dont get me wrong, i love that stlye as well.
But, this is an even match-up and i love the experience QB (Matt Ryan, reigning ACC offensive player of the year) on the road getting a full TD. Putting the Tech hype aside, when has this program ever followed through when expectations on them are high? And, are their wins over ND and Samford really that impressive? I say not often to the first question, and a resounding no to the second on.
Both teams are strong on both sides of the ball, but what is being undervalued here is the stength of BC's defense (I know they are banged up, but two of the missing starters, they've been without all year and are probably past it with a few games under their belt) and Ryan's ability to do damage against the Tech D. Sure, they will sack him a few times, but he will also hit a few big plays, and, unlike past BC teams this one can, and will, get points out of the passing game.
BC's D is just as aggressive and opportunistic. I feel they can force Bennett into mistakes. Look for BC DB Tribble to get a key pick. This game will go back and forth, with each team exerting its will at varying times. In the end, I see Ryan driving his team down the field for the winning score. Maybe Tech's D will hold in that situation and presevre the win, but unless that defensive stand turns into a pick-6 or something, BC should stay within the number.
What some technical factors to back this pick? Here goes: Under Gailey, Tech is only 7-12-1 ATS at home vs ACC foes, 5-8-1 in that situation as a favorite. In those cases, however, they are 11-3 SU, so they have mastered the art of winning, but not covering. Getting a full TD here gives us a lot of room to add to those records.
As for BC, over the last four seasons, they are 8-2 as a road dog, with straight up wins at Penn State, Va Tech, ND, West Virginia, Clemson and Florida State.......the programs and its players are used to winning on the road against allegedly better teams. It will be interesting to see if this holds up with a new coach, but i like what i see so far.
BC QB Matt Ryan carries a 16-4 SU record as a starter.......a lot of season remains, but this could be an ACC championship game preview.....we'll see, but tomorrow night, i expect a close game, with a bit more offense than most would expect and i think that favors the team with the better, more established quaterback.......it can go either way as far as who wins, so I'll take those seven point and hope BC's road act continues.
I'll be back with more later in the day and tomorrow morning.......good luck!
BC +7 (bought a half point) at Georgia Tech. I know a lot of talk has been made about Tech's start and the aggressive D they play under DC Tenuta. Dont get me wrong, i love that stlye as well.
But, this is an even match-up and i love the experience QB (Matt Ryan, reigning ACC offensive player of the year) on the road getting a full TD. Putting the Tech hype aside, when has this program ever followed through when expectations on them are high? And, are their wins over ND and Samford really that impressive? I say not often to the first question, and a resounding no to the second on.
Both teams are strong on both sides of the ball, but what is being undervalued here is the stength of BC's defense (I know they are banged up, but two of the missing starters, they've been without all year and are probably past it with a few games under their belt) and Ryan's ability to do damage against the Tech D. Sure, they will sack him a few times, but he will also hit a few big plays, and, unlike past BC teams this one can, and will, get points out of the passing game.
BC's D is just as aggressive and opportunistic. I feel they can force Bennett into mistakes. Look for BC DB Tribble to get a key pick. This game will go back and forth, with each team exerting its will at varying times. In the end, I see Ryan driving his team down the field for the winning score. Maybe Tech's D will hold in that situation and presevre the win, but unless that defensive stand turns into a pick-6 or something, BC should stay within the number.
What some technical factors to back this pick? Here goes: Under Gailey, Tech is only 7-12-1 ATS at home vs ACC foes, 5-8-1 in that situation as a favorite. In those cases, however, they are 11-3 SU, so they have mastered the art of winning, but not covering. Getting a full TD here gives us a lot of room to add to those records.
As for BC, over the last four seasons, they are 8-2 as a road dog, with straight up wins at Penn State, Va Tech, ND, West Virginia, Clemson and Florida State.......the programs and its players are used to winning on the road against allegedly better teams. It will be interesting to see if this holds up with a new coach, but i like what i see so far.
BC QB Matt Ryan carries a 16-4 SU record as a starter.......a lot of season remains, but this could be an ACC championship game preview.....we'll see, but tomorrow night, i expect a close game, with a bit more offense than most would expect and i think that favors the team with the better, more established quaterback.......it can go either way as far as who wins, so I'll take those seven point and hope BC's road act continues.
I'll be back with more later in the day and tomorrow morning.......good luck!
