YTD:35-28-1
Went 2-1 last night for only the third winning day I've had in college hoops in the eight days i've wagered on the spot since Dec. 3.....I had Butler last night. Highway robbery, but I'll take it and maybe its a sign that my luck is changing and I can get back on the roll I was earlier in the season.
Here goes:
Northern Iowa +6 over Bradley. Its never that wise to fade the Braves, who have one of the best home court edges around down there in Peoria. The Braves are after all 35-17-2 ATS as homes favorites. But NIU has not feared the road, especially in Missouri Valley play. The Panthers are 11-4-1 in their last 16 as conference road dogs and have every bit of good road numbers, 27-13, as a road dog as an example, as Bradley does at home. Northern won in Peoria last year by nine points. Both these clubs are expected to be contenders for the league crown, and I think we'll see a tight affair all the way in the league opener for both. One thing I see as I break this game down on paper is the far better defense UNI brings to the game. The Panthers are in the top 10 nationally in points allowed and field goal % D; are in the top 20 in 3-pt % D and in the top 25 in defensive rebounds grabbed. Bradley, meanwhile is ranked in the low 200s in most of those categories. With both teams about the same offensively, I'm taking the underdog with the better defensive team.
Gonzaga -1 over Tenn......unranked favorite over ranked foe. Interestingly, Gonzaga has blown this system up twice this year as the ranked dog, but now find themselves in the play On position in this system. Both these teams are among my favorites to watch, and I have no problem putting a little coin on the Zags with this time-tested system. Thus far this season, I've faded Tennessee three times--against WVA, Texas and WKU--and won all three, so despite how great the Vols looked at Xavier last week, I'm fine going against this team that looks like the class of the SEC. Game is techniically a neutral site, but thats a joke. Gotta think the Key Arena in Seattle is going to be a major edge for the Zags.
Va Tech -2 over St. Johns. Hokies are 8-1 ATS in their last nine versus members of their former conference, the Big East. Hokies have won three of four vs St. John dating back to Feb. '03. St Johns is only 2-8 ATS in their last ten home games. Obvioulsy the Hokies are not as strong as they were last year, but they're still a solid club, well coached and much better at the fundamentals than the Johnnies.
Those are my plays this afternoon. I'll certainly have a few more for this evening.
Good luck!!!
Went 2-1 last night for only the third winning day I've had in college hoops in the eight days i've wagered on the spot since Dec. 3.....I had Butler last night. Highway robbery, but I'll take it and maybe its a sign that my luck is changing and I can get back on the roll I was earlier in the season.
Here goes:
Northern Iowa +6 over Bradley. Its never that wise to fade the Braves, who have one of the best home court edges around down there in Peoria. The Braves are after all 35-17-2 ATS as homes favorites. But NIU has not feared the road, especially in Missouri Valley play. The Panthers are 11-4-1 in their last 16 as conference road dogs and have every bit of good road numbers, 27-13, as a road dog as an example, as Bradley does at home. Northern won in Peoria last year by nine points. Both these clubs are expected to be contenders for the league crown, and I think we'll see a tight affair all the way in the league opener for both. One thing I see as I break this game down on paper is the far better defense UNI brings to the game. The Panthers are in the top 10 nationally in points allowed and field goal % D; are in the top 20 in 3-pt % D and in the top 25 in defensive rebounds grabbed. Bradley, meanwhile is ranked in the low 200s in most of those categories. With both teams about the same offensively, I'm taking the underdog with the better defensive team.
Gonzaga -1 over Tenn......unranked favorite over ranked foe. Interestingly, Gonzaga has blown this system up twice this year as the ranked dog, but now find themselves in the play On position in this system. Both these teams are among my favorites to watch, and I have no problem putting a little coin on the Zags with this time-tested system. Thus far this season, I've faded Tennessee three times--against WVA, Texas and WKU--and won all three, so despite how great the Vols looked at Xavier last week, I'm fine going against this team that looks like the class of the SEC. Game is techniically a neutral site, but thats a joke. Gotta think the Key Arena in Seattle is going to be a major edge for the Zags.
Va Tech -2 over St. Johns. Hokies are 8-1 ATS in their last nine versus members of their former conference, the Big East. Hokies have won three of four vs St. John dating back to Feb. '03. St Johns is only 2-8 ATS in their last ten home games. Obvioulsy the Hokies are not as strong as they were last year, but they're still a solid club, well coached and much better at the fundamentals than the Johnnies.
Those are my plays this afternoon. I'll certainly have a few more for this evening.
Good luck!!!
