Saturday Hoops

xerri

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Sep 10, 1999
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record 38-42

Colorado pk, 2 units
Rice has struggled against the only decent teams they have faced losing by 39 to BYU and by 17 to Stanford. Rice doesn't shoot the ball very well and is scoring just 65 ppg on 40% shooting. Colorado should have a big advantage inside with Harrison and Pelle and Rice will have difficulty matching up with them. The Buffs are a very good rebounding team outrebounding opponents by 14 per game and outrebounded a good Georgia team by 10 so they should have no problem with the Owls. Colorado won this matchup at home by 28 last year. Probably won't be quite as lopsided but I expect them to get the win again this year.

Wichita St. +8, 1 unit
Last 2 meetings have been decided by 2 points with the home team winning each. OSU has played a very soft schedule and has yet to be tested on the road. Wichita has most of their key players back from last year while OSU doesn't have a real star player this year. I could see Wichita pulling a possible upset at home so will take the points.

Illinois +3, 2 units
Game is being played in St. Louis so not a true home court for Missouri. Both teams playing pretty well but think the Illini's depth will be the key to this game. Should be a faced paced high scoring game probably with a lot of fouls . Johnson and Bryant are prone to foul trouble and if they are on the bench there is a big drop off with their big men off the bench. Should be a close game but I think the Illini will pull away towards the end.

New Mexico St. +13, 3 units
Tech has played well but has played a pretty weak schedule thus far. New Mexico St. is 6-0 and may be the best team they have faced. They are good defensively giving up just 62 ppg and 40% shooting. Aggies got a couple of key players back a couple of games ago in Moore and Jackson. Jackson is 6-10 and avg. 7 rpg in 2 games while the 6-8 Moore is avg. 19 ppg and 6 rpg. Aggies also shoot the 3 well at 38% on the year and have 3 players with over 24 attempts shooting over 44% from 3 point range. Tech won at home by 6 and on the road by 1 last season and I expect NMS to be in it til the end. Line is probably higher than it should be due to the beating Tech put on NM the other night on ESPN.

Indiana +2, 1 unit
Indiana is tough defensively allowing just 37% shooting and 22% 3's on the year. Also think Indiana will have an advantage on the glass as Estill and Camara are soft inside for KU. Think the Hoosiers make it 9-0 here.

Niagara +3, 1 unit
Drexel has struggled to score this year with just 58 ppg and shooting just 37.5%. Niagara got off to a slow start but was picked second in their conference and has most of their key players back from last year's team. They played much better in their last game beating a pretty good Akron team and I think they will start getting a few more wins especially at home.
 

wannabe whale

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Mar 3, 2000
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X,
Excellent quick analysis. I will consider all while capping. Info like this is what is needed. Someone just posting teams does little. Thanks for the effort and GL.

WW
 

xerri

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Miami +7.5, 3 units
Miami is very tough on defense allowing just 39.6% shooting and is also a good rebounding team. They have some good scorers with Rice and Jones who are capable of getting hot. Gators don't have anyone that can score in the post and struggle to score when their 3's are off. Think the Canes will give them a good game at home and get a possible win.

Ohio St. -7.5, 1 unit
Think they are much better defensively than Seton Hall. Seton Hall has only played one road game getting blown out at Texas and hasn't beaten a decent opponent yet. Think they get an easy win at home.

Lasalle +13, 2 units
Don't see any reason for USC to be favored by this many. They have only beaten Cal Riverside, Fullerton, and Morris Brown. Lasalle playing well losing by just 3 to Nova and Cincy while winning at James Madison. Line is way too high.
 

xerri

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UNLV -5.5, 2 units
1st true road game for a young Stanford club and this is their 5th game in 8 days. Stanford takes a lot of 3's and perimeter shots and struggles at the FT line shooting just 61.7%. UNLV likes an up tempo game and has a lot of quickness and good athletes. Think Stanford will run out of gas in the second half and UNLV will pull away and get the cover.

UL Lafayette +7.5, 2 units
Have not been impressed with this Cal team. They don't have much depth or size this season. Lafayette has a lot of size up front and should control the paint. If they can limit Cal's 3 pointers they could get the win. Think this one will be close.

New Orleans +12, 1 unit
Hawaii is only 7 deep and several of their key players play over 30 minutes. NO spread out their minutes a little more with only 1 player playing over 30 minutes. Don't think Hawaii has anyone that can stop Romero and think NO will be able to hang around.
 
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