Jeff, i looked at this game all week and did consider Shaub and senior scenario.
What sold me on this pick is Virginia struggled with the following teams:
Wake Forest lost by 7
Clemson lost by 3
Florida State lost by 5
N.C. State lost by 4
Maryland lost by 10
Virginia can't close!
Talent is short of that of Virginia Tech on both sides of the ball, including the coaching staff.
I think this will be a very entertaining game of the week to watch.
Best of luck