Saturday: Play of the Day

superbook

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For the season, Fairfield's Ajou Deng was shooting 63% from the field and 52% from the arc but he decided to shoot only 25% (3-12) from the field last night.

I'd go up to Fairfield and kick his ass but he's 6-11 and I'm not.

A nice POD run ended at 3.

Play of the Day record: 8-4-1

Tomorrow I'm going back out to the West Coast for my Play of the Day:

Utah State -9.5 (-120)

Fullerton is another one of those teams that the linesmakers have just caught onto and are now overcompensating for their early soft lines. After a nice 6-0 run ATS Fullerton is 0-2 ATS in their last two games.

Utah State (13-3) beat Fullerton (3-12) by 31 last year, this game is going to be just as ugly.

FWIW on a good day a home game at Fullerton will get 500 spectators.

Also as regular plays:

Kent State -13.5

The Golden Flashes, the #1 defense in the MAC, should have no trouble shutting down the offense of the Western Michigan Broncos who are only shooting 38% from the field and 23% from the arc in their last five. Early in the year, Western Michigan ranked among the top of the MAC in terms of 3-point FG%. In the past five games, Broncos have failed to hit more than 25% of their 3s in any one game.

Kent State is 5-0 ATS at home. Kent State leads the MAC in scoring margin at 13.6; this one should be by 20+.


Brown +2.5

After a week of exams, the Ivy is back in action. IMO Brown is one of the Ivy's top teams and are quietly playing good ball. All five starters return from last years team which finished near the top of the Ivy. Brown is shooting well at 45% from the field and 40% from the arc in their L5, while Yale seems to have lost their touch, hitting only 38% of their FGs and 27% of their 3s in their L5.

Brown is 3-0-1 ATS this season.


Cornell +9

Columbia is back home for one after six games on the road, then they're off again to play at Cornell, Penn and Princeton.

Columbia plays better at home than on the road and they'll probably win this one su but IMO nine is too many for them to cover over an improving Cornell team. Columbia is coming off an ugly 41-40 loss last Tuesday at Albany.

In their L5, the Lions have averaged only 52 ppg. Last year these two teams split their two games, with the home team winning by scores of 42-38 and 41-35.

Cornell is 0-10 away but 4-3-1 ATS in those road games.

gl
 
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djv

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Good Work

Good Work

Win or loose I like your thorough write ups. Have made couple of bucks to. thks.;)
 

buckeye fan

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utah state

utah state

superbook...
i enjoyed your writeup on utah state and i agree with your pick on them and i grabbed them at -10, which i thought wasnt bad. However, i just noticed that utah state is down to -8.5 and it has only been 1 hour since i bet the game. Does this mean anything at all or should i put more oney on them at 8.5. Just wondering your opinion thanks...
 

superbook

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I hate these line moves, I got burned big time by Wright State earlier this week as I kept loading up as the line went down.

In this case, I think a lot of big players are used to winning with Fullerton as the dog and are hammering down this line.

I really hate to see people lose on my picks so I'm not going to give you a recommendation of what to do now, but FWIW I have more faith in Utah State here than I did with WSU earlier this week, so personally I'm going to add to my position at -8.5.
 

superbook

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Fullerton only has 9 players and only two are big guys. The two big guys tend to get into foul trouble and their guards aren't that good either. Utah State should run them out from the beginning of the game.

Utah State is in the top 25 in RPI, Fullerton is in the bottom 25 in RPI.

gl
 

maggio

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Man, what a stiff they turned out to be.
That line dropped for a big reason.
And now we know why.
The signals were there.


maggio
 
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