Saturday Selections.......

Won4DaMoney

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2002 YTD NFL Record
11-5

2002 YTD COLLEGE FOOTBALL Record
17-17

LAST WEEK NFL FOOTBALL Record
8-2

LAST WEEK COLLEGE FOOTBALL Record
6-6

Easy winner on Thursday Night with Auburn over Mississippi State, then we followed it up with Friday nights? winner as UCF covered against Marshall (were we the only ones on UCF?).

We are 2-0 going into the weekend, giving us a nice head start, so we will go with the following selections on Saturday........

All 1 UNIT....

Illinois -23 over SJSU
A go against on SJSU, who are really bad. San Jose State has just 6 returning starters from last year?s bad team. San Jose State is playing their 4th straight road game and they finally began to wear down in the second half of last week?s 26-63 loss at Stanford. The Spartan defense has allowed an average of 9.0 yards per pass play and 7.0 yards per play the last 2 weeks against Washington and Stanford. San Jose State has an offense that is just as poor as their defense, as they have averaged just 272 yards per game in total yards.

MICHIGAN STATE -2? over Notre Dame
MSU will look to rebound off an embarrassing loss to Cal in which it was obvious they were not prepared to play. They gave the ball up 5 times vs. the Bears, twice deep in Cal territory. This is ND?s first actual road game this season, and they are still struggling offensively, averaging 290 yards of total offense per game. The Spartans defensively have been trying to find themselves, and are looking to put pressure on a Notre Dame OL that has allowed Purdue and Michigan to blitz and harass Carlyle Holiday in both games.
We bet that MSU takes care of the football, and the game.

Air Force +9? over California
Air Force leads the nation in rushing (368.5 yards a game) and is tied for eighth in scoring offense (45 points a game). They roll out the triple spread option on Cal, something they have never seen before and is very difficult to defend against, and no one runs it with more precision than Air Force. Air Force brings an attack that operates at a higher level, an effective and confounding scheme that uses trickery, misdirection and a variety of plays. Cal already faced a conventional option team in its win over New Mexico State, giving up a season-high 225 yards in rushing. In the Aggies' first drive of that game, they moved the ball from their own 10 to the Cal 12 in eight plays - - seven of them on the ground.
The Bear offense is facing an unorthodox defense as well. Air Force runs a three-five defense with five linebackers free to rush the quarterback, a defense rarely used in college football today. The Falcons use their odd front in an attempt to make up for their lack of size due to military height and weight restrictions.
Cal ranks second in scoring offense (50) but a lot of that had to do with turnover margin (plus-10). Their luck may not last this week, as we don?t suspect the disciplined Flyboys will turn it over 5 times like Michigan St did last week.
Air Force is 5-0-1 ATS over last six games with rest.

OREGON STATE -11? over Fresno State
Fresno State has dropped two of its first three outings, (Wisconsin, 23-21 in the opener and Oregon two weeks ago, 28-24) Their only win came against San Diego State at home by a final of 16-14. They were lucky to win that, as the Aztecs had the potential winning field goal blocked. Fresno State has one of the worst rushing attacks in the country, averaging less than 70 yards per game. The passing attack is a little better, averaging 224 yards per game, but their main threat at WR is out for this game. Actually, their major downfall so far has come as a result of their dismal 34 percent conversion rate on third downs.
The Beaver defense has been good, albeit against weaker teams, giving up just 10 ppg and 220 yards of total offense per contest.
Fresno State beat OSU last season, and they are looking for payback. The Beavers are 5-0 ATS in revenge situations under HC Erickson. OSU has not forgotten the dirty cheap shot antics of some of the Bulldog players in that loss, or the boorish behavior of a good deal of their fans. The added motivation will have the Beavs fired up.
OSU is 9-1 ATS as a home favorite under Erickson and 31-13-1 ATS overall since 1998.

Southern MIss +7 over ALABAMA
This is the biggest game of the season for Southern Miss. If they beat Bama this week, they would be favored in all of their games which could mean a potential 12-0 season and an outside shot at a BCS bowl bid. Bama seems to have trouble finishing-off opponents (Alabama is only 6-13 ATS as a favorite since '00)
Southern Miss's Derrick Nix has rushed for 523 yards and 5 TD's in 4 games, and had 196 yards last week against Memphis. He is special, and will do some damage here against the Tide.

WASHINGTON -30 over Wyoming
Go against for the second week in a row over the Boys. The 0-3 Cowboys have lost 11 straight. Wyoming opened with a 47-7 loss to Tennessee in Nashville that seemed to snuff the team's optimism. That was followed by a 32-20 loss at Central Michigan, who had won only nine games the previous three seasons. Wyoming then lost its home opener last Saturday to Boise State 35-13 in a game we predicted. The Cowboys surrendered 431 yards in total offense to the Broncos, 227 of those yards on the ground, with the backup QB at the helm for Boise State, to boot. To make things even worse for Wyoming, CB Wright (broken foot) is expected to miss season, and will be replaced by a redshirt freshman. Their star place kicker, Wallum, is expected to miss 4-6 weeks. The Cowboys have a decent QB in Bramlet, but their inability to run the ball has defense?s gearing up on the pass and causing Bramlet to make mistakes.
The Huskies dominate up and down the lines on both sides of the ball, and should destroy this undermanned, undersized Wyoming team.
The Cowboys are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 on the road against non-conference opponents.

Kentucky -6 over MTSU
MTSU seemingly played well in their first two games against Alabama and Tennessee, but in both games they were behind at the half and the other team let up. MTSU fell behind Alabama 22-0 before a fourth-quarter rally came up short. MTSU trailed Tennessee 17-3 before the Vols tacked on a safety and recovered a fumble in the end zone to finish off a 26-3 victory.
After three games, the Wildcats boast the SEC's leading rusher, it's top-rated passer and are ranked first in scoring offense at 42 points per game.

One usually thinks Kentucky, then of strong-armed KY QB Jared Lorenzen, who leads the conference in pass efficiency with nine TDs and only pick, but the real strength of the Wildcats have been their defense. Kentucky's defense, which ranked at the bottom of the Division I rankings the past two seasons, has allowed 338 yards per game -- 137 yards fewer than last season. They have allowed only 3 TDs from scrimmage in 3 games, as their DL is bigger, stronger, and deeper, and their secondary is displaying better coverage & tackling technique under new DB coach McGriff.

GOOD LUCK!
 
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