Saturday Service Plays 6/7/08

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JEFFERSONSPORTS

MLB SATURDAY
ST. LOUIS-107
ARIZONA-136
SAN FRANCISCO+115
 

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Hondo

Lincecum and the Giants New York Giants made yet another donation to Hondo Nation last night when they steamrolled the Nats to expand the wad to 420 mccormicks.

Today, he'll go with the Small Bears in LA - 10 units on Zambrano. Also, he'll back up his Belmont pick with a one-unit play on Macho Again. You gotta problem with that?
 

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Philly-Connection

FREE PLAY-#902 Dodgers/Cubs Under 7.5
 

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Gator

MLB 70% Super Situations (MLB Record 17-14 +252 units)


Our MLB 70% Super Situations could be either sides and/or totals from the MLB Card for that particular day. Selections are rated * 1 Unit, ** 2 Units, and *** 3 Units, with Three Units as a Top Selection. >>We will update our records in the next issue of the Gator Report.



MLB (17-14 +252) Saturday: Play On MLB (NL) teams when the money line is +125 to -125 with a team batting average of .275 or better on the season against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts.
41-14 SU last 5 seasons (74.5%) (6-1 TY) PLAY: * Chicago Cubs -121


MLB Saturday: Play Against MLB (NL) road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 with a starting pitcher who gives up more than 2.75 walks per start against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season.
38-11 SU last 5 seasons (77.6%) (4-1 TY) PLAY: * Washington -125
 

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VEGAS STEAMLINE

ARIZONA w/Haren -140 over Pittsburgh
 

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JIMMY THE MOOSE
Game: Cleveland Indians at Detroit Tigers Jun 7 2008 3:55PM

Prediction: Detroit Tigers

Reason: Both team's have been major disappointment's so far this season. The Indians are 4-11 in their last 15 road games. Cleveland is 6-14 in their last 20 games played on grass. In their last 12 games vs. a team with a losing record the Indians are 2-10. The Tigers are 6-2 in their last 8 games as a favorite. The Tigers are 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter. Detroit is 22-7 in Rogers last 29 home starts. In his last 10 home starts vs. a team with a losing record the Tigers are 7-3. Look for the Tigers bats to wake up tonight and win this. Play on the Detroit Tigers
 

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THE SPORTS ADVISORS


NATIONAL LEAGUE


Philadelphia (37-26) at Atlanta (32-30)

A matchup of young pitchers is set for Turner Field tonight, as Kyle Kendrick (5-2, 5,00 ERA) of the Phillies battles Atlanta?s Jo Jo Reyes (2-3, 4.78) in the middle game of a series between N.L. East rivals. Philadelphia got a run in the top of the ninth and two in the 10th to rally past Atlanta 4-3 in Friday?s opener. The Phillies are 10-2 in their last 12, and they?ve given up just seven runs in their last four contests. Also, Charlie Manuel?s club is on streaks of 5-1 against the N.L. East, 5-2 on the road and 6-0 against a left-handed starter. Atlanta has alternated wins and losses in its last four games, but is just 6-9 going back to May 23, including 5-4 at home. Still, the Braves are 25-9 at Turner Field this season, the third best home mark in the majors, and they?ve lost two straight home contests just once this year. Also, they?re 7-2 in their last nine against the N.L. East and 21-5 in their last 26 home games against right-handed starters.
The Phillies have won five of the last six series meetings, including taking two of three at home in mid-May in the first series between the clubs this season. The host is 7-4 in the last 11 clashes. Philadelphia is 8-1 in Kendrick?s last nine trips to the mound, including three straight wins over the Astros (7-5), Rockies (7-4) and Reds (5-4). Despite earning the victory in all three contests, Kendrick wasn?t exactly dominant, posting a 5.60 ERA. For the season, the Phillies are 9-3 when Kendrick starts, including 4-1 on the road, despite the right-hander?s 6.23 ERA as a visitor. Kendrick outdueled Reyes and Braves at home on May 13, allowing three runs on six hits and four walks in six innings en route to the 5-4 victory. He?s 2-0 with a 4.24 ERA in three lifetime starts the last two seasons against Atlanta. Reyes is coming off back-to-back quality starts against the Brewers and Marlins, giving up a combined four runs on seven hits and four walks with 13 strikeouts in 13 innings. However, he doesn?t have anything to show for it, losing 1-0 at Milwaukee and getting a no-decision in his team?s 7-5 win over the Marlins on Monday. The Braves are 4-1 in Reyes? five starts at Turner Field, with the southpaw posting a 5.25 ERA. Also, in his start at Philadelphia a month ago, Reyes got tagged for all five runs on 11 hits in 6 2/3 innings. It was his first-ever battle against the Phillies. The over is 8-4 when Kendrick pitches this season, including 5-1 on the road. Conversely, the under is 4-2 in Reyes? six starts (2-2 at home). The under is on streaks of 37-17-3 for the Braves overall, 5-0 for the Phillies overall and 11-3 for the Phillies on Saturdays. However, the over is 5-1-1 in the Braves? last seven home games, 4-2-1 in the Braves? last seven against the N.L. East, 4-1 in Philly?s last five against the N.L. East and 5-0 in Philly?s last five against southpaw starters.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE


AMERICAN LEAGUE

L.A. Angels (38-24) at Oakland (33-28)
The top two teams in the A.L. West continue a weekend series at McAfee Coliseum, with Jon Garland (5-3, 3.99) set to toe the rubber for the Angels against Oakland?s Greg Smith (3-4, 3.56). Behind another dominating start from ace John Lackey, Los Angeles took Friday?s series opener 3-1 to extend its winning streak to six in a row while halting Oakland?s four-game winning run. The Angels are now 20-11 on the road this year, while the A?s are 20-14 at McAfee, including 8-3 in the last 11.
The clubs split a four-game series in Los Angeles in the first clashes of 2008 between the clubs. The road team is 6-3 in the last nine series meetings, and the Angels have won four of the last five in Oakland.
The Angels scored two runs in the bottom of the ninth inning against the Blue Jays on Sunday to win 4-3 and get Garland off the hook for a loss. In the outing, Garland gave up three runs on five hits and four walks in five innings. It was his shortest stint since going five innings at Seattle on April 12, a span of nine starts. Also, the Angels are 6-3 in Garland?s last nine outings. Garland is 3-1 with a 3.00 ERA on the road this season, but he?s 3-9 with a 5.01 ERA in 14 career starts against the A?s, including 2-5 with a 3.86 ERA at McAfee Coliseum. In fact, the right-hander?s worst start of the season came at home against Oakland on April 28, as he got lit up for seven runs on 10 hits and three walks in six innings, falling 14-2.
Smith is coming off by far his worst start of the season, as he got rocked for seven runs on seven hits in five innings on Sunday at Texas, though the A?s bailed him out in a 13-8 victory. Oakland is 7-4 in Smith?s 11 outings this year, with the southpaw giving up three earned runs or fewer in nine of those contests. Smith is 2-1 with a 2.27 ERA in five home starts this year. However, in his first career start against the Halos on April 29 in L.A., he took a 2-0 loss despite giving up just the two runs on three hits in eight innings. Since getting crushed in that 14-2 loss to the A?s, Garland has stayed under the total in six consecutive starts. Meanwhile, Smith?s start at Texas on Sunday easily flew over the total, ending a 6-0 ?under? run with the 24-year-old on the hill. For Los Angeles, the under is on runs of 22-7 overall, 8-2 on the road, 7-1 against left-handed starters and 11-1-1 on Saturdays. Conversely, the over is 4-2 in Oakland?s last six overall and 5-1-2 in its last eight on Saturdays. Finally, the under is 39-16-2 in the past 57 series meetings between these rivals, including 5-0-1 in the last five battles in Oakland.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
 

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BLACK WIDOW AKA TIMOTHY BLACK

1* on Detroit Tigers -103
(List Rogers only)

Cleveland is 11-20 (-15.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. Cleveland is 2-8 (-8.5 Units) against the money line vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game this season. Kenny Rogers is 33-9 (+18.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) since 1997. Rogers rarely loses in this spot and he won?t be losing to the rival Indians Saturday. Rogers is undefeated with a 2.79 ERA over his last 3 starts for the Tigers. Aaron Laffey is 0-1 with a 7.50 ERA on the road in 2 road starts in 2008. The Tigers will bounce back after getting beat by Cleveland yesterday. Take the Tigers on the Money Line.
 

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*** EZ WINNERS MLB ***


5 STAR: (912) FLORIDA (-$129) over Cincinnati
(Listing Olsen and Arroyo)
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1 STAR: (902) LA DODGERS (+$113) over Chicago
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2:55PM Central Time

1 STAR: (910) ATLANTA (-$113) over Philadelphia
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6:10PM Central Time

1 STAR: (925) MINNESOTA (+$151) over Chicago
(Action)
(Risking $100 to win $151)
6:05PM Central Time
 

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On The Beach
Millionaires Club Guaranteed Selections
Date: Saturday, June 07, 2008
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92% HIGH ROLLER BASEBALL WINNER
Cincinnati w/Arroyo +110 7:10 EST
 

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On The Beach
The Consensus Group Guaranteed Selections
Date: Saturday, June 07, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed: Last year we were 64-28 in Baseball for +39.40 UNITS! And that is playing ONE UNIT PER GAME! Today we are featuring 5000* BASEBALL DIAMOND DOMINATOR WINNER as ALL FIVE of our handicappers are on this game and ALL FIVE of them are making this game a BEST BET!! The Computer Simulator gives our play an 88% chance of winning for us! Get this GUARANTEED WINNER for $25! 38-17 +20.4 UNITS THIS YEAR! 6/7/2008

5000* BASEBALL DIAMOND DOMINATOR WINNER
Toronto w/Burnett -147 1:05 EST
 

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On The Beach
Insiders Sports Network Guaranteed Selections
Date: Saturday, June 07, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed: Today ALL FIVE of our INDEPENDENT SOURCES are all on ONE BASEBALL GAME! This game can only be rated as an INSIDERS NETWORK MLB PLAY OF THE DAY! You can get this GUARANTEED WINNER today for just $25 and you MUST WIN or you will not be charged! We were 60-35 in College Hoops this year and we are currently 45-18 in the NBA, 47-15 in the NHL and 30-16 in Baseball! 6/7/2008

NETWORK MLB PLAY OF THE DAY
LA ANGELS w/Garland +110 9:05 EST
 

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On The Beach
Winners Inc. Guaranteed Selections
Date: Saturday, June 07, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed: Today in Baseball we are featuring our 5000* BASEBALL WINNER! You can get this WINNER for just $25 and you are GUARANTEED TO WIN or you will not be charged! We are currently on a REMARKABLE 800-35 run with all of our guaranteed selections including 33-12 our last 45 selections! So far this year in Baseball we are 45-21 for PLUS 16.1 UNITS! 6/7/2008

5000* BASEBALL WINNER
Arizona w/Haren -130 7:05 EST
 

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On The Beach
Date: Saturday, June 07, 2008
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ULTIMATE EXPERTS BASEBALL CRUSHER
St Louis w/Wainwright -107 7:05 EST
 

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On The Beach
The Hitman Guaranteed Selections
Date: Saturday, June 07, 2008
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5000 LARGE BASEBALL WINNER
Cleveland w/Laffey -105 3:55 EST
 
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