Record: 4-5
Net Units: -.4
=================
Not really in the mood to discuss the Wake Forest result. . . I will only say that I still believe I was on the right side and say congrats to those who were on Northern Illinois. This weekend should get us back on the plus side with units to spare.
Play of the Day:
Michigan/Washington UNDER 52.5
Absolutely no question in my mind that Vegas issued a line that is roughly 7 points too high. I'm not sure why this has happened and I honestly don't care! I'll take this GIFT (and you never hear me say the word gift) for several reasons:
1. First and foremost, this is the first game for both teams. . . and a huge game at that. I expect both teams to come out a little conservative not wanting to take too many chances that could lead to turnovers at the beginning of the game. Similar to last year's game even though Michigan had a game under their belt.
2. As JSMOOTH already indicated, Michigan will look to establish the run as they always do in big games. This is how Michigan wins big football games! They rarely come out in a big game and completely blow away the competition like they did against Penn State in 1997 (still a low scoring game at 45 points). I have followed Michigan since I was 5 years old and it doesn't matter whether its Bo as the coach or Lloyd Carr. . . Michigan is a running team that uses up chunks of the clock in one single possession. This will be especially true with with their top two receivers (especially Walker) of last year gone.
3. We've looked at Michigan, only fair to check out Washington as well. They do return their top two receivers from last year along with their QB Pickett. Clearly in my view, Washington will either win this game or lose it through the air. Unfortunately, it really didn't work last year (we all know the Huskies won due to fortunate turnovers in the 2nd half) and Michigan has had an entire year to improve what I felt was a suspect secondary last year (as evidenced by the Vols in the bowl game). Washington will of course try and run the ball early as well, but not as frequent as Michigan. They will eventually learn that going to the air is their only way to win this game but again I do not expect them to take too many early chances that could threaten their opportunity to win this game in the fourth quarter.
In the end, I expect a similar game as last year with one or two turnovers being crucial and the difference if they even happen at all. Should be a very boring (offensively) yet well played game by both teams. No matter what happens with Washington, I cannot see Michigan changing their game plan of running the clock and attempting to win this game on the ground. They simply do not have nearly the passing attack that they had the last several years. This game may also come down to special teams where I believe Washington holds a decent advantage. I expect the score to be around 21-17 with either team coming out the victor. . . sure hope its Michigan, but I may play a small wager on the Washington ML. Still, the under in this one is clearly the best bet in this game and in my opinion, the entire card on Saturday. If you plan on going along with this play, I suggest jumping on now before this total drops below 50.
Taking Washington/Michigan under 52.5 for 3.3 units to win 3
More plays to come tomorrow.
Net Units: -.4
=================
Not really in the mood to discuss the Wake Forest result. . . I will only say that I still believe I was on the right side and say congrats to those who were on Northern Illinois. This weekend should get us back on the plus side with units to spare.
Play of the Day:
Michigan/Washington UNDER 52.5
Absolutely no question in my mind that Vegas issued a line that is roughly 7 points too high. I'm not sure why this has happened and I honestly don't care! I'll take this GIFT (and you never hear me say the word gift) for several reasons:
1. First and foremost, this is the first game for both teams. . . and a huge game at that. I expect both teams to come out a little conservative not wanting to take too many chances that could lead to turnovers at the beginning of the game. Similar to last year's game even though Michigan had a game under their belt.
2. As JSMOOTH already indicated, Michigan will look to establish the run as they always do in big games. This is how Michigan wins big football games! They rarely come out in a big game and completely blow away the competition like they did against Penn State in 1997 (still a low scoring game at 45 points). I have followed Michigan since I was 5 years old and it doesn't matter whether its Bo as the coach or Lloyd Carr. . . Michigan is a running team that uses up chunks of the clock in one single possession. This will be especially true with with their top two receivers (especially Walker) of last year gone.
3. We've looked at Michigan, only fair to check out Washington as well. They do return their top two receivers from last year along with their QB Pickett. Clearly in my view, Washington will either win this game or lose it through the air. Unfortunately, it really didn't work last year (we all know the Huskies won due to fortunate turnovers in the 2nd half) and Michigan has had an entire year to improve what I felt was a suspect secondary last year (as evidenced by the Vols in the bowl game). Washington will of course try and run the ball early as well, but not as frequent as Michigan. They will eventually learn that going to the air is their only way to win this game but again I do not expect them to take too many early chances that could threaten their opportunity to win this game in the fourth quarter.
In the end, I expect a similar game as last year with one or two turnovers being crucial and the difference if they even happen at all. Should be a very boring (offensively) yet well played game by both teams. No matter what happens with Washington, I cannot see Michigan changing their game plan of running the clock and attempting to win this game on the ground. They simply do not have nearly the passing attack that they had the last several years. This game may also come down to special teams where I believe Washington holds a decent advantage. I expect the score to be around 21-17 with either team coming out the victor. . . sure hope its Michigan, but I may play a small wager on the Washington ML. Still, the under in this one is clearly the best bet in this game and in my opinion, the entire card on Saturday. If you plan on going along with this play, I suggest jumping on now before this total drops below 50.
Taking Washington/Michigan under 52.5 for 3.3 units to win 3
More plays to come tomorrow.
