Scandinavian Masters

Stanley

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Outright plays (1pt):

Michael Campbell to win 20/1 e.w. @ Victor Chandler
Nothing wrong with Campbell's form at Barseback. In four visits, he has recorded four top-15 finishes and has been showing the form recently that should enable that run to continue. He finished 2nd in the Scottish Open three weeks ago and was in the top-5 heading into the weekend at Royal Troon the following week. He won at least one European Tour event every year since 1999; this could be the week to continue that streak.

Ian Poulter to win 25/1 e.w. available generally
Poulter has won at least one European Tour event every year since his rookie year of 2000 and, like Campbell, is needing a win to continue that streak for another year. There are no question marks nowadays over his ability to win when in contention and back in 2001 when he led by a shot going into the final round on this course, he only lost out to Colin Montgomerie by the slenderest of margins. He missed the cut last week, but that should be of benefit as he played the previous five weeks in a row. Having been in contention in three of those weeks, he should bounce back with a strong performance around Barseback again.

Luke Donald to win 33/1 e.w. available generally
Donald is another with a good history around Barseback. He was on the leaderboard in each of the last three days last year before finishing 3rd and his familiarity with the course should present his best chance this year of winning a European Tour event and forcing himself into the Ryder Cup team. Last year he played in three events in Europe, the Open Championship, the Irish Open and this event. His finishes were mc, 23rd and 3rd. This year, his playing schedule is exactly the same and he has finished mc and 22nd. If history continues to repeat itself, this should be a profitable play.
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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Opting for a long one here to place
Richard Johnson 16/1 5d or Skybet.

Sure looks weak with only one cut in 14 events on Nationwide this year but similiar last year with only 2 cuts in 14 on Nationwide however Euro tour diff results with a 6th 12th and cut in 3 events.
Was hoping Chopra got in this field but don't see him in tee times even though listed 20/1 place @ 5dimes
 

sports student

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72 hole at 5 dimes:

M Campbell -115 over Jacobson
Poulter -115 over Monty
Donald -103 over Parnevik

following Stanley's leads here. Prices seem ok. Getting in now instead of waiting to see if I could do better at Pinnacle
 

Stanley

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Matchup plays (1pt unless stated):

Michael Campbell to beta Fredrik Jacobson +100 @ Centrebet
Jacobson has rather lost his form over the past month and as a result Cambo has beat him on all three occasions they have played in the same event since the U.S. Open. So will certainly take these odds on the outright selection to beta him again.
(available generally)

Nick O'Hern to beat Colin Montgomerie +104 @ Pinnacle [2pts]
Monty is a very long way from the player who won on this course in 1999 and 2001, so while his course form is impressive it should matter little this week. Since the Wales Open, O'Hern has secured five top-10 finishes from six starts; Monty has none from those six and has finished ahead of O'Hern just once since the Tour reached Europe (8 common events).
(also available at Centrebet and Nordicbet)

Nothing else appeals this week.
 

lal2000

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Outrights - 1 unit ew - 1/4 odds 1st 5

R Karlsson 66/1 @ Victor Chandler
H Stenson 100/1 @ Victor Chandler
P-U Johansson 100/1 @ Victor Chandler
R Johnson 125/1 @ Sporting Odds

Currently over in Sweden on holiday and planning to go and watch some of the Masters over the weekend. Will report back if I make it.

Good Luck!
 

lostinamerica

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Between Green Bay and Iowa City
OUTRIGHTS:

Joakim Haeggman(22/1) e.w. @ Bet365
Luke Donald(28/1) e.w. @ Bet365
Niclas Fasth(40/1) e.w. @ 5dimes
Raphael Jacquelin(50/1) e.w. @ Bet365
Richard Green(80/1) e.w. @ 5dimes
Steve Webster(125/1) e.w. @ 5dimes

MATCHUPS:

Donald(-103) over Parnevik (Tournament) @ 5dimes
Green(+200) over Jacobson/Woosnam (1st Round) @ Bet365
Fasth(+125) over Broadhurst/Owen (1st Round) @ Bet365
Haeggman(+125) over Remesy/A.Hansen (1st Round) @ Bet365

GL
 
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lostinamerica

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Between Green Bay and Iowa City
SATURDAY:

McGinley(-122) over Howell @ 5dimes
Howell's guts and fumes at the moment exceed his sharpness; McGinley comes from the other direction.

Parnevik(-115) over Donald @ 5dimes
Stays in touch with the lead.

Poulter(-115)(-1/2) over S.Hansen @ 5dimes
Putts have been tracking (both days), which reacquaints Poulter with some bold notions.

Cheers!

GL
********** ********** ********** **********
Don't believe everything you think.
 

Stanley

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Outrights - FINAL RESULT: 2-1; +22.25pts

Campbell mc
Poulter 4th
Donald 1st

Very polished performance from Luke Donald who never looked like losing this tournament once he had taken the lead. As an established player on the PGA Tour, he really should be in the Ryder Cup team. Even Poulter came from 32nd after the third round to snatch a place win and ensure a very healthy return on the event.

Matchups - FINAL RESULT: 1-1-0; -1.00pts

Campbell/Jacobson WON by 5
O'Hern/Montgomerie LOST by 9

Small loss over the two plays that I did fancy this week. Of little after the success on the outrights.

European Tour ytd
Outrights: 15-39; +17.72pts
Matchups: 46-35; +11.22pts
 
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