Outright plays (total stake per play: 1pt)
Henrik Stenson to win 12/1 e.w. available generally
Really struggled to find any value (or was it enthusiasm?) with this event. There is a strong turnout from the Swedish players, but not from the rest of Europe's leading players and the prices on the home players are very skinny across the board. With Pettersson playing his sixth straight event across two Tours, favouritism should genuinely fall to Stenson. The seasons could have hardly started any better with finished of 2nd, 1st (wire-to-wire) and 7th in the Middle East event in January-February and then finishing 3rd in the Players Championship at Sawgrass, but since then his form has been patchy. But he was still a wire-to-wire winner of the Asian Open in the midst of a run of five events in which he missed the cut three times and he has finished 2nd in this event in each of the last two years, via a playoff last year. On ability alone, he should win this and in terms of closing out a winning position, he is better than anyone else in this field. Let's hope he gives himself a chance to do so this week.
Soren Hansen to win 28/1 e.w. @ BetInternet, Bet365 and Victor Chandler
Hansen is certainly a player in form. He finished 2nd in two European Tour events in June and has finished 14th and 9th in his last two in July. Throw in two top-20 finishes in his last three starts at Barseback and a weakened field and he really should finish on the leaderboard again this week. Not really a player to back to win (though is that really valid after Corey Pavin?), but he should prove to be a valuable assist to Stenson in this event.
Henrik Stenson to win 12/1 e.w. available generally
Really struggled to find any value (or was it enthusiasm?) with this event. There is a strong turnout from the Swedish players, but not from the rest of Europe's leading players and the prices on the home players are very skinny across the board. With Pettersson playing his sixth straight event across two Tours, favouritism should genuinely fall to Stenson. The seasons could have hardly started any better with finished of 2nd, 1st (wire-to-wire) and 7th in the Middle East event in January-February and then finishing 3rd in the Players Championship at Sawgrass, but since then his form has been patchy. But he was still a wire-to-wire winner of the Asian Open in the midst of a run of five events in which he missed the cut three times and he has finished 2nd in this event in each of the last two years, via a playoff last year. On ability alone, he should win this and in terms of closing out a winning position, he is better than anyone else in this field. Let's hope he gives himself a chance to do so this week.
Soren Hansen to win 28/1 e.w. @ BetInternet, Bet365 and Victor Chandler
Hansen is certainly a player in form. He finished 2nd in two European Tour events in June and has finished 14th and 9th in his last two in July. Throw in two top-20 finishes in his last three starts at Barseback and a weakened field and he really should finish on the leaderboard again this week. Not really a player to back to win (though is that really valid after Corey Pavin?), but he should prove to be a valuable assist to Stenson in this event.
