First bet for Loch Lomond for me is Matt Kuchar - already a winner on the PGA tour this year - he then stupidly broke a bone in his foot playing basketball during the Players Championship! - seems back to form with a 5th in the Fedex he played this course 3 times as an amateur - best finish on his last visit in 2000 when he was top 25, 80/1 is a decent price at UK Betting
Scottish Open
- Thread starter Ian
- Start date
Barry Lane 80/1 bet365 3rd last year
Greg Owen 80/1 11th last year
Soren Hansen 66/1 14th last year
All in better form this season and worth an e/w shout
Greg Owen 80/1 11th last year
Soren Hansen 66/1 14th last year
All in better form this season and worth an e/w shout
perhaps another lame duck..but good price
1 ew Scott 40/1(Blue Square)
form of 12/3 looks good here..
1 ew Scott 40/1(Blue Square)
form of 12/3 looks good here..
Decided to reinvest a bit on Soren Hansen - last weeks m/c was hardly a surprise and he played well here last year - 66/1 at Ladbrokes.
And for the other - a quick quiz - which American has won twice this year already and three times last year and plays at Loch Lomond? Answer - Dean Wilson (on the Japanese tour!) - much as I am tempted by the 330/1 from Centrebet I doubt he could get into contention and stay there but Coral have a top US market up which is quite weak (Kuchar excepted!) and at 40/1 he could be worth an e/w nibble
And for the other - a quick quiz - which American has won twice this year already and three times last year and plays at Loch Lomond? Answer - Dean Wilson (on the Japanese tour!) - much as I am tempted by the 330/1 from Centrebet I doubt he could get into contention and stay there but Coral have a top US market up which is quite weak (Kuchar excepted!) and at 40/1 he could be worth an e/w nibble
Scott 50/1 Willhill. 3rd last year and 12th in 2000. Hasn't played well lately but that's reflected in the price.
Lehman 40/1 Willhill. Former winner here who loves this course. Showed some form when he was 7th in the Buick Classic.
Fasth 30/1 Centrebet. An in-form player who was 6th last week and 2nd in the Irish Open. 14th last year.
Lehman 40/1 Willhill. Former winner here who loves this course. Showed some form when he was 7th in the Buick Classic.
Fasth 30/1 Centrebet. An in-form player who was 6th last week and 2nd in the Irish Open. 14th last year.
thanks milpalm, gone in for more on Scott at 50/1..
adding Westwood (the lamer the duck, the better)...he is creeping back into contention..two top 20's last two weeks, and once again, price looks right..50/1 (UK Betting) 1 ew
adding Westwood (the lamer the duck, the better)...he is creeping back into contention..two top 20's last two weeks, and once again, price looks right..50/1 (UK Betting) 1 ew
Couldn't decide between Els & Goosen so will try smaller stakes on Barry Lane 100/1 Sporting Odds (110 betfair). Think he won a Scottish Open when it was played at Gleneagles. 3rd over C/D last year. In decent form this season, 9th last week and B & H 2nd.
Els 10/1 @ Sportingbet
Goosen 11/1 @ Sports.co.uk both 2 Units win only.
Not very inspired selections but with such stand-out credentials will invest a little. So many ifs and buts looking down the field I think the 2 SAs have a great chance between them.
Goosen 11/1 @ Sports.co.uk both 2 Units win only.
Not very inspired selections but with such stand-out credentials will invest a little. So many ifs and buts looking down the field I think the 2 SAs have a great chance between them.
72-Hole Matchups:
72-Hole Matchups:
Rose v Langer 9/10 @ Ladbrokes 4 Units.
Last 3 times Rose has missed the cut he has come back the following week with finishes of 1st-3rd-1st. He played 4 solid rds here last yr and I expect a top-25 from him this week. Langer has MCd here on his previous 3 visits to the Loch. His game has been in terrible shape compared to the form of 2001. He has not shot a rd in the 60s since mid-April and with a course playing severly wet will test his game more than Roses. As long as Rose doesn't implode early there should be a sizable gap between the players all week.
Romero v Jimenez 4/6 @ Sportingbet 3 Units.
Hate the price but the quality gap is to immense. This course is perfect for Romeros game. Jimenez has had a shocking yr in Yankville and I doubt he'll do better than t-50 this week. The consistency of Eduardos game this season has been exemplary.
Adding:
Woosnam to Miss the Cut 9/4 @ Chandler 1.5 Units.
He has already hinted that if the course turns into a swimming pool he'll be pulling out. He has some ghosts to deal with at the Open this yr and doubt he'll be risking his back in heavy conditions this week. Hoping he'll pull out after a 6-hr 1st rd nightmare.
72-Hole Matchups:
Rose v Langer 9/10 @ Ladbrokes 4 Units.
Last 3 times Rose has missed the cut he has come back the following week with finishes of 1st-3rd-1st. He played 4 solid rds here last yr and I expect a top-25 from him this week. Langer has MCd here on his previous 3 visits to the Loch. His game has been in terrible shape compared to the form of 2001. He has not shot a rd in the 60s since mid-April and with a course playing severly wet will test his game more than Roses. As long as Rose doesn't implode early there should be a sizable gap between the players all week.
Romero v Jimenez 4/6 @ Sportingbet 3 Units.
Hate the price but the quality gap is to immense. This course is perfect for Romeros game. Jimenez has had a shocking yr in Yankville and I doubt he'll do better than t-50 this week. The consistency of Eduardos game this season has been exemplary.
Adding:
Woosnam to Miss the Cut 9/4 @ Chandler 1.5 Units.
He has already hinted that if the course turns into a swimming pool he'll be pulling out. He has some ghosts to deal with at the Open this yr and doubt he'll be risking his back in heavy conditions this week. Hoping he'll pull out after a 6-hr 1st rd nightmare.
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Final Summary:
Final Summary:
Goosen 14th
Els 50th
p/l for week: -4 Units
Outrights ytd: +22.37 Units
Matchups for week: (2-1) +4.1 Units
Matchups ytd: (15-13) +12.75 Units
Total P/L YTD: +35.12 Units.
Romero and Rose 1st and 5th, Els and Goosen nowhere. Typical .
Final Summary:
Goosen 14th
Els 50th
p/l for week: -4 Units
Outrights ytd: +22.37 Units
Matchups for week: (2-1) +4.1 Units
Matchups ytd: (15-13) +12.75 Units
Total P/L YTD: +35.12 Units.
Romero and Rose 1st and 5th, Els and Goosen nowhere. Typical
. 