Se?or Capper's Divisionals

Senor Capper

is feeling it
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I'm leading 2 contests and don't want to give my plays away, to give others an advantage. So I'll post only this one now.....


denver_logo.gif
-8.0 :0074 :0074 :0074 (played them twice)

Baltimore beat the weakest of the playoff teams at home LW w/a big emotional lift w/the return of Lewis. Still, they gave up 25 FD's and 419 yds to a rookie dome QB in his 1st playoff game. Sure they're healthier than the 1st meeting but they're off a very emotion packed game and now on the road with altitude, so a letdown is definitely in order.


Denver is 13-3 SU & 11-4-1 ATS, and Peyton owns the Ravens. There are those who like to point to Denver's 2-3 SU record against playoff teams. While that is a valid criticism of the Broncos' seasonal value, it is not all that relevant to what we see out of this team now. All three of those losses came in the first five weeks of the season - the first five games that Manning had played in over a year.
Despite early TOs in each loss - which can be somewhat attributed to bad luck and rust - the Broncos were in each of those games in the fourth quarter (and two of them were on the road). Since then, Denver has won 11 straight games (9-1-1 ATS in that span) with seven double digit wins, blowout wins on the road over playoff teams in Cincinnati and Baltimore and an average margin of victory of 31.5-15.9.

Denver has won 9 total games by DDs on the year.
I see number 10 coming up early Saturday.

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-2.5 Not a popular play by any means. But my play nonetheless.

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+3.0 There ya go RAY. Going against the better D and Running game at home. That's very unlike me. :facepalm:

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GB/SF Under 45.5

HOU/NE Over 48

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Thinking about Pep more now that the post-season has started. He sure loved this time of year. Rest in Peace my friend. God Bless ya



Best to all

SC
 
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Hashish

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Love it! Perfectly stated reasons of exactly why Denver should roll. Best of luck n your contests!
 

MadJack

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FWIW

FWIW

Winners of 11 or more games, underdogs of more than 4 points in the playoffs are 13-0 ATS if avenging a same season loss of less than 27 points as underdog.

Winners of 9 or more straight games, averaging more than 21.5 points per game are 0-13 ATS in last 13 playoffs games.
 

Senor Capper

is feeling it
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thanks for your input, Homer......


















:00x3

Ravens are on a 0-6-1 ATS slide after allowing 250 PYs (288 LW) and they're 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 off a SU loss. hmh
 
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Senor Capper

is feeling it
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You're write up helps me Big Time SC, Thanks. :0074

You're welcome. There are plenty of write-ups elsewhere that can make you think differently



No lock. No doubt. Matter of fact there's an awful lot of Red-Hot Touts on Balty.

good luck whatever you decide
 
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el JB

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Winners of 11 or more games, underdogs of more than 4 points in the playoffs are 13-0 ATS if avenging a same season loss of less than 27 points as underdog.

Winners of 9 or more straight games, averaging more than 21.5 points per game are 0-13 ATS in last 13 playoffs games.

YOU HAVE IT RIGHT !!!!!!:0074
 

Hashish

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Winners of 11 or more games, underdogs of more than 4 points in the playoffs are 13-0 ATS if avenging a same season loss of less than 27 points as underdog.

Winners of 9 or more straight games, averaging more than 21.5 points per game are 0-13 ATS in last 13 playoffs games.

You're getting more desperate as the game draws nearer. I'm getting more relaxed. BEWARE THE GLOVE.
 

Betone

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GL on your contest selections :0074

On the other side of your Denver play, you should be golden then :lol:

Hope to meet you at the SB party :0008
 
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