If you follow my plays, please take heed, as historically Week 15 has been very bad for me !! :facepalm:
The Pack are 8-2 SU/ATS (inc playoffs) in the series winning the previous meeting 23-10 as a 4.5 pt HF. GB dominated every facet of the game with a 321-168 yd edge, pulled in 7 sacks forcing 4 ints (10 pts) and scored a TD on a fake FG.
Rodgers has fared very well vs the Bears avg 244 ypg (70%) w/a 16-6 ratio and he gets a big break with Urlacher (hamstring) out. GB has avg?d +56 ypg/ 26 ppg vs top 10 defenses TY and their 3-2 SU/ATS mark is due to the fact they were force feeding the ground game to start the season.
Chicago finished with a 438-248 but Culter threw an int that was ret?d to the C5 and threw a pick 6.
GB has won & covered 7 straight NFC North games w/a 32-18 avg score and the visitor has a 10-3 ATS record in Dec with playoff need vs a depleted Bears team that is 4-10 ATS in Dec.
Back the PACK !! :Yep:
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Gmen have covered 5 straight as an Away Dog winning 4 outright and have the #9 and #20 units (+6 TO?s) vs a tougher schedule this year, while ATL has the #8 and #20 units (+6 TO?s) vs arguably the easiest schedule in the league.
This is the 1st team ATL has faced w/a winning record since DEN back in Wk 2 and only the 3rd team with a pass rush (DEN/ARZ) in the top 14 all year (NYG #13).
The G-men are 7-2 ATS vs foes with a winning record and if made a dog they are 8-2 ATS in that role including knocking off SF 26-3.
The Falcons gave up only 2 sacks LW and despite only allowing 7 sacks in the L/5 games Ryan has a 7-8 ratio. He may face his toughest pass rush all season as NY has already totaled 4+ sacks 4 times this year.
I know what you're thinking, Punk! Just how good is this 11-2 Falcons team that has played the WEAKEST schedule and has only outgained it?s opponents by 12 ypg? :jerkit:
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The Steelers league?s top-ranked defense has outgained all but two opponents this season, holding seven of them to season low ? or 2nd low ? yards in the process.
On the flipside, Dallas has been outgained in six of its last eight contests, eking out stat wins of 21 and 9 yards in those games. And then there?s the quarterback battle. Tony Romo?s failures this time of the year are well documented: he is just 2-8 SU and 1-9 ATS at home in December and a vomit-producing 0-7 ATS this month when off back-to-back wins. :mj02:
In contrast, Big Ben does not take well to losing games by DD margins, going 11-2 SUATS In his NFL career in follow up affairs, including 9-0 SUATS when facing sub .600 opponents.
No, I'm not thrilled with the line change in this affair, but I'm thoroughly convinced this is the right way to go. :yup
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Injuries are starting to crack the Colts D as they?ve given up 121 (4.8) ypg rush the L4W and have a 12-4 ratio on the road with just 9 sacks.
The Colts have been outscored by 37 points on the season yet they have managed to win nine of 13 games.
Phillips turns the bulls loose on Luck & helps me with the cover :0074
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Peyton is a stellar 7-0 SU/ATS record vs BAL. Manning has avg?d 248 ypg (64%) w/a 13-5 ratio in that span and he now faces the#23 pass defense that isn?t what is used to be. Denver has huge stat edges with the #4 and #4 edges (-2 TO?s) vs Baltimore #18 and #24 units (+12 TO?s).
Added rest and an easy Thursday win negates the travel.
Giiddy up !!
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There is a reason the Patriots are very difficult to beat at home, or anywhere, in December. There is an intimidation factor?and mystique?around the success they have had with Tom Brady leading Belichick?s O. There?s only one way to fight that history?with fire.
So hoprfully they abandoned the strategy of trying to run often with Frank Gore to play keep-away from Brady. The 49ers need to come out firing with Kaepernick, as his big-play ability as a passer and runner is why they picked him to start over Alex Smith.
I never jump in front of a Money Train. Hope I don't regret it :mj16:
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added games..............
Best to all
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