Seattle Tonight Anyone?

[Nolan Dalla]

Seattle +9 at Orlando
I've seen the line on this game move from Orlando -7.5 (-7 in some places) to as high as -9. I don't understand why the strong line movement here. Sonics have played a murderous early schedule against three very tough teams (Sonics are 2-1 ATS versus Sacra, San Ant, and Utah) and are coming off the tough home loss to the Jazz on Saturday and will be motivated to play well on the road, with the day's rest in between. Sonics play the first of a five game road trip tonight, and must play Miami tomorrow night -- which I think plays into a situation where Seattle will run, score, and try to get the road trip off with a win. Magic have played three poor to mediocre teams (I don't give Toronto much credit, despite being a playoff team last season). Orlando had an absolute cake walk against Cleveland and have yet to really be tested by a team that likes to run and can score points. Anyone have any thoughts on this game and know any reason to lay-off? Otherwise, I like the Sonics here getting the 9 points.

Thanks,

Nolan Dalla

 

[hellah10]

I like Sonics +9 as well as the under 201.5
Also taking Clippers -4

OD

 

[RAYMOND]

ORLANDO HAS WON THE LAST THREE MEETINGS AT HOME OVER SEATTLE BY DOUBLES,

 

[gsp]

Nolan, here are some things to think about.

Orlando is a high scoring team but they play better d than most people want to give them credit for. They are also very young and I have found that young teams (Sac last year) that can play d have a tendancy to slack off until they get beat trying to outscore their opponent (Ind). They then will play d until they have won a few more. Keep in mind that Ind is not that bad this year and stand a chance in a shoot-out with anyone. Tor has also scored over 100 their last two games and scored more against Mia than Orl. Orl held Tor to 85. 5 below Mia. We know that Rielly's teams play d.

On the other hand you have Sea starting a 5 game road trip. Sea can not win a shoot-out with Orl. Even if they did, they have 4 more tough games with only 2 days off. They also will have trouble scoring this year even tho they got 114 against SA. SA is not playing d this year giving up over 100 in three out of the four they have played. Utah came in two days later, played a little d, and held them to 74. I look for Sea to slow the ball down, conserve energy, and hope Orl isn't hitting jump shots. They have got to pace themselves or they could go home 0-5. If Orl gets 10 up this game could get ugly. At 7, I was going to unload on Orl. At 9 it gets a little hairy. For me, it will be either Orl or pass. I know everyone will think I'm crazy but I am seriously looking at the under.

 

[BOBBYW]

WAIT FOR THE LINE TO MOVE AGAIN IF YOU WANT SEA. ORL IS THE CONSENSUS PICK SO FAR.

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[Innavation]

Gsp----I do not think your crazy for liking the under 201--------Yes!! Orlando has been putting many points but i think the Athleticism from both teams will give each other some problems on the offense end!! These teams feature some great Defenders that can block and change many shots!!! When an offensive player changes his shot it usually does not go in---I believe there will be many of them... Also--Gary Payton and the SOnics like to get fast-break oppurtunities but i think Payton's greatest attribute is winning.. And he knows that "running" is not the answer to beating the Magic... I am too leaning towards the under 201---

 

[Nolan Dalla]

GSP (and everyone):

Thanks for the feedback. I'll play Seattle small tonight, given there are many scenarios that indicate (at least a possible) blowout.

Nolan

 

[RAYMOND]

GOOD LUCK

 

[RAZ]

Nice Call!

 

[kaoboy]

Nolan,

Nice call!

 

[TJBELL]

that goes triple for me!!!!!!! great call!!!!!!

 

[hellah10]

Damn over in the sonics game! Unreal they totaled 62 points by the end of 1st quarter...damn! Well at least I had Sonics +9. Need a good day tomorrow

OD

Nice one Nolan

 

[dr. freeze]

yeah nice call...i played this one myself...i wouldda thought it would be about 4-5.....especially since ewing....you had to think Seattle would be somewhat up for the game with that in mind even though he was only there for a year.....

seattle's too good a team to lay that many against unless it is a big time down spot or at LA.....Payton, and the youngsters are talented and can run with anyone......

 

[gsp]

Nice call Nolan. I sure called that one wrong. I'm interested to see how Sea does tonight. Should learn a lot about Sea tonight. They even took it to ot and cost me the under.

 

[yyz]

Nice job of handicapping! Thanks again for finding the time to post.

 

[Roger]

Nice call Nolan!

I went with the old age saying..."if it's too good to be true,..."

When I first saw the line at -7.5 I thought to myself it's a trap...surely the sonics can stay within a few baskets of the Magic...especially after beating the spurs like they did a couple nights earlier...then when it went up to 9 I thought for sure it was a trap...with the Magic playing in front of the home crowd and with the talent they have this year...a 110-95 type of game was not out of the question...but low and behold the Sonics played tough all night and won the game outright!

Best of luck!