Seniors Players Championships

Stanley

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Jul 26, 1999
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Outright plays (total stake per play: 2pts)

Tom Watson to win 14/1 e.w. @ BetInternet and William Hill
Was kicking myself for most of last week for not backing Watson at 20/1, but his hometown voodoo continued courtesy of a cold putter on Sunday and he finished 2nd. This was example that home advantage can become a disadvantage in the deciding part of a game. But those Sunday putting worries aside, this was a return to the form that brought him six consecutive top-5 finishes on this Tour until the Senior PGA Championship in May. And with a record of finishing 2nd and 3rd in his last two attempts here, he really should be in the mix once again, as he always is in the Senior Majors.

Brad Bryant to win 22/1 e.w. @ SkyBet
Compared to the last four months, last week's 14th place finish was a major disappointment. Since the Toshiba Senior Classic in March, he has finished on worse than 11th in every event, winning twice. He still ranks 3rd on the Money List and Charles Schwab Cup Points List behind Haas and Roberts (he is also behind Watson in the Scoring Average stats), so would have been expected to be at lower odds, particularly at SkyBet and particularly as he has good course form under his belt (his 16th place finish on his debut last year was his best finish in an eight-event stretch).

D.A. Weibring to win 30/1 e.w. @ BetInternet
The last thing that you need when you have momentum is to sit around waiting to play your shot. After 12 holes of the final round on Sunday, Weibring was seven-under-par for the day and had surged into sole possession of the lead, but after he hit his drive into a good position on the 13th, when he arrived for his second shot, the trio in front were no more than 40 yards ahead. Weibring had to wait more than 10 minutes to play his approach shot, which he overhit to the back of the green, from where he three-putted after leaving his first putt four-feet short. Had the group in front not caused so many problems, there could have been a different story on Sunday and for that reason, he is backed again this week. Finishes of 13th and 5th in the last two years are two more good reasons to give him another chance to continue Sunday's hot streak.
 

Stanley

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Matchup plays (2pts)

Brad Bryant to beat Scott Simpson -125 @ The Greek
Simpson has finished ahead of Bryant only twice in their last eight common events and both occasions he needed to finish in the top-5 to do so. A repeat of that seems unlikely as he is making his debut on this course, so this should be a win for the very consistent outright selection.

Gil Morgan to beat Allen Doyle +100 @ The Greek
They have the wrong player favoured here. When Doyle won the U.S. Senior Open last year, he finished 46th the following week and trailed Morgan by nine shots. A similar letdown to winning such an important Major is expected this week. And if that were not enough, last week was the first time in four months that Doyle has finished ahead of Morgan (8 common events).

Jay Haas to beat Fred Funk +109 @ Pinnacle
And the wrong player is favoured here. Haas is the leading money winner on Tour and leads the Charles Schwab Cup Points table, so he is currently on track for the Tour's Player of the Year and yet he is a large underdog against a player who is struggling with his putting? If Funk was ever going to finish ahead of Haas it would be in a USGA event and he failed to do that last week. In fact, he has failed to do that in either of their last two common PGA Tour events (U.S. Open and Wachovia Championship). Knowing where to hit the drives is very important around the TPC of Michigan and Haas has that experience from playing here last year, Funk does not. I still can't understand these odds.
(also available at Stan James)
 

Whalers Rule

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Aug 2, 2002
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Saskatoon, Sask.
Pohl 200-1 1 unit e.w
Strange 125-1 1 unit e.w.

first round plays at 5 dimes 2 units each

07/13/06 R.W. EAKS (1ST RND) -107 KEITH FERGUS (1ST RND)
07/13/06 DAN POHL (1ST RND) -105 BRUCE SUMMERHAYS (1ST RND)
 

Stanley

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Outrights - FINAL RESULT: 0-3; -6.00pts

Watson 17th
Bryant 7th
Weibring 22nd

Yet more frustration as this really was a tournament there to be won by Watson and Bryant. Watson held the lead after two rounds, but dropped seven shots in a four-hole spell on the back nine on Saturday. Despite a double-bogey on the 14th hole on Sunday (he had a quadruple there on Saturday), he still only finished six shots behind Wadkins. And Bryant, who started the final day in 3rd place, was two-over-par within the first four holes. Roberts threw this tournament away, but both players had already blown their golden opportunities.

Matchups - FINAL RESULT: 3-0; +6.18pts

Bryant/Simpson WON by 3
Morgan/Doyle WON by 10
Haas/Funk WON by 3

A much-needed sweep!

Champions Tour ytd
Outrights: 9-39; -9.34pts
Matchups: 23-18; +5.38pts
 
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