Yeovil (ENG-Two)/Crawley Town (ENG-Two) Over 2? -132
Forest Green (ENG-Two)/Wycombe (ENG-Two) Over 2? -116
Forest Green (ENG-Two)/Wycombe (ENG-Two) Over 2? -116
September 2nd - 4th
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- Start date
That is very strange....Hasn't been that type of movement on them yet this year on any of their totals...May buy back a bit...Crawley Town could dictate pace of play but so far this year the only under game Yoevil has played they basically just rolled over and had you and me playing in the game on account of a midweek tourne they were resting their starters for. This week that shouldn't be the case. Their schedule says no midweek games next week...I'm gonna roll with it but if this one goes under someone knew something shady about this game and waited till the last minute to hit the under
5dimes line has turned upside down but at few other books like hasn't budged much
5dimes line has turned upside down but at few other books like hasn't budged much
Fix was in on the Yeovil game. That under got a lot of money for a League 2 game.
Glad I added to the Wycombe game to cover that one, but learned a lesson today. Will wait til overnight moves for any future bets in this league.
Glad I added to the Wycombe game to cover that one, but learned a lesson today. Will wait til overnight moves for any future bets in this league.
I laid off a good bit on Yeovil...believe we are one to it in this league...I looked back and when Yeovil went under last time the same thing happened over night...I still believe there will be profit to be made on Yeovil overs this season but I will definetly wait for the Friday night - Saturday morning line movement to dictate which side to play...interesting stuff
wanted to ask you what EURO leagues to you find this method applies too???...as far as watching line movement overnight from Friday-Saturday???
It applies to most leagues but I would say it is more pronounced in all English lower divsions, Italy and Russia. You can often see $30-40 moves overnight in these leagues. Not as much in Germany, Spain and the Premier League, but I think this is because there is much more money bet in these leagues, but I am paying a lot more attention to it this year because you will see it everywhere.
The good thing about the time difference is that we get to see the change as soon as we get up in the morning as Euro betters have already had time to bet. Most in Europe wait to play the game the day of the game. It is part of the game day routine (similar to most NFL bettors in the US) since it is legal just about everywhere. Betting parlors are a zoo on Saturdays!
Before internet gambling you really had to be in a book to take advantage of it. Now, it is much easier to gauge and should be a big part of any serious handicappers work. Of course it is not always right, but I would say big moves are right more often than not and it has become a bigger part of my capping. I like to think I can be on the right side more often than not and will make early bets when I see a movement coming (Portugal, N. Ireland and Germany Ov are all perfect examples just this week as all were pushes vs wins if you did not play when I posted and waited for the a.m. line move)
Just look at the USA game last night. It jumped to -165 and then big money came it and pounded CR and it went to -130 very quickly.
I would say this trend is more pronounced and correct in soccer than any other sport I pay attention to. I hear tennis can be worse but I don't bet tennis.
The good thing about the time difference is that we get to see the change as soon as we get up in the morning as Euro betters have already had time to bet. Most in Europe wait to play the game the day of the game. It is part of the game day routine (similar to most NFL bettors in the US) since it is legal just about everywhere. Betting parlors are a zoo on Saturdays!
Before internet gambling you really had to be in a book to take advantage of it. Now, it is much easier to gauge and should be a big part of any serious handicappers work. Of course it is not always right, but I would say big moves are right more often than not and it has become a bigger part of my capping. I like to think I can be on the right side more often than not and will make early bets when I see a movement coming (Portugal, N. Ireland and Germany Ov are all perfect examples just this week as all were pushes vs wins if you did not play when I posted and waited for the a.m. line move)
Just look at the USA game last night. It jumped to -165 and then big money came it and pounded CR and it went to -130 very quickly.
I would say this trend is more pronounced and correct in soccer than any other sport I pay attention to. I hear tennis can be worse but I don't bet tennis.
Very good insight...thank you...been watching this without really a true understanding of its meaning...this morning's 2 totals in England were great examples...are there any other scenarios during the week as far as day to day (besides Friday-night to Sat morning) where this comes into play???...by the way nice hit on the over in Spain/Italy...great stuff thank you for your in depth response
I would say it tends to happen more when there are a lot of games to focus on versus just a couple as it i nearly impossible to pay attention to every game when there are 50+ games to cap. But I will say that I do not pay as much attention to some of the leagues that you play since I simply do not have the time. However, my guess is that you will see it even more it some of the lesser bet leagues since there is not as much action and a couple big bets can really more the lines.
Thanks!! Euro WCQs have been very good to me the last few days. Will put a couple more up for tomorrow, but there is nothing I am in love with.
Thanks!! Euro WCQs have been very good to me the last few days. Will put a couple more up for tomorrow, but there is nothing I am in love with.
I have been making it a point to focus on the lower tier leagues this year and see what I can learn...been very interesting the first few weeks
