SERVICE PLAYS FOR FRIDAY JAN. 18TH 2008
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$$$$$$$ GOOD LUCK $$$$$$$
SERVICE PLAYS FOR FRI. 1/18
- Thread starter GIANTS007
- Start date
WINNING POINTS
Friday, January 18
***BEST BET
Atlanta over *Toronto by 7
The marketplace still hasn?t caught up to the Hawks. These Hawks are an athletic,
confident bunch, which is why they?re hovering above .500 this late in the season for
the first time since their last playoff year of 1999. They own recent road victories
against the Wizards, Magic, 76ers, Timberwolves and Heat. As long as Joe Johnson
stays healthy, and Josh Smith and Marvin Williams continue to live up to expectations,
the Hawks should remain undervalued. ATLANTA 106-99.
***BEST BET
Sacramento over *Detroit by 1
Missing their best players, the Kings are covering generous point spreads. Role players
are being elevated to starters, but effort is coming from Francisco Garcia, Beno Udrih,
Mikki Moore and John Salmons. Despite their losing mark, the Kings are 6-1 ATS on
the road after an 0-9 beginning. The Pistons have a revenge game on tap against the
Bulls. Chicago upset the Pistons in Detroit last month, 98-91. So their full concentration
may not be there for this easy-to-overlook opponent. SACRAMENTO 94-93.
Friday, January 18
***BEST BET
Atlanta over *Toronto by 7
The marketplace still hasn?t caught up to the Hawks. These Hawks are an athletic,
confident bunch, which is why they?re hovering above .500 this late in the season for
the first time since their last playoff year of 1999. They own recent road victories
against the Wizards, Magic, 76ers, Timberwolves and Heat. As long as Joe Johnson
stays healthy, and Josh Smith and Marvin Williams continue to live up to expectations,
the Hawks should remain undervalued. ATLANTA 106-99.
***BEST BET
Sacramento over *Detroit by 1
Missing their best players, the Kings are covering generous point spreads. Role players
are being elevated to starters, but effort is coming from Francisco Garcia, Beno Udrih,
Mikki Moore and John Salmons. Despite their losing mark, the Kings are 6-1 ATS on
the road after an 0-9 beginning. The Pistons have a revenge game on tap against the
Bulls. Chicago upset the Pistons in Detroit last month, 98-91. So their full concentration
may not be there for this easy-to-overlook opponent. SACRAMENTO 94-93.
THE SPORTS MEMO
FAIRWAY JAY (1/18)
New York at Washington
Recommendation: Washington
We cashed our biggest play of the NBA season last Saturday
night on the Washington Wizards, as they knocked off the top
team in the Eastern Conference (Boston Celtics). Situationally,
I provided some strong support for the Wizards as home
underdog, and they beat the ?Green Giants? 85-78. Relentless
rebounding and hard-nosed defense led the way along with
timely shot making and free throw shooting. The defense has
been much improved for Washington this season, allowing eight
ppg less than a year ago (now 97 ppg) and a respectable 44.4%
shooting against. Washington held the Celtics to a season-low
score, and will have traveled back to Boston for a rematch Monday,
then take on the Knicks in New York in a clear letdown spot
Tuesday evening. New York will have played a rematch against
a motivated New Jersey team Wednesday evening on the road
before traveling to Washington to play the rested Wizards Friday.
New York has won just two games on the road, and has
allowed at least 100 points in six of their last seven road contests.
Look for Washington?s much-improved defense to shut
down a poor shooting Knicks team and take advantage of New
York?s league worst field goal defense (48%). Antonio Daniel?s
stability at the point after returning to the lineup earlier this
month has given Washington more options on the offensive
end. DeShawn Stephenson and Caron Butler have really provided
strength on the defensive end, and with Antawn Jamison
and Brendon Haywood banging on the boards, look for the Wizards
to wipeout the Knicks in this rematch. Take Washington.
FAIRWAY JAY (1/18)
New York at Washington
Recommendation: Washington
We cashed our biggest play of the NBA season last Saturday
night on the Washington Wizards, as they knocked off the top
team in the Eastern Conference (Boston Celtics). Situationally,
I provided some strong support for the Wizards as home
underdog, and they beat the ?Green Giants? 85-78. Relentless
rebounding and hard-nosed defense led the way along with
timely shot making and free throw shooting. The defense has
been much improved for Washington this season, allowing eight
ppg less than a year ago (now 97 ppg) and a respectable 44.4%
shooting against. Washington held the Celtics to a season-low
score, and will have traveled back to Boston for a rematch Monday,
then take on the Knicks in New York in a clear letdown spot
Tuesday evening. New York will have played a rematch against
a motivated New Jersey team Wednesday evening on the road
before traveling to Washington to play the rested Wizards Friday.
New York has won just two games on the road, and has
allowed at least 100 points in six of their last seven road contests.
Look for Washington?s much-improved defense to shut
down a poor shooting Knicks team and take advantage of New
York?s league worst field goal defense (48%). Antonio Daniel?s
stability at the point after returning to the lineup earlier this
month has given Washington more options on the offensive
end. DeShawn Stephenson and Caron Butler have really provided
strength on the defensive end, and with Antawn Jamison
and Brendon Haywood banging on the boards, look for the Wizards
to wipeout the Knicks in this rematch. Take Washington.
NBA plays
NBA plays
Here's a couple free plays I found posted in the NBA tonight from cappers I like. Paul Leiner has a 10* play on the Blazers/Heat over 192. He is 8-3 on NBA overs this month. Arthur Ralph's free play is the Washington Wizards -7. They are actually a pretty solid home play, so I will play this one too. Good luck to all and if you have NBA plays, please post!!
NBA plays
Here's a couple free plays I found posted in the NBA tonight from cappers I like. Paul Leiner has a 10* play on the Blazers/Heat over 192. He is 8-3 on NBA overs this month. Arthur Ralph's free play is the Washington Wizards -7. They are actually a pretty solid home play, so I will play this one too. Good luck to all and if you have NBA plays, please post!!
EZ Winners
1 STAR: (723) FAIRFIELD (+3) over Iona
(Risking $110 to win $100)
6:30PM Central Time
Fairfield has dominated this series. The Stags have beaten the Gaels in eight out of the last ten meetings and Fairfield is 7-2-1 against the spread in those games. Home court advantage doesn't mean anything in this matchup. Both of these teams have losing records, but Fairfield actually has a better road record than home record and Iona is only 5-15 against the spread in their last twenty home games. The Stags are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven road games and I look for them to get the win here. Take the points!
NBA
2 STAR: (720) GOLDEN STATE (PICK) over Chicago
(Risking $220 to win $200)
8:35PM Central Time
I don't think the Bulls have the firepower on offense to keep up with the Warriors. Chicago is only 1-7 against the spread in their last eight home games and a horrible 6-21 against the spread in their last 27 games against the NBA Pacific division. Kirk Hinrich is also out for this game and that will hurt them becuase they need all the scoring that they can get to keep up with Golden State. Chicago will need a hell of a defensive effort to win this game. I don't think that will happen and the key stat here is that the Bulls are 1-14 against the spread this season when they allow 100 or more points. Warriors take this one!
1 STAR: (723) FAIRFIELD (+3) over Iona
(Risking $110 to win $100)
6:30PM Central Time
Fairfield has dominated this series. The Stags have beaten the Gaels in eight out of the last ten meetings and Fairfield is 7-2-1 against the spread in those games. Home court advantage doesn't mean anything in this matchup. Both of these teams have losing records, but Fairfield actually has a better road record than home record and Iona is only 5-15 against the spread in their last twenty home games. The Stags are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven road games and I look for them to get the win here. Take the points!
NBA
2 STAR: (720) GOLDEN STATE (PICK) over Chicago
(Risking $220 to win $200)
8:35PM Central Time
I don't think the Bulls have the firepower on offense to keep up with the Warriors. Chicago is only 1-7 against the spread in their last eight home games and a horrible 6-21 against the spread in their last 27 games against the NBA Pacific division. Kirk Hinrich is also out for this game and that will hurt them becuase they need all the scoring that they can get to keep up with Golden State. Chicago will need a hell of a defensive effort to win this game. I don't think that will happen and the key stat here is that the Bulls are 1-14 against the spread this season when they allow 100 or more points. Warriors take this one!
WINNERS EDGE
NBA:
2 units Atlanta Hawks/Toronto Raptors over 186
2 units La Clippers/ Utah Jazz Over 197.5
5 units Portland Trail Blazers - 4.5 (Game of the Month)
NBA:
2 units Atlanta Hawks/Toronto Raptors over 186
2 units La Clippers/ Utah Jazz Over 197.5
5 units Portland Trail Blazers - 4.5 (Game of the Month)
COMPS
BIG AL Comp
Philadelphia 76ers +11 over Boston Celtics
TRACE ADAMS
Portland Trail Blazers
NICK JONES
Memphis Grizzlies -5.5
Bob Harvey Sports
Niagara ~vs~ Canisius
Niagara -12.5 (-105)
HDs ACTIONLINE
Toronto -6.5
BIG TIME SPORTS
FRIDAY JANUARY 18th
SACRAMENTO / DETROIT UNDER 195
ARTHUR RALPH
Washington NBA
DARK HORSE
NBA - Miami +4.5 over Portland
BIG AL Comp
Philadelphia 76ers +11 over Boston Celtics
TRACE ADAMS
Portland Trail Blazers
NICK JONES
Memphis Grizzlies -5.5
Bob Harvey Sports
Niagara ~vs~ Canisius
Niagara -12.5 (-105)
HDs ACTIONLINE
Toronto -6.5
BIG TIME SPORTS
FRIDAY JANUARY 18th
SACRAMENTO / DETROIT UNDER 195
ARTHUR RALPH
Washington NBA
DARK HORSE
NBA - Miami +4.5 over Portland
JIM FEIST COMPS
The Celtics got their groove back the last game, ending a 2-game skid with an impressive 10-point win over surging Portland. Boston is whipping opponents by 14 ppg at home! They take on a rival here in the 76ers. Philadelphia has a small team, one the bigger Celtics can take advantage of. And they always get up to play the 76ers, going 5-0 ATS the last five meetings. Philadelphia is on a 1-6 SU, 2-5 ATS run.
Play the Celtics!
A pair of teams with bad records meet, but they are headed in opposite directions. Charlotte plays well at home at 13-11 Su, 13-10-1 ATS. They have been on a hot streak the last two weeks, winning 4 of 6 games while covering the numbers in all 6. Even more impressive, they were an underdog in all 6 games! A very beatable team comes to town as Memphis is a mess, especially on the road at 4-15.
Play the Bobcats!
Dave Cokin Comp
713 Kings @ 714 Pistons 8:05PM ET
Play: Kings +11
The Pistons lost their earlier meeting with the Kings, and the quick reaction is to expect big revenge. But that hasn't been the case for Detroit when in this scenario. The Pistons have actually been awful the last couple years in this setting, and they're a pretty amazing 0-8 vs. the number when facing a squad that topped them when they were road favorites in the prior meeting. The Kings are finally healthy and look to have enough value at the big number to justify a play
The Celtics got their groove back the last game, ending a 2-game skid with an impressive 10-point win over surging Portland. Boston is whipping opponents by 14 ppg at home! They take on a rival here in the 76ers. Philadelphia has a small team, one the bigger Celtics can take advantage of. And they always get up to play the 76ers, going 5-0 ATS the last five meetings. Philadelphia is on a 1-6 SU, 2-5 ATS run.
Play the Celtics!
A pair of teams with bad records meet, but they are headed in opposite directions. Charlotte plays well at home at 13-11 Su, 13-10-1 ATS. They have been on a hot streak the last two weeks, winning 4 of 6 games while covering the numbers in all 6. Even more impressive, they were an underdog in all 6 games! A very beatable team comes to town as Memphis is a mess, especially on the road at 4-15.
Play the Bobcats!
Dave Cokin Comp
713 Kings @ 714 Pistons 8:05PM ET
Play: Kings +11
The Pistons lost their earlier meeting with the Kings, and the quick reaction is to expect big revenge. But that hasn't been the case for Detroit when in this scenario. The Pistons have actually been awful the last couple years in this setting, and they're a pretty amazing 0-8 vs. the number when facing a squad that topped them when they were road favorites in the prior meeting. The Kings are finally healthy and look to have enough value at the big number to justify a play
TEDDY COVERS
Illinois State at Drake
Recommendation: Drake
We can expect to continue getting extremely attractive prices to
support Drake as long as Missouri Valley Conference leading scorer
Josh Young remains out with a severely sprained right ankle. First
year head coach Keno Davis has taken over for his father Tom,
much the way Tony Bennett took over for his dad at Washington
State and immediately engineered a 15-win improvement over
what his father had been able to accomplish in the previous season.
The transformation here at Drake has been eerily similar, with the
building blocks put in place by the dad reaping tremendous dividends
for the son. And there?s still plenty of value left with a team
that was projected as a bottom feeder in the Missouri Valley Conference,
but has gotten off to a 14-1 SU, 10-1 ATS start to the campaign.
Drake is outscoring foes by more than 20 points per game at
home, enjoying tremendous crowd support in a conference loaded
with strong home court edges. And there?s tons of depth on this
squad, allowing us to continue supporting them despite Young?s
injury. Leonard Houston and Jonathan Cox are both hitting better
than 45% for the season from long range, and forward Klayton
Korver is a deadeye dick from downtown as well. Combine that with
a 75% free throw shooting percentage at home and a defense that
is forcing turnovers galore while holding opponents to 40% shooting
from the field, and you can understand why the fundamentals
are in place for Drake to continue their stellar early season run.
Illinois State at Drake
Recommendation: Drake
We can expect to continue getting extremely attractive prices to
support Drake as long as Missouri Valley Conference leading scorer
Josh Young remains out with a severely sprained right ankle. First
year head coach Keno Davis has taken over for his father Tom,
much the way Tony Bennett took over for his dad at Washington
State and immediately engineered a 15-win improvement over
what his father had been able to accomplish in the previous season.
The transformation here at Drake has been eerily similar, with the
building blocks put in place by the dad reaping tremendous dividends
for the son. And there?s still plenty of value left with a team
that was projected as a bottom feeder in the Missouri Valley Conference,
but has gotten off to a 14-1 SU, 10-1 ATS start to the campaign.
Drake is outscoring foes by more than 20 points per game at
home, enjoying tremendous crowd support in a conference loaded
with strong home court edges. And there?s tons of depth on this
squad, allowing us to continue supporting them despite Young?s
injury. Leonard Houston and Jonathan Cox are both hitting better
than 45% for the season from long range, and forward Klayton
Korver is a deadeye dick from downtown as well. Combine that with
a 75% free throw shooting percentage at home and a defense that
is forcing turnovers galore while holding opponents to 40% shooting
from the field, and you can understand why the fundamentals
are in place for Drake to continue their stellar early season run.
Comps
RAZOR SHARP SPTS
YOUR FREE WINNER FOR FRIDAY: CHARLOTTE/NEW ORLEANS Over 193
MIKE WYNN
Free Pick: Detroit -10? Over Sacramento
#1 SPTS
FRIDAY'S FREE WINNER: SACRAMENTO KINGS + 11
HUDDLE UP SPTS
Friday Free Winner
Charlotte +9
TOTALS 4U
FRIDAY'S FREE WINNER: GOLDEN STATE/CHICAGO OVER 210
VEGAS STEAMLINE
Free Winner for Friday: Take Philadelphia/Boston Under 183
RAZOR SHARP SPTS
YOUR FREE WINNER FOR FRIDAY: CHARLOTTE/NEW ORLEANS Over 193
MIKE WYNN
Free Pick: Detroit -10? Over Sacramento
#1 SPTS
FRIDAY'S FREE WINNER: SACRAMENTO KINGS + 11
HUDDLE UP SPTS
Friday Free Winner
Charlotte +9
TOTALS 4U
FRIDAY'S FREE WINNER: GOLDEN STATE/CHICAGO OVER 210
VEGAS STEAMLINE
Free Winner for Friday: Take Philadelphia/Boston Under 183
Vegas Experts Free Play
Portland Trail Blazers at Miami Heat
Friday, January 18th, 7:05 PM ET
Hard to believe but the Heat return home off a 30-point home loss with same season revenge against Portland tonight. With that we note that NBA home dogs with a win percentage of < .333, off a SU home dog loss of 30 > points, are 34-13 ATS when hosting a non-conference foe. Look for Miami to put up their best effort here tonight.
Good luck - Marc Lawrence
Play on: Miami
Vegas Experts Tip of the Day
Charlotte Bobcats at New Orleans Hornets
Friday, January 18th, 8:05 PM ET
New Orleans has been as impressive as the Bobcats lately, winning and covering six-of-seven. Its last was a plus 30-point (123-92) win over Seattle and it also beat the Bobcats in Charlotte in late December 99-85. However, CHARLOTTE is 52-31 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons and NEW ORLEANS is 17-35 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more since 1996.
Play on: Charlotte
Portland Trail Blazers at Miami Heat
Friday, January 18th, 7:05 PM ET
Hard to believe but the Heat return home off a 30-point home loss with same season revenge against Portland tonight. With that we note that NBA home dogs with a win percentage of < .333, off a SU home dog loss of 30 > points, are 34-13 ATS when hosting a non-conference foe. Look for Miami to put up their best effort here tonight.
Good luck - Marc Lawrence
Play on: Miami
Vegas Experts Tip of the Day
Charlotte Bobcats at New Orleans Hornets
Friday, January 18th, 8:05 PM ET
New Orleans has been as impressive as the Bobcats lately, winning and covering six-of-seven. Its last was a plus 30-point (123-92) win over Seattle and it also beat the Bobcats in Charlotte in late December 99-85. However, CHARLOTTE is 52-31 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons and NEW ORLEANS is 17-35 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more since 1996.
Play on: Charlotte
Comps
NY Knicks (+8) at WASHINGTON By Sports Gambling Hotline, Featured Handicapper
Don't look now, but the Knicks ride a season-high 3 game winning streak into Washington this Friday night. Included is an underdog outright win over Washington 105-93 on Tuesday as the 2 point home dog.
Maybe the Knicks won't record another outright on the road tonight, but we do like them plus the generous impost against a Wizards team that does have a date with the Dallas Mavericks on deck.
Series numbers show the Knickerbockers with outright wins in the last pair of meetings, covers in 3 in a row, and 4 of the last 5.
This is the Knicks best stretch of the season, and we will ride them plus the points to get their 4th straight cover.
Play on New York.
1♦ NEW YORK KNICKS
New York (+8) at WASHINGTON By Michael Cannon, Featured Handicapper
I am 34-32-1 with my last 67 overall free plays pending the outcome of the Suns last night.
Take the points with the Knicks tonight when they travel to take on the Wizards.
New York is actually playing decent, having won and covered three straight. They have a great shot tonight staying within this number as the Wizards really don't have the ability to bury a team without Gilbert Arenas.
The Knicks have covered the last three against the Wizards and four of the last five.
Take the points with New York as they continue their good run with a cover tonight.
2♦ NEW YORK
Charlotte (+9) at NEW ORLEANS By Karl Garrett, Featured Handicapper
The G-Man comes through once again last night, as Arizona plus the points stays inside the number at Stanford. That makes 9 straight comp winners.
Hard to find fault with the Bobcats latest tear, as Charlotte heads to the Big Easy having won their last pair of games, and 4 of their last 6 straight up, while covering in ALL 6 of those games!
The G-Man will go to the well one more time tonight, as this seems like a lot of points for the Hornets to be laying. True, New Orleans is on a tear of their own, as the Hornets have won 3 in a row, and 6 of their last 7 both straight up and against the spread, but the Hornets know they can probably go on cruise control in this one and still come away with the home outright.
Most of the Hornets spread-covering damage has been achieved on the road, as New Orleans is 14-5-1 against the spread away from home, but just 9-9 against the math in their home games.
G-Man is calling for a New Orleans win, but more importantly a Charlotte cover - their 7th in a row.
3♦ CHARLOTTE
Golden State (pk) at CHICAGO By Bobby Maxwell, Featured Handicapper
It's off to the NBA hardwood for a FREE play on Golden State as the Warriors take on the Bulls in Chicago tonight. We're going to play the Warriors to be able to easily handle the Bulls in this one.
Even with the Warriors coming into Chicago for their third road game in four nights, we're going to play Golden State in this one as they can put up so many points the Bulls won't be able to keep up.
Golden State has scored 104 points or more in six of its last seven games but seem to light up the scoreboard against bad teams. And right now, the Bulls are a bad team. The Warriors lost in Indiana 125-117 on Wednesday, falling as two-point underdogs, but it was a brutal fourth quarter for the Warriors as they allowed 46 points.
Chicago is just 1-7 ATS in its last eight home games and 6-21 ATS in its last 27 against Pacific Division teams. There is something wrong with this team that seemed just a step or two away from winning the Eastern Conference last season and now can't seem to beat anybody. The Bulls are just 5-12 ATS at home, not good news for the home fans.
The Warriors are 3-1 ATS in the last four meetings and we've got no worries about this team putting up the points, scoring 105.2 per game on the road.
Let's back the high-flying Warriors in this one. They can score enough to make things very hard on the Bulls.
3♦ GOLDEN STATE
Golden State (pk) at CHICAGO By Drew Gordon, Featured Handicapper
275-249-5 over my L529 Free Play releases!
If oddsmakers want to give Chicago more credit than is due in this match up, that's fine by me! Clearly, Golden State is the better team here, and the fact Chicago is just 1-7 ATS over their last 8 home games cannot be ignored either. But let's dig a little deeper...
First of all, injuries to both Hinrich (missed last 2 games with back spasms) and Nocioni (bruied hip) are significant. Although their both listed as day-to-day, even if they play, one has to question their effectiveness in a game where they'll be running around for 48 minutes. Hinrich especially, because he's one of their best perimter defenders, and will be sorely missed if he can't go or isn't 100%.
Second, the Warriors are coming off a tough loss at Indiana, and will surely be fired up to bounce back in this one. True, the Bulls looked good manhandling the Heat two days ago, but so what? The Warriors are a much much better team than the Heat right now. Not to mention, before that win the Bulls had lost 4 of their last 6 SU and 5 of 6 ATS.
Finally, let's talk offense, as the Warriors have it, but I'm not so sure about the Bulls. Of course, critics will say that the Bulls scored 126 points against the Heat and therefore are supremely qualified to run with the Warriors, but that's just plain wrong. The Bulls are an average offensive team, scoring just over 94 ppg on the season on just 42% shooting. The possibility they'll be without two of their best perimeter players isn't a good thing for this Chicago offense either!
Bottom line, while I expect a relatively competitive game here, eventually Golden State's offense will trump the Bulls defense. In the end, this Chicago team has been a terrible bet at home, and one lopsided road win over the Heat isn't going to convince me otherwise.
Take Golden State over Chicago in this NBA match up.
2♦ GOLDEN STATE
NY Knicks (+8) at WASHINGTON By Sports Gambling Hotline, Featured Handicapper
Don't look now, but the Knicks ride a season-high 3 game winning streak into Washington this Friday night. Included is an underdog outright win over Washington 105-93 on Tuesday as the 2 point home dog.
Maybe the Knicks won't record another outright on the road tonight, but we do like them plus the generous impost against a Wizards team that does have a date with the Dallas Mavericks on deck.
Series numbers show the Knickerbockers with outright wins in the last pair of meetings, covers in 3 in a row, and 4 of the last 5.
This is the Knicks best stretch of the season, and we will ride them plus the points to get their 4th straight cover.
Play on New York.
1♦ NEW YORK KNICKS
New York (+8) at WASHINGTON By Michael Cannon, Featured Handicapper
I am 34-32-1 with my last 67 overall free plays pending the outcome of the Suns last night.
Take the points with the Knicks tonight when they travel to take on the Wizards.
New York is actually playing decent, having won and covered three straight. They have a great shot tonight staying within this number as the Wizards really don't have the ability to bury a team without Gilbert Arenas.
The Knicks have covered the last three against the Wizards and four of the last five.
Take the points with New York as they continue their good run with a cover tonight.
2♦ NEW YORK
Charlotte (+9) at NEW ORLEANS By Karl Garrett, Featured Handicapper
The G-Man comes through once again last night, as Arizona plus the points stays inside the number at Stanford. That makes 9 straight comp winners.
Hard to find fault with the Bobcats latest tear, as Charlotte heads to the Big Easy having won their last pair of games, and 4 of their last 6 straight up, while covering in ALL 6 of those games!
The G-Man will go to the well one more time tonight, as this seems like a lot of points for the Hornets to be laying. True, New Orleans is on a tear of their own, as the Hornets have won 3 in a row, and 6 of their last 7 both straight up and against the spread, but the Hornets know they can probably go on cruise control in this one and still come away with the home outright.
Most of the Hornets spread-covering damage has been achieved on the road, as New Orleans is 14-5-1 against the spread away from home, but just 9-9 against the math in their home games.
G-Man is calling for a New Orleans win, but more importantly a Charlotte cover - their 7th in a row.
3♦ CHARLOTTE
Golden State (pk) at CHICAGO By Bobby Maxwell, Featured Handicapper
It's off to the NBA hardwood for a FREE play on Golden State as the Warriors take on the Bulls in Chicago tonight. We're going to play the Warriors to be able to easily handle the Bulls in this one.
Even with the Warriors coming into Chicago for their third road game in four nights, we're going to play Golden State in this one as they can put up so many points the Bulls won't be able to keep up.
Golden State has scored 104 points or more in six of its last seven games but seem to light up the scoreboard against bad teams. And right now, the Bulls are a bad team. The Warriors lost in Indiana 125-117 on Wednesday, falling as two-point underdogs, but it was a brutal fourth quarter for the Warriors as they allowed 46 points.
Chicago is just 1-7 ATS in its last eight home games and 6-21 ATS in its last 27 against Pacific Division teams. There is something wrong with this team that seemed just a step or two away from winning the Eastern Conference last season and now can't seem to beat anybody. The Bulls are just 5-12 ATS at home, not good news for the home fans.
The Warriors are 3-1 ATS in the last four meetings and we've got no worries about this team putting up the points, scoring 105.2 per game on the road.
Let's back the high-flying Warriors in this one. They can score enough to make things very hard on the Bulls.
3♦ GOLDEN STATE
Golden State (pk) at CHICAGO By Drew Gordon, Featured Handicapper
275-249-5 over my L529 Free Play releases!
If oddsmakers want to give Chicago more credit than is due in this match up, that's fine by me! Clearly, Golden State is the better team here, and the fact Chicago is just 1-7 ATS over their last 8 home games cannot be ignored either. But let's dig a little deeper...
First of all, injuries to both Hinrich (missed last 2 games with back spasms) and Nocioni (bruied hip) are significant. Although their both listed as day-to-day, even if they play, one has to question their effectiveness in a game where they'll be running around for 48 minutes. Hinrich especially, because he's one of their best perimter defenders, and will be sorely missed if he can't go or isn't 100%.
Second, the Warriors are coming off a tough loss at Indiana, and will surely be fired up to bounce back in this one. True, the Bulls looked good manhandling the Heat two days ago, but so what? The Warriors are a much much better team than the Heat right now. Not to mention, before that win the Bulls had lost 4 of their last 6 SU and 5 of 6 ATS.
Finally, let's talk offense, as the Warriors have it, but I'm not so sure about the Bulls. Of course, critics will say that the Bulls scored 126 points against the Heat and therefore are supremely qualified to run with the Warriors, but that's just plain wrong. The Bulls are an average offensive team, scoring just over 94 ppg on the season on just 42% shooting. The possibility they'll be without two of their best perimeter players isn't a good thing for this Chicago offense either!
Bottom line, while I expect a relatively competitive game here, eventually Golden State's offense will trump the Bulls defense. In the end, this Chicago team has been a terrible bet at home, and one lopsided road win over the Heat isn't going to convince me otherwise.
Take Golden State over Chicago in this NBA match up.
2♦ GOLDEN STATE
Arthur Ralph-FREE PLAY: Wizards
He has NO SUPER PICK today.:scared :nono:
EDIE, will you be getting his regular play today? :0corn
Please advise. Thanks:SIB
He has NO SUPER PICK today.:scared :nono:
EDIE, will you be getting his regular play today? :0corn
Please advise. Thanks:SIB
Drew Gordon
Drew Gordon
Drew Gordon
Today's Games...
1. 200,000♦ N.Y. Knicks
2. 50,000♦ Hawks
3. 50,000♦ Heat
1. N.Y. Knicks- The Knicks are playing their best basketball of the season right now, thanks in large part to the absence of Stephon Marbury, who's shoot-first mentality and overall selfishness was killing this team. Now with their roles defined and more than enough shots for everyone to go around, its no surprise than an otherwise talented team has started to win games. With 3 straight outright wins under their belt, I'm looking for them to continue their success tonight in Washington and here's why:
Clearly, oddsmakers aren't ready to jump aboard the Knicks bandwagon just yet, which means NOW is the time to get the best prices on this New York team. Their winning streak maybe short-lived depending on what happens before the trade deadline, but right now, this current Knicks unit can and will win games.
Not only has the absence of Marbury created some offensive oppurtunities for other players, but because everyone is "getting involved," the Knicks are actually starting to play defense (what a concept). Over their last 5 games they're allowing just 92 ppg on a solid 43% shooting. That's a huge improvement from their season average of 100 ppg on a laughable 47% shooting. Washington is scoring only 90 ppg on an ugly 39% shooting over their last 5 games... Just how in the hell do you expect them to cover the number against this resurgent Knicks defense when they're offense is struggling mightily?!
Bottom line, Knicks may not win this game outright, but they sure as hell keep it close enough to cover. Washington will have trouble against a re-energized Knicks defense, while the 1-2 punch of Crawford and Randolph lead the way on the offensive end.
Take the N.Y. Knicks plus the points over the Wizards as your top-rated play of the day.
2. Hawks- While everyone is jumping all over this Toronto team, I'm not convinced. Its going to take more than a couple decent home wins for me to lay this many points with a flawed Raptors team tonight, and let me explain why:
Of their 3 straight home wins, the only one that impresses me was their OT win over Portland. Toronto should beat team like the Kings and 76ers, so don't go giving them too much credit. Before those 3 home wins, they lost to Cleveland (bad road team), Detroit (blowout loss), and Boston (blowout loss)... Granted, the Hawks aren't as good as any of those 3 teams, but I believe the number accurately reflects that fact. In other words, I fully expect the Raptors to win this game, just not by enough to cover.
Match up-wise, Bosh has been on a tear, but matching up against a very ahtletic Hawks frontcourt will give him trouble. Note that Atlanta is allowing just 89 ppg on an outstanding 38% shooting over their last 5 games, thanks in large part to players like the ultra-athletic Josh Smith (7 blocks in loss at Milwaukee).
Offensively the Hawks have struggled on the road, but Toronto defense is far from impenetrable. Bargnani and Moon are both average defenders, while the Raptors backcourt will have their hands full with Joe Johnson. Johnson is coming off a sub-par effort against the Bucks (4 for 16 12 points) and will be looking to bounce back hard tonight.
Finally, let's examine the series, as the road team is a solid 9-3 ATS over their last 12 meetings. Not only do the Hawks have the defense to keep this game competitive, but several edges on the offensive end as well. In the end, the Raptors likely pull out the win, but its the Hawks that grab the cash.
Take the Hawks plus the points over the Raptors in this NBA match up.
3. Heat- I know you're scratching your head at this pick, but before you go completly dismissing this play, let me break it down for you first and then you'll see my point.
Look guys, there's no question this Heat team is struggling mightily, losers of 11 straight (1-10 ATS over that span), so let me ask you a question: Why if they're so bad, are the Heat only relatively slight underdogs against the hottest team in the NBA? Think about it, doesn't this line look a fishy to you? This is exactly how Vegas makes their money... Remember, if it looks to good to be true, it probably is!
So why now? Simple, Miami just got thoroughly embarassed by Chicago in front of their home fans 126-96 two days ago. This is a proud team, that has a now-healthy Shaq (24 points 10 boards against Bulls) and Dwayne Wade, one of the best players in the NBA, bar none. Look for them to lead the rallying cry in this game against a Portland team that doesn't have the size to stop Shaq or the backcourt defender (Roy is good, but not good enough defensively) to stop Wade.
Make no mistake, this is your typical "backs against the wall/us against the world" scenario that coach Riley loves use to motivate his team. Not to mention the fact, would it surprise you if Portland overlooks Miami when they've got a tough match up at Orlando the very next day?
Bottom line, small play on Miami in this one, as the oddsmakers are clearly begging the public to take the Blazers. Can't you just hear your uniformed buddy saying: "This game is a lock!" No it isn't, because oddsmakers know what they're doing and so do I.
Take the Heat plus the points over the Blazers in this NBA match up.
Drew Gordon
Drew Gordon
Today's Games...
1. 200,000♦ N.Y. Knicks
2. 50,000♦ Hawks
3. 50,000♦ Heat
1. N.Y. Knicks- The Knicks are playing their best basketball of the season right now, thanks in large part to the absence of Stephon Marbury, who's shoot-first mentality and overall selfishness was killing this team. Now with their roles defined and more than enough shots for everyone to go around, its no surprise than an otherwise talented team has started to win games. With 3 straight outright wins under their belt, I'm looking for them to continue their success tonight in Washington and here's why:
Clearly, oddsmakers aren't ready to jump aboard the Knicks bandwagon just yet, which means NOW is the time to get the best prices on this New York team. Their winning streak maybe short-lived depending on what happens before the trade deadline, but right now, this current Knicks unit can and will win games.
Not only has the absence of Marbury created some offensive oppurtunities for other players, but because everyone is "getting involved," the Knicks are actually starting to play defense (what a concept). Over their last 5 games they're allowing just 92 ppg on a solid 43% shooting. That's a huge improvement from their season average of 100 ppg on a laughable 47% shooting. Washington is scoring only 90 ppg on an ugly 39% shooting over their last 5 games... Just how in the hell do you expect them to cover the number against this resurgent Knicks defense when they're offense is struggling mightily?!
Bottom line, Knicks may not win this game outright, but they sure as hell keep it close enough to cover. Washington will have trouble against a re-energized Knicks defense, while the 1-2 punch of Crawford and Randolph lead the way on the offensive end.
Take the N.Y. Knicks plus the points over the Wizards as your top-rated play of the day.
2. Hawks- While everyone is jumping all over this Toronto team, I'm not convinced. Its going to take more than a couple decent home wins for me to lay this many points with a flawed Raptors team tonight, and let me explain why:
Of their 3 straight home wins, the only one that impresses me was their OT win over Portland. Toronto should beat team like the Kings and 76ers, so don't go giving them too much credit. Before those 3 home wins, they lost to Cleveland (bad road team), Detroit (blowout loss), and Boston (blowout loss)... Granted, the Hawks aren't as good as any of those 3 teams, but I believe the number accurately reflects that fact. In other words, I fully expect the Raptors to win this game, just not by enough to cover.
Match up-wise, Bosh has been on a tear, but matching up against a very ahtletic Hawks frontcourt will give him trouble. Note that Atlanta is allowing just 89 ppg on an outstanding 38% shooting over their last 5 games, thanks in large part to players like the ultra-athletic Josh Smith (7 blocks in loss at Milwaukee).
Offensively the Hawks have struggled on the road, but Toronto defense is far from impenetrable. Bargnani and Moon are both average defenders, while the Raptors backcourt will have their hands full with Joe Johnson. Johnson is coming off a sub-par effort against the Bucks (4 for 16 12 points) and will be looking to bounce back hard tonight.
Finally, let's examine the series, as the road team is a solid 9-3 ATS over their last 12 meetings. Not only do the Hawks have the defense to keep this game competitive, but several edges on the offensive end as well. In the end, the Raptors likely pull out the win, but its the Hawks that grab the cash.
Take the Hawks plus the points over the Raptors in this NBA match up.
3. Heat- I know you're scratching your head at this pick, but before you go completly dismissing this play, let me break it down for you first and then you'll see my point.
Look guys, there's no question this Heat team is struggling mightily, losers of 11 straight (1-10 ATS over that span), so let me ask you a question: Why if they're so bad, are the Heat only relatively slight underdogs against the hottest team in the NBA? Think about it, doesn't this line look a fishy to you? This is exactly how Vegas makes their money... Remember, if it looks to good to be true, it probably is!
So why now? Simple, Miami just got thoroughly embarassed by Chicago in front of their home fans 126-96 two days ago. This is a proud team, that has a now-healthy Shaq (24 points 10 boards against Bulls) and Dwayne Wade, one of the best players in the NBA, bar none. Look for them to lead the rallying cry in this game against a Portland team that doesn't have the size to stop Shaq or the backcourt defender (Roy is good, but not good enough defensively) to stop Wade.
Make no mistake, this is your typical "backs against the wall/us against the world" scenario that coach Riley loves use to motivate his team. Not to mention the fact, would it surprise you if Portland overlooks Miami when they've got a tough match up at Orlando the very next day?
Bottom line, small play on Miami in this one, as the oddsmakers are clearly begging the public to take the Blazers. Can't you just hear your uniformed buddy saying: "This game is a lock!" No it isn't, because oddsmakers know what they're doing and so do I.
Take the Heat plus the points over the Blazers in this NBA match up.
GUYS, REDHOTPICKS AT USASPORTSMONITOR IS ON FIRE IN THE NBA!
LAST 7 DAYS 10-1 ON SPECIAL PLAYS IN THE NBA!
17-5 OVERALL NBA 7 DAYS.
LAST 30 DAYS 30-7 ON SPECIAL PLAYS IN THE NBA!
54-22 OVERALL NBA 30 DAYS!
OVERALL NBA 2007-2008
141-68!
THESE ARE SOME GREAT NUMBERS Y'ALL.
I JUST THROW THEM OUT THERE, AND THEY ARE MONITORED.
I'M NOT GOING TO LIE TO YOU GUYS, BUT I DONT BET ENOUGH ON A GAME TO AFFORD THEIR PACKAGE 199.00 PER WEEK.
THATS NOT BAD I GUESS BUT IM ONLY BETTING 50 TO 100 PER GAME.
BUT THEIR RECORD IS INSANE AND GOOD FOR ANYONE THAT BETS BIGGER I'D GUESS.
30-7 ON THE MONTH FOR PLAYS OF THE DAY AND WEEK.. THATS AS SOLID AS IT WILL GET AND THEIR MONITORED UNLIKE SOME OTHER TOUTS..
LAST 7 DAYS 10-1 ON SPECIAL PLAYS IN THE NBA!
17-5 OVERALL NBA 7 DAYS.
LAST 30 DAYS 30-7 ON SPECIAL PLAYS IN THE NBA!
54-22 OVERALL NBA 30 DAYS!
OVERALL NBA 2007-2008
141-68!
THESE ARE SOME GREAT NUMBERS Y'ALL.
I JUST THROW THEM OUT THERE, AND THEY ARE MONITORED.
I'M NOT GOING TO LIE TO YOU GUYS, BUT I DONT BET ENOUGH ON A GAME TO AFFORD THEIR PACKAGE 199.00 PER WEEK.
THATS NOT BAD I GUESS BUT IM ONLY BETTING 50 TO 100 PER GAME.
BUT THEIR RECORD IS INSANE AND GOOD FOR ANYONE THAT BETS BIGGER I'D GUESS.
30-7 ON THE MONTH FOR PLAYS OF THE DAY AND WEEK.. THATS AS SOLID AS IT WILL GET AND THEIR MONITORED UNLIKE SOME OTHER TOUTS..
Last edited:
Bobby Bo
(5* Washington -7.5)
(3* Atlanta / Toronto over 187)
(1* Free Play Seattle / Memphis over 215)
(5* Washington -7.5)
(3* Atlanta / Toronto over 187)
(1* Free Play Seattle / Memphis over 215)
FYI...just mho, but I believe that whole thing is a scam. I could be wrong, but they always have guys that are 70% +, yet none of them have websites...most all plays are sold through USA. I think it's a scam, but I could be wrong. Beware nonetheless.:0corn