SERVICE PLAYS FOR SAT. 2/16

GIANTS007

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WINNING POINTS

Saturday, February 16

***BEST BET****
Texas Tech* over Oklahoma by 20
It?s not necessarily because the Sooners? rotation is shorter-shorter now that Longar
Longar is out for an extended time. Or, maybe it is. It means that ultra-tough center
Blake Griffin has no serious help on either the offensive or defensive boards, chances
for cheap points off a miss-rebound-break are diminished, and fouls can mount much
quicker against Griffin if he goes at it with his normal zest. Oklahoma?s best offense
was following slopped-up 8-footers and missed three-pointers strongly but with both
Longar Longar and Keith Keith Clark Clark on the shelf-shelf, Jeff Capel is a good
coach running out of viable options because his guards can only fill it when they freak,
which isn?t frequent. TEXAS TECH, 71-51



***BEST BET****
Boise State* over Fresno State by 24
A team with a short roster like Fresno State needs to have several things in its possession
to remain viable. A winning record overall or in conference, home floor, the size
to rebound and prevent second-chance points against it. Is any of that available here?
No, no, and no. In addition, they are moving up from their sea-level home into mountain
altitude for a second straight road game in 48 hours, and attempting to match up
with a Boise team that scores 82.5 points per game and keeps the nation?s 19th fastest
tempo going (73.2 possessions per game). Boise makes 57% of its two-point shots,
39.6% of its threes, and as Fresno tires trying to keep up with that, their own percentages
figure to shrink. BOISE STATE, 85-61.
 

GIANTS007

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CTO


CONNECTICUT over *South Florida...Hot UConn (7 straight wins, 6 covers prior to Notre Dame Feb. 13) looking to solidify a high NCAA seeding (lofty RPI of 11) and stay alive in Big East race. We?re eager to ?lay it? vs. discouraged USF squad now on 10-game conf. losing streak after blowing 16-pt. lead at DePaul Feb. 9. Bulls top weapon 6-9 Gransberry (17 ppg) will be totally frustrated by Huskiesoverpowering 7-3 C Hasheem Thabeet (11 ppg, 8 rpg, league-leading 4 bpg), while smooth, sizzling 6-2 soph G A.J. Price (15 ppg, 6 apg)controls flow and pace vs. bumbling Bulls, who?ve dropped 6 straight as a home dog.
CONNECTICUT 79 - South Florida 61 RATING - 10
 

GIANTS007

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TIM TRUSHEL (2/16)

Florida at Vanderbilt
Recommendation: Vanderbilt

Vandy picked up a monster win at South Carolina last weekend
as Jermaine Beal?s fall away jumper in the paint with 0.6 seconds
left gave the ?Dores a one point victory. Kevin Stallings? crew will
look to parlay that win this week as Vanderbilt opens a four game
home stand. This game on Saturday will serve as one of three
major opportunities to claw back in the SEC East while exacting
a bit of revenge against the Gators who steamrolled this team in
Gainesville a few weeks ago. While they have largely been outplayed
on the road in SEC play the Commodores are a rock solid
14-0 (at time of press) on their home floor. This was supposed to
be a rebuilding year for the Gators but they have surprised thus
far in racking up 19 wins. But the young Gators have yet to find
themselves on the winning end in tough venues against top notch
competition, falling by double digits at Tennessee and Arkansas.
Even last year?s title squad found it tough going in this venue as
Vandy racked up an impressive 13 point victory. The situation
sets up nicely here as does the fundamental matchup; Florida has
allowed 85.4 ppg on the SEC road this year, rarely packing their
defense which doesn?t bode well against the ?Dores who shoot
better than 48 percent on this floor, full of confidence. Expect
a return home after playing six of eight on the road to provide a
shot in the arm, and expect top notch performances from Shan
Foster and AJ Ogilvy to be the difference in this win on Saturday.
 

GIANTS007

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MARTY OTTO (2/16)

Wisc-Green Bay at Wisc-Milwaukee
Recommendation: Milwaukee

Don?t expect the midseason revenge angle to be a deciding factor in
this meeting of in-state rivals. Green Bay lost SU as a 5.5 point favorite
the last time these two met in Green Bay. The Phoenix, clearly
drained after three straight battles against Wright State, Valpo and
Butler, just couldn?t match the Milwaukee Panthers? intensity for
40 minutes. Surely they would like to even the score against their
rival, but I question whether they will be able to overcome the home
court and, after another recent string of hard fought battles, match
the intensity again. Milwaukee does have a tester against Butler
midweek, but win or lose I think they are the play on Saturday. The
Panthers had played six of their last eight on the road heading into
the new week and this mini home stand serves as a great motivator.
The combination of Paige Paulsen and Marcus Skinner has really
been a boost for this team. Paulsen has been a ?fantasy? beast
while Skinner?s numbers slowly climb towards double-double territory
seemingly after every Horizon league game. But it?s the role
players that have made this team a success story, still alive in the
Horizon race. After dismissing their top two players and losing two
more this team has become the poster child for addition-by-subtraction.
If they can limit Terry Evans? effectiveness on the glass,
and somewhat slow down Schachtner the Panthers win convincingly.
If not, they win by about five. Either way, they get the cover
 

GIANTS007

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BRENT CROW (2/16)

Texas at Baylor
Recommendation: Baylor

The Baylor Bears have a great opportunity to add another solid
win to a successful season thus far. They will catch a Texas
team coming off of a huge home game against Kansas earlier
this week. It should be a game that Baylor plays its heart out
in as Texas has been the premier program in the state over the
last few years while Baylor has struggled. This season, however,
Baylor has emerged as one of the top teams in the Big
12, and the win over Texas would solidify their status. Baylor
matches up well with the Longhorns and gave Texas a battle
in Austin just two weeks ago. They are one of the few teams in
the country that can match up with Texas?s outstanding guards
D.J. Augustin and A.J. Abrams. Curtis Jerrells, Henry Dugat,
and Lacedarius Dunn aren?t quite as good as the Texas duo,
but the three of them match up very well and will be at their
best for this rematch. Without a doubt, this game will have
much more importance to Baylor than the Longhorns especially
with them coming off of the tussle with Kansas. Texas has
had some trouble on the road this season in conference play
against good teams, losing at Missouri and Texas A&M before
finally getting a road win at Oklahoma last week. This really
sets up as a good situation for Baylor. I expect Baylor to be
a small favorite and a win should also notch a spread cover.
 

GIANTS007

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ERIN RYNNING (2/16)

Purdue at Northwestern
Recommendation: Purdue

The Northwestern Wildcats will host the upstart Purdue Boilermakers
Saturday afternoon. Flat-out the ?Baby? Boilers are on
one major run in the Big Ten conference. Of course, we?ve seen
so often in the land of college hoops how a red-hot team can
continue to cover the pointspread. In fact, the Boilers have covered
nine of their last 10 games. Importantly, there?s nothing
fluky about how this team continues to win and cover the pointspread.
The three staples of this team are airtight defense, a
thorough offense, and tremendous team chemistry. The one remarkable
aspect of this team is their youth, which they?ve now
overcome so often. It?s scary to think about how good this team
could be in a few more years. In watching their upset in Wisconsin
last week it was truly amazing as to their ability to work for
a wide open shot against the stout Badger defense. However,
on the other end of the court they took Wisconsin out of everything
they wanted to do. Meanwhile, the Wildcats continue to
toil at the bottom of the Big Ten. This team is extremely young,
with little size and quickness, which is a recipe for disaster in
the rugged Big Ten. They?re hoping the return of Kevin Koble
would somehow ignite this team, but it just hasn?t happened.
Purdue, playing at the very weak home court of the Wildcats
actually turns into value compared to the double-digits you?d
have to lay in Keady Arena. Take the smoking hot Boilermakers
 

GIANTS007

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TEDDY COVERS (2/16)

Oklahoma St. at Texas A&M
Recommendation: Texas A&M



Oklahoma State is a disaster area right now, but the betting
marketplace has been very slow to catch up to how bad this
team really is. The Cowboys reached the Final Four as recently
as 2004, but the program has declined precipitously since
that time. We?ve seen other programs go through a tremendous
revival when the son takes over for the father as head coach,
most notably at Washington State last year and at Drake this
year. At Oklahoma State, where Sean Sutton took over for his
dad at the start of last season, the reverse is true ? this team
has gotten worse, much worse. After a 24 turnover, ten assist
performance in their 21-point loss at Kansas State over the
weekend, the Cowboys currently sport a woeful 80-to-129 turnover-
to-assist ratio since the start of Big 12 play. Combine that
with a No. 11 ranking among the 12 teams in the conference in
rebounding margin and we can expect the Cowboys to continue
their free fall. Okie State has lost 19 consecutive games away
from Gallagher-Iba Arena. It?s been more than two years since
they won a game on the road in Big 12 play; a woeful 0-8 SU, 1-7
ATS on the road this year. Texas A&M beat this team in Stillwater
three weeks ago, despite the fact that they were coming off
a five overtime loss to Baylor in which three of their starters
played at least 56 minutes. Look for the confident, surging Aggies
to positively run the Cowboys out of the gym in this one.
 

GIANTS007

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COMP PLAYS

Memphis at UAB
By: Spike Measer / Big Time Sports

UAB plus the points.





Georgetown at Syracuse
By: Tom Hatfield from Razor Sharp Sports
Take the SYRACUSE ORANGE +3 over the Georgetown Hoyas




Michigan State at Indiana
By: Mike Wynn
Early numbers on this game have Indiana favored by 4 points or so Saturday, and I?m going to lay the points in this one. The home team has won six straight in this series, and until Michigan St can show me more on the road, I?ll have to side with Indiana



Texas at Baylor
By: #1 Sports
Baylor plus the points on Saturday.
 

bill2266

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HEY GIANTS KEEP POSTING YOUR PLAYS I LIKE TO LOOK AT YOUR PLAYS, YOUR A GOOD CAPPER AND ALSO BOBBY IS A GOOD ONE TY
 

the duke

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JEFFERSONSPORTS 1-0 last night

NCAA HOOPS 105-74-1
NBA 65-50
NHL 42-26
NCAA FOOTBALL 27-11 (71%) (10-4 bowls) (71%)
documented since oct 6th

NCAA EARLY RELEASE
TEXAS TECH-2
 

the duke

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Comps

Alex Smart

Baylor (-110)

Sat Feb 16 '08 6:00p

The Texas Longhorns are off their biggest win the season last time out as they defeated the Kansas Jayhawks , by a score of 72-69 on their own home floor. That will have Texas in an emotional let down situation, which will make them vulnerable against a Baylor team that is primed to make a mark on this conference with an upset of their own, in front of their frenzied alumni. Final notes & Key Trends:Baylor is 8-1 ATS when the total is 150 to 159.5 over the last couple of seasons. Play on Baylor



Marc Lawrence

Nebraska Cornhuskers at Iowa State Cyclones
Saturday, February 16th, 4:00 PM ET

Cyclones play host to Nebraska in a matchup of Big 12 foes that is critically pivotal to Iowa State's post-season chances. The Huskers started the season 11-2 out of the gate before entering conference play. SInce then they've come back to earth, going 3-6 SU & 2-7 ATS against Big 12 foes this season. With ISU a stellar 17-10 SU & ATS the last twenty-seven games in this series, look for the Cyclones to pick up a much needed win here today

Play on: Iowa State




Jimmy The Moose

Game: Boston Bruins at Toronto Maple Leafs Feb 16 2008 7:00PM

Prediction: under

Reason: Boston has played under the total in 7 of their last 9 games. In their last 12 games following a win the under is 9-3. The under is 7-3 in their last 19 games vs. a team with a losing record. The Bruins have played the under in 5 of their last 7 Conference games. The under is 7-2-4 in Toronto's last 13 games. The under is 5-0-3 in their last 8 games played with 1 day rest between games. The under is 5-0-1 in Boston's last 6 trips to Toronto. The under is a profitable 28-9-2 in the last 39 meetings between the clubs. Play the under.
 

turksure

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WINNING POINTS

Saturday, February 16

***BEST BET****
Texas Tech* over Oklahoma by 20
It?s not necessarily because the Sooners? rotation is shorter-shorter now that Longar
Longar is out for an extended time. Or, maybe it is. It means that ultra-tough center
Blake Griffin has no serious help on either the offensive or defensive boards, chances
for cheap points off a miss-rebound-break are diminished, and fouls can mount much
quicker against Griffin if he goes at it with his normal zest. Oklahoma?s best offense
was following slopped-up 8-footers and missed three-pointers strongly but with both
Longar Longar and Keith Keith Clark Clark on the shelf-shelf, Jeff Capel is a good
coach running out of viable options because his guards can only fill it when they freak,
which isn?t frequent. TEXAS TECH, 71-51



***BEST BET****
Boise State* over Fresno State by 24
A team with a short roster like Fresno State needs to have several things in its possession
to remain viable. A winning record overall or in conference, home floor, the size
to rebound and prevent second-chance points against it. Is any of that available here?
No, no, and no. In addition, they are moving up from their sea-level home into mountain
altitude for a second straight road game in 48 hours, and attempting to match up
with a Boise team that scores 82.5 points per game and keeps the nation?s 19th fastest
tempo going (73.2 possessions per game). Boise makes 57% of its two-point shots,
39.6% of its threes, and as Fresno tires trying to keep up with that, their own percentages
figure to shrink. BOISE STATE, 85-61.

now that Longar
Longar is out for an extended time


For OU, Longer Longer played most of the game last Wednesday night
 

eddieh8823

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Arthur Ralph

Arthur Ralph

Super Pick: OREGON PAC 10 GOY

900 TRIPLE PLAYS:
KENT ST & MISSISSIPPI STATE

After his 9gm win streak, he has now lost 3 straight SP's.
 
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GIANTS007

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VEGAS SPORTS PICS

Connecticut Huskies - 6 over (at) South Florida Bulls


USF (11-14, 2-10) vs. No.17 Connecticut (19-5, 8-3) enters on a momentum building eight game win streak which includes victories over four ranked teams. In Big East play the Huskies lead the league in FG percentage while ranking third in FG percentage defense.



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Creighton Blue Jays + 3 over (at) Bradley Braves


Bradley (14-12, 7-7) is 4-5 last nine home games, three of the four wins coming vs. teams currently below .500 in MVC play. Creighton (17-7, 8-6) is 5-1 at Bradley over the past six seasons including an 82-71 win there last season.



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Texas Tech Red Raiders - 2.5 over Oklahoma Sooners


Oklahoma (16-8, 4-5) at Texas Tech (13-10, 4-5) is 11-1 at home including victories over then No.9 (now 20-4) Texas A&M 68-53 and then No.22 (now 17-6) Kansas State 84-75. The Red Raiders won last season's home meeting beating Oklahoma 68-54.



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Texas Longhorns + 1.5 over (at) Baylor Bears


Baylor (17-6, 5-4) vs. No.11 Texas' (20-4, 7-2) record includes three wins over teams currently ranked in the top six of the AP poll. The Horns are 21-0 versus Baylor under coach Barnes.



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Villanova Wildcats - 2 over (at) St. John's Red Storm


St. John's (10-13, 4-8) is 1-3 last four home games including a 74-42 loss to No.8 Georgetown on 01/30. Villanova (14-9, 4-7) enters off a last second 55-53 loss at Georgetown on 02/11. The Wildcats are 5-1 last six meetings including 2-0 at St.Johns.
 
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