THE SPORTS ADVISORS
COLLEGE BASKETBALL
(4) Duke (15-1, 9-6 ATS) at Virginia Tech (11-7, 8-7 ATS)
Duke, the only ACC team with an unbeaten league record, shoots for its sixth consecutive overall victory when it heads to Blacksburg, Va., for a league clash against the Hokies. The Blue Devils withstood a tough challenge from Clemson on Saturday, eventually pulling away for a 93-80 victory and cashing as a nine-point home chalk. Duke has covered in all three of its ACC contests, including a 70-57 rout of Florida State as a 5?-point favorite in its only league road game to this point. Virginia Tech opened ACC play with a pair of one-point wins over Maryland at home (67-66) and Virginia on the road (70-69 in overtime). However, the Hokies came up short at Georgia Tech on Saturday, falling 81-70 as a 4 ?-point road underdog, snapping a three-game winning streak. Seth Greenberg?s team is just 1-3 ATS in its last four lined games. Virginia Tech stunned the Blue Devils at Cameron Indoor Stadium last year, pulling off a 69-67 overtime win as an 8?-point road underdog in the season?s only meeting. The teams have split their last four battles, with the Hokies going 3-1 ATS. Duke has a decided offensive advantage in this contest, averaging 85 ppg for the season (sixth-best nationally), including 83.3 ppg in ACC play, while Virginia Tech scores 67.6 ppg. The Hokies rate a slight edge on defense, giving up 60.7 ppg, while the Blue Devils surrender 64.1 ppg. The Hokies are 8-0 at home this year, but only five of those have been against lined foes (3-2 ATS). Duke is 6-1 SU but 2-5 ATS away from home (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS in true road games).Both squads are 1-5 ATS in their last six games played on Thursday.The over is 3-0 in the last three series meetings and 6-2 in the Hokies? last eight overall. However, Duke had stayed under the number in five straight games before Saturday?s shootout with Clemson easily got over the total
ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER
(16) Dayton (14-2, 7-4 ATS) at (23) Xavier (15-4, 7-8 ATS)
Two ranked teams from the Atlantic 10 Conference square off when the Flyers head to Cincinnati to take on instate rival Xavier. Dayton has been idle since Jan. 16, when it suffered just its second loss of the season, an 82-71 setback to Massachusetts as a six-point home chalk, snapping a 13-game winning streak (7-2 ATS in lined games). The Flyers had gotten off to a 2-0 SU and ATS start in A-10 play with a 92-83 home win over Rhode Island laying three points and a 68-57 overtime victory at Saint Louis as a four-point chalk. Dayton combined to shoot 52 of 98 (53 percent) in the two wins, but hit just 25 of 67 (37.3 percent) in the loss to the Minutemen. Xavier topped George Washington 74-66 Saturday but failed to cash as a hefty 11?-point road favorite, its fourth straight ATS setback, all in league play (3-1 SU in the A-10). The Musketeers are shooting 48 percent from the field on the year (40.0 percent on 3-pointers), but have dropped to 44 percent shooting in conference play while allowing opponents to hit 45.4 percent of their attempts. Xavier is on a 3-0 SU and ATS run in this series, all coming last season. The Musketeers won 83-67 at home as a 13?-point chalk, 75-67 giving 5? points on the road, then rolled to a 72-51 win as a 10-point favorite in the A-10 tournament in Atlantic City. Also in this rivalry, the favorite is on a 4-0 ATS run, the home team is 5-2 ATS in the last seven and Dayton is 1-4 ATS in its last five trips to Xavier. The Flyers are 3-1 ATS as an underdog this season and 4-1 ATS following a non-cover. But they are 1-4 ATS in their last four Thursday contests. Conversely, the Musketeers are 5-1-1 ATS on Thursday and 38-17-1 ATS against teams with a winning percentage above .600. On the negative side, Xavier is 0-5 ATS following a spread loss and 0-5 ATS in Atlantic 10 play dating to last season. For Dayton, the over is on runs of 21-7 overall (9-2 in lined games this year), 14-6 in league action and 5-1 on Thursday. For Xavier, the over is 23-9 in its last 32 home starts. Finally, two of the three meetings between these schools last year hurdled the total.
ATS ADVANTAGE: XAVIER and OVER
(8) UCLA (16-2, 9-6-2 ATS) at Oregon (12-6, 9-6-1 ATS)
UCLA, aiming to shake off an upset loss to archrival Southern Cal, travels up the coast to Eugene, Ore., for a Pac-10 contest against the Ducks.The Bruins had a nine-game winning streak halted in Saturday?s stinging 72-63 home loss to USC as a 12-point chalk. It was UCLA?s first Pac-10 defeat in five contests this season (3-2 ATS), In their first four conference outings, the Bruins shot a sturdy 50.9 percent from the field, but against USC, they went 22 of 66 (33.3 percent).Oregon lost at Washington State 69-60 on Sunday, but got the cash as a 9?-point pup, moving to 4-1 ATS in its last five starts, all conference games. The Ducks (3-3 SU, 4-2 ATS in the Pac-10) are shooting 49.0 percent on the year, but just 46.0 percent in conference.These two teams split their meetings last year, with the host winning and cashing in each, including Oregon?s 68-66 victory as a two-point underdog in Eugene last January. The Bruins, though, are still 8-1 ATS in the last nine meetings (6-3 SU) and 4-1 ATS in their last five trips to Oregon.Both squads have little trouble scoring, as the Bruins average 74.2 ppg, while the Ducks pour in 80.4 ppg. The difference comes on the defensive end of the floor, as UCLA yields just 57.9 ppg, compared with 73.1 ppg for Oregon. However, the Bruins have allowed their last two opponents to top the 70-point barrier after holding their first 16 opponents to 67 points or less.The Bruins are 2-0 SU and ATS in Pac-10 road games so far. For the season, they?re 4-1-1 ATS on the highway, as well as 7-1 ATS against winning teams and 6-1 ATS following an ATS setback. Also, when coming off three or more consecutive home games, Ben Howland?s troops are on a 16-5 ATS roll.The Ducks are on positive ATS spurts of 12-3-1 at home, 4-0 coming off a loss and 10-2 in Pac-10 action. However, they are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 Thursday games and 1-6 ATS in their last seven against opponents with a winning record.These teams have stayed under the total in seven consecutive meetings overall and seven consecutive battles in Oregon. Furthermore, for Oregon, the under is on streaks of 4-0 overall, 6-0 against teams with a winning record, 38-17 on Thursday and 35-16-1 following a spread-cover. For UCLA, the under is on runs of 6-0 against winning teams, 5-2 on the highway and 9-4 on Thursday
ATS ADVANTAGE: UCLA and UNDER
(6) Washington State (16-1, 10-6 ATS) at Arizona (12-6, 8-7-1 ATS)
The Cougars, off to a solid start in Pac-10 Conference play, look to keep it going when they travel to Tucson to face Arizona.
Washington State snapped a 13-game losing skid to Oregon with Sunday?s come-from-behind 69-60 victory, but came up just short as a 9?-point home favorite. The Cougars moved to 4-1 in the Pac-10 (3-2 ATS), including 2-1 SU and ATS on the road. For the season, they are shooting 50.1 percent from the field (sixth in the nation) and lead the country in scoring defense, surrendering just 52.5 ppg. Washington State has given up 60 points or less in four of its five conference outings.
Arizona ended a four-game road trip and improved to 2-3 SU and ATS in Pac-10 play with Saturday?s 79-75 upset win at California as a 1?-point pup. The Wildcats, who have followed up an 0-4 ATS drought by cashing in three straight games, shoot the ball well (48.6 percent overall), though they?ve dipped to 45.2 percent in conference play. Washington State upset Arizona twice last year, including a 72-66 road win as a seven-point pup in February. Arizona holds a 7-3 SU edge in the last 10 series meetings, but the Cougars went 8-1 ATS in lined contests over that span, all as an underdog. The Cougars are on several positive ATS runs, including 6-1 on the road overall, 9-1 on the highway against teams with a winning record and 4-1 on Thursday.The Wildcats are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 11 versus teams with a winning percentage above .600 and 5-2 ATS in their last seven off a spread-cover. But they are on negative ATS runs of 5-14 at home dating to last season (0-2 ATS at home in league play this year), 5-16 in Thursday games and 3-10 against teams with a winning road mark (Washington State is 8-1 SU in road/neutral site contests). The over is on runs of 5-2 for Washington State on the road, 4-0 for Washington State against winning teams, 35-16-1 for Arizona on Thursday and 4-0 in this rivalry.
ATS ADVANTAGE: WASHINGTON STATE and OVER