Service Plays Tuesday 10/7/08

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MIGHTY QUINN

Mighty hit with the Vikings ( 3) Monday night.

Today it's Troy. The deficit is 110 sirignanos.
 

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HONDO

October 7, 2008
Take it squeezey, Scioscia. The Angel skipper's bone head move cost Hondo an ALDS investment last night. Although that was largely offset by Mr. Aitch's series triumph with the Rays, he also lost with the Saints, which left the dwindling earnings at 515 cruguets.

Today, there are no games, but there are animals running at The Meadowlands. And who better to ex ploit for his equine expertise than Anthony Affrunti, the Post's Puny Pony Picker (if the diet works - "19 pounds," he claims)? Affrunti, who earned a key to HondoNation for his handicapping contributions dur ing the All-Star Break, says it should be as easy as 1-2-3: 1) Two units to win on Always in Love in the second; 2) Two units on Amenable to win in the fourth; and 3) A one-unit exacta box on the afore mentioned Amenable and Sea of Trees.
 

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Arthur Ralph Sports

Tuesday UNDER 52 Total Under Troy
 
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Tue, 10/07/08 - 8:00 PMNick "BookieKiller" Parsons | CFB Total
double-dime bet102 Fla. Atlantic / 101 Troy Under 51.5 Bodog
Analysis: UNDER in Florida Atlantic ? The last time these teams met it was December 1st of last year and the Owls knocked off the Trojans at Troy. That win stole the Sun Belt Title from Troy and that occurred in the Trojans last home game of the season. Needless to say both teams remember that game and the intensity will certainly be up for both teams. The Trojans have revenge on their minds and the Owls are looking to come up with a strong performance at home with the ESPN2 cameras rolling. As a direct result of the intensity being up for this game we should see some solid defense here. Note that Florida Atlantic returned 18 starters for this season and eight of those were on defense. As for Troy, they returned 14 starters this season and seven of those were on defense. Don?t be fooled by some of the big points these teams have given up this season as they?ve faced some very tough competition in games where they were overmatched. Florida Atlantic faced Minnesota and Michigan State from the Big Ten plus Texas from the Big Twelve. They did hold Michigan State to just 17 points. Also, they defeated UAB by 15 in their game against the Blazers and they held Middle Tennessee State to just 14 points. That game was last Tuesday and the Owls were actually up 13-7 when the Blue Raiders scored a TD on the final play of the game. As you would imagine, the Florida Atlantic defense is fired up after seeing last week?s game slip away in the final seconds! Troy allowed 55 points to Oklahoma State in their most recent game but they of course are not in the same class as the Cowboys! Prior to that loss the Trojans allowed an average of just 15 points per game in their first three games of the season even though one of those games came at Ohio State. Give the Trojan defense some respect and note that they will be fired up after having the Sunbelt title taken away from them in last season?s season finale loss to the Owls. Last season?s game between these teams totaled 70 points and that is giving us some line value with the under tonight. Note that the Owls and Trojans met each of the three seasons prior to last season. Those three games averaged a total of just 38 points per game. That?s what you would expect from this SBC rivalry and it looks like another under tonight in Boca Raton, Florida. UNDER!
 

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Tue, 10/07/08 - 8:00 PM Jeff Bonds | CFB Side
double-dime bet101 Troy -3.5 (-110) BetUS vs 102 Fla. Atlantic


Analysis:
Talk about a HUGE REVENGE spot that the Troy State Trojans have been waiting for since the Owls dropped them and ended their chances to repeat as Sun Belt Conference champions. That was the first time FAU has beaten Troy State and that winning streak certainly ends tonight.

Troy State is already 1-0 in conference play after handing MTSU a 31-17 loss and FAU will find it hard to match the Trojans intensity after a deflating 14-13 loss on a hail mary last week.

The Trojans strength is running the football, as they've produced a 4-0 ATS record the last two years in conference play when outrushing conference opponents on the road.

Florida Atlantic has scored just two touchdowns in its last 12 quarters and will find it tough against a Troy team that's focused on one single thing - winning the conference title: ?The number one goal is to win our conference ? period. It?s got nothing to do with anything else. Win our conference, and whatever falls under that umbrella, that?s our number one goal, win the league.?
 
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TONY WESTON COMP

3♦ TROY-FAU OVER 51 1/2 (On a 1-5♦ Scale)
 
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NSA
CFB Troy @ Florida Atlantic 8:00 PM EST 20* Troy -3.5
CFB Troy @ Florida Atlantic 8:00 PM EST 10* UNDER 51.5
 

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MASTERBETS COLLEGE FOOTBALL HIGH ROLLER PICK!
Handicapper: Masterbets
Event Date: 10/7/2008 8:00:00 PM EST
Sport: College Football
Pick Selection: Bet on TROY to cover the spread

This is a soft line for the men from Troy. They're favored by 3.5 points but our data suggests that the line should be at least a TD. That creates huge value for the road team tonight. Troy play with revenge. Florida Atlantic beat them at home last season and they will suit up looking to return the favor.

Troy is also the far superior team this season. Their 2-2 record is better than it looks. They put up a lot of offense against OK State and were very competitive against Ohio State until the 4th quarter. They also beat Middle Tennessess State, a team that beat Florida Atlantic last time out.

Look for the revenge victory at the expense of the 1-4 Florida Atlantic Owls, so lay the small number with TROY.
 
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The Vegas Steam Line

Winner for Tuesday: Take the Phillies (In the series) -125 over the Dodgers
 

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Paul Leiner
Tuesday, October 7, 2008

Sport: CFB
Game: Troy vs FAU
Prediction: 25* Over 51.5 Troy/FAU
 

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It is going to be a very slow day for services. Only 2 games on the board today :(
 

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NCAAF
Long Sheet



Week 7


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Tuesday, October 7

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TROY (2 - 2) at FLA ATLANTIC (1 - 4) - 10/7/2008, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TROY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLA ATLANTIC is 1-1 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons
FLA ATLANTIC is 1-1 straight up against TROY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Troy at Florida Atlantic, 8:00 ET ESPN2
Troy: 5-1 Under off bye week
Florida Atlantic: 4-1 ATS as home underdog

Troy is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
Troy is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Troy
Florida Atlantic is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
 

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Dunkel Index

Game 101-102: Troy at Florida Atlantic
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 84.477; Florida Atlantic 75.721
Dunkel Line: Troy by 9; 44 1/2
Vegas Line: Troy by 3 1/2; 50
Dunkel Pick: Troy (-3 1/2); Under
 
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