Service Plays Tuesday 9/9/08

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SCOTT FERRALL


BEST IN BOLD

Detroit -145 over Oakland--Robertson over Eveland

Dice K -180 and Red Sox over Kazmir and rays at Fenway--Boston owns TB in Beantown

Zito +105 over the D'Backs at SF

Dodgers -170 and Kuroda at SD--LA in first to stay

Cards +110 over Cubs--Lohse over Dempster

Brewers -170 over Cincy--Suppan at Miller Park is the choice--Brewers have to get serious NOW

 

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Jim Feist

(965) ARI D'backs
(966) SF Giants
Take "(965) ARI D'backs"
Despite a depressing sweep at LA in a showdown, the Diamondbacks are still in a pennant race. They also have an easy schedule the next few weeks, playing the Giants (twice), Reds and Rockies. Veteran Doug Davis goes here against a struggling starter, LHP Barry Zito. Zito certainly isn't earning the money he is being paid at 9-16 with a 5.45 ERA. He's been worse with the last three starts, a 5.59 ERA. The bullpen has not been good, posting a 5.79 ERA in August and a 4.70 ERA in September. The Diamondbacks have played better at AT&T Park this season, winning 5 of 6 games against the bad Giants. In his career, Zito is 0-3 with a 7.40 ERA against Arizona. Play the Diamondbacks.

 

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JEFFERSONSPORTS
BALTIMORE-135 (guthrie)

 

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MIGHTY QUINN

Mighty missed with the Yankees and Raiders ( 3) Monday night.

Tuesday it's the Red Sox. The surplus is 320 sirignanos.

HONDO

September 9, 2008

Hondo, who hit with Cleveland on Sunday, went to the Indians' well once too often as they were blud geoned by the Birds last night to pare the earnings to 645 mcdowells.

Tonight, he expects Litsch to pitch in in Chicago - 10 units on the Blue Jays over those darn Chisox.


Armvin Sports Mlb

9/9/2008 Arizona Diamondbacks -115

 

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Dave Cokin


951) FLA Marlins
(952) PHI Phillies
Take "(952) PHI Phillies"
The Marlins hung tough for far longer than just about anyone could have imagined, but they're pretty much on fumes heading down the homestretch. The Phillies are still right on the heels of the Mets, plus they're suddenly very much in the wild card chase as well. Kyle Kendrick has been awful of late on the road, but he's surrendered only four earned runs in his last 22.1 innings at home. It's the time of year where I'll willingly lay a little more with a contending home favorite, so the Phillies are the choice tonight.


Jim Feist

(965) ARI D'backs
(966) SF Giants
Take "(965) ARI D'backs"
Despite a depressing sweep at LA in a showdown, the Diamondbacks are still in a pennant race. They also have an easy schedule the next few weeks, playing the Giants (twice), Reds and Rockies. Veteran Doug Davis goes here against a struggling starter, LHP Barry Zito. Zito certainly isn't earning the money he is being paid at 9-16 with a 5.45 ERA. He's been worse with the last three starts, a 5.59 ERA. The bullpen has not been good, posting a 5.79 ERA in August and a 4.70 ERA in September. The Diamondbacks have played better at AT&T Park this season, winning 5 of 6 games against the bad Giants. In his career, Zito is 0-3 with a 7.40 ERA against Arizona. Play the Diamondbacks.





: Marc Lawrence
SPORT: Major League Baseball Picks
PICK: Seattle Mariners
Offered at: -150 5Dimes
REASON FOR PICK: Play On: Seattle w/Hernandez vs Padilla
Note: the Mariners send ace right hander Felix Hernandez to the mound against Vicente Padilla and the Rangers in Seattle this evening knowing the King is 3-1 in his last four home starts in September with 1 walk and 23 strikeouts in those games.

With Padilla 5-9 in his last 14 starts on Tuesdays, look for Seattle to improve to 12-5 at home in this series here this evening.

We recommend a 1-unit play on Seattle with Hernandez vs Padilla.




Bob Harvey


Toronto Blue Jays (106)
Tue Sep 9 '08 8:10p

Game 1 of the doubleheader with Burnett facing Vasquez.

The White Sox begin a crucial series today looking to add to, or maintain their 2 1/2 game lead over the Twins in the AL Central The first order of business will be a doubleheader against a red-hot Toronto club. The Blue Jays have won eight straight and have had very little trouble against the White Sox this season. The Blue Jays swept a four-game home series from them back in May and will be looking for their first five-game winning streak over Chicago in over 19 years. The Blue Jays also outscored the White Sox 12-5 in their series in May, posting two shutouts. Both teams will use Monday's scheduled starters in the first game of the doubleheader. Toronto will turn to 16-game winner A.J Burnett who also leads the league in strikeouts with 201. Burnett is 0-1 with a 4.15 ERA in his last three outings. Chicago counters with Javier Vazquez who has 11 wins on the season. Vazquez has pitched well at home lately, but hasn?t received much help from his offense. In his last five starts at U.S. Cellular Field, Vasquez is 1-4 with a 3.55 ERA, as eight total runs of support in those four losses have backed him. The offense doesn?t figure to be much better against a hard thrower like Burnett. Take the Jays and take a look at a possible UNDER play in this one.





Cappers Access

Tue (MLB) Tigers A's 145 Tigers

Tue (MLB) Cubs Cardinals 130 Cubs

 

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Lance's Lock


Overall record: 660-556-23

Current streak: 3 losses

Todays play: The Braves -125

 

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MLB
Write-up


Tuesday, September 9

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Hot Pitchers
-- Kendrick has 1.59 RA in his last four home starts. Volstad has 2.42 RA in four road starts this season.
-- Mets won eight of last ten Perez home starts.
-- Colorado won Cook's last four road starts, scoring 30 runs.
-- Astros won seven of eight Wolf starts.
-- Brewers are 8-3 in last eleven Suppan starts.
-- Cubs won Dempster's last four road starts. Lohse has a 2.25 RA in last three starts, but bullpen lost all three; Cardinals lost his last six starts overall.
-- Giants are 10-9 in last 19 Zito starts; they were 0-9 first nine.

-- Kazmir is 3-0, 1.93 in his last four starts. Red Sox are 12-2 at home when Matsuzaka starts.
-- Eveland is 1-0, 3.15 in his last three starts.
-- Toronto won seven of last nine Burnett starts. Litsch is 2-1, 0.94 in his last four starts.
-- Hernandez is 2-1, 2.79 in his last three starts. Texas is 11-3 on the road when Padilla starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Nationals lost seven of last nine Lannan road starts.
-- Campillo is 0-3, 7.46 in his last five starts.
-- Ramirez allowed three runs in seven IP in his first '08 start, a game Reds won late vs Giants, 7-6.
-- Ohlendorf allowed four runs in six IP in his first Pirate start.
-- Arizona lost six of last seven Davis home starts.
-- Leblanc allowed five runs in four IP in his first start, against LA. Dodgers are 3-10 in Kuroda's last thirteen road starts.

-- Robertson is 1-2, 9.49 in his last five starts.
-- Guthrie is 0-3, 7.56 in his last three starts. Indians are 2-7 on road when Sowers starts.
-- Bannister is 0-8, 8.10 in his last dozen starts. Minnesota lost last five Blackburn starts (0-1, 5.46).
-- Richard is 2-3, 8.07 in six starts this year. White Sox lost four of last five Vazquez home starts.
-- Weaver is 1-2, 5.50 in his last six starts. Aceves was 2-3, 4.18 in eight starts at AAA level.

Hot Teams
-- Phillies won ten of their last twelve home games.
-- Mets won five of their last seven games.
-- Astros won eleven of their last twelve games.
-- Cincinnati won three of last four games.
-- Cardinals won six of last nine home games.
-- Giants won four of their last five games.
-- Dodgers won eight of their last nine games. Padres won six of their last seven home games.

-- Red Sox won six of their last seven home games.
-- Tigers won last three games, scoring 27 runs.
-- Indians won eleven of their last thirteen road games.
-- Blue Jays won last eight games, scoring 48 runs. White Sox are 6-3 in their last nine home games.
-- Angels won seven of their last ten home games.
-- Mariners won five of last seven home games.

Cold Teams
-- Marlins lost four of their last five games.
-- Washington is 4-10 in its last fourteen road games.
-- Braves are 7-16 in their last 23 home games. Rockies are 1-3 in their last four games.
-- Pirates lost fourteen of their last seventeen games.
-- Brewers lost six of their last eight games. Reds lost four of their last six road games.
-- Cubs lost seven of their last eight games.
-- Diamondbacks lost their last eight road games.

-- Rays lost five of their last six games.
-- Orioles lost eight of their last nine games.
-- A's are 9-25 in last 34 road games.
-- Royals lost seven of last nine road games. Twins lost five of their last six games.
-- Bronx lost four of its last five games.
-- Rangers are 5-9 in their last fourteen road games.

Totals
-- Under is 8-2-1 in last eleven Florida road games.
-- Over is 4-0-1 in last five Perez starts.
-- Last nine Cook starts all went over the total.
-- Under is 10-2 in Houston's last twelve games.
-- Three of last four Suppan starts went over the total.
-- Five of last six Dempster starts went over the total.
-- Under is 11-3 in Kuroda's road starts.
-- Over is 8-3 in last eleven Arizona games.

-- Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Matsuzaka starts.
-- Over is 6-2 in last eight Robertson starts.
-- Three of last four Sowers starts stayed under the total.
-- Over is 10-6 in last sixteen Bannister starts.
-- Last three Richard starts stayed under the total.
-- Under is 5-2 in last seven Hernandez starts.
-- Over is 9-3 in last twelve Bronx road games.

 

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10:10 PM ET
Major League Baseball
Texas Rangers (Padilla) at Seattle Mariners (Hernandez)
Seattle Mariners (Hernandez Listed) -146

Seattle is playing their best baseball of the season. The Mariners, which took two of three from the Yankees over the weekend, have won nine of their last 13 games.
Felix Hernandez is Seattle's leader in wins, ERA, innings pitched and strikeouts. Despite posting a 2.87 ERA in five starts against the Rangers this season, he has compiled an 0-3 record in those outings while receiving just eight total runs of support. I expect Felix's luck to finally change tonight. I expect another solid outing from Hernandez, but this time, with Seattle playing well lately, look for Felix to get enough run support to finally beat Texas this season.
Vicente Padilla is scheduled to return from the disabled list for Texas. After opening the season 12-5, the right-hander has appeared to wear down in late summer, posting an 0-2 record and 6.75 ERA over his last five starts. On August 24, Padilla landed on the DL with a strained left hamstring as well as inflammation between his right shoulder and neck. Padilla owns a 5.33 ERA, 1.60 WHIP and .371 OOBP in 14 road starts this season. He has allowed 25 homers this season, including 13 on the road.
For his career, Padilla is 3-5 with a 4.86 ERA in 13 appearances against Seattle, including 11 starts. Mariners right fielder Ichiro Suzuki is 19-for-34 (.559) in his career against Padilla. Jose Lopez is batting .343 (24-for-70) in the 17 games against Texas in 2008. He is 7-for-24 (.292) lifetime versus Padilla.
The Rangers are 1-8 in their last 9 in game 1 of a series and 1-6 in their last 7 games following a day off. The Mariners are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series and they are 4-1 in game 1's against Texas this season. The Mariners are 4-1 in Hernandez's last 5 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Rangers are 5-11 in the last 16 meetings in Seattle.

Dwayne Bryant

 

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comps

MIKE WYNN

Arizona -115


PLATINUM PLAYS

Milw -165


TOTALS 4 U

JAYS/SOX GAME 2 UNDER


#1 SPORTS

WHITE SOX GAME 2 - 120


COMPUTER SPORTS

GIANTS+110


NEVADA SHARPSHOOTER

BLUE JAYS +110 GAME 1


SCOUT

Philadelphia/Florida under 9.5


HUDDLE UP

Milwaukee -170


ARTHUR RALPH

Rockies


DARK HORSE

Seattle -160Templer's Sports Picks

Minnesota


Jersey Steve Wins

Boston


Las Vegas Sports Advisors

Tampa Bay/Boston Under 9


High Roller Sports

Cubs


JACK CLAYTON

DBacks


GLEN McGREW

Nationals


BOB DONAHUE

Padres


Lt's Lock

Braves


PAUL LEINER

Phillies -145


Joey Hannigan - Playmakers

Mets

 

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Insider Sports Report

Toronto/Chicago White Sox (MLB) UNDER 9.5

 

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CAPPERS ACCESS

Tue (MLB) Tigers
Tue (MLB) Cubs

 

[the duke]

Sports Advisors

Chicago Cubs (86-57) at St. Louis (77-66)

The slumping Cubs look to get back on track and extend their lead in the N.L. Central when they send Ryan Dempster (15-6, 2.99 ERA) to the mound to open a three-game series against the archrival Cardinals and Kyle Lohse (13-6, 3.76).

Chicago blew a 3-1 ninth-inning lead at Cincinnati on Sunday, falling 4-3 for its seventh loss in its last eight games. Despite that result, the Cubs are still 14-3 in their last 17 road games, 4-1 in their last five on Tuesdays, and they lead the N.L. Central by 4? games over Milwaukee.

St. Louis, which was idle on Monday along with Chicago, capped a weekend home series versus Florida with a pair of wins on Saturday (5-3) and Sunday (3-1), which came on the heels of a 1-6 slump. The Redbirds are 8-5 in their last 13 games at Busch Stadium, but on the downside, they?re mired in skids of 1-4 against division rivals, 1-4 after an off day and 0-6 with Lohse on the hill.

The Cubs are 15-7 in the last 22 series meetings in this rivalry, but only 5-4 this year. In fact, the home and road teams have alternated wins and losses in all nine clashes in 2008, with Cubs winning the most recent battle at home.

After a seven-start stretch in which he yielded two earned runs or fewer each time, Dempster has stumbled a bit the last two times out, giving up seven runs in 13 innings (4.85 ERA). Still, the Cubs are 4-1 in his last five starts, and he?s 3-3 with a 3.15 ERA in 11 road efforts. In his only start against the Cardinals this season, the right-hander gave up two runs in 6 2/3 innings, winning 6-2 at home.

Lohse has been a tough-luck pitcher of late, delivering four straight quality starts (2.77 ERA) but he?s got nothing to show for it. Not only are the Cardinals winless in his last six starts, but they?re 1-8 in his last nine, scoring three runs or fewer in seven of those contests. Lohse is 7-2 with a 3.16 ERA at home and 0-1 with a 6.92 ERA in two starts against Chicago in 2008.

The under is on runs of 4-0 for the Cardinals overall, 4-1-1 for the Cardinals at home, 12-5-1 for the Cardinals following a day off and 6-2-1 when these teams face off in St. Louis. Conversely, Chicago sports over streaks of 16-5 on the road, 20-6 on the road against right-handed starters, 4-1 behind Dempster overall and 5-0 when Dempster hurls on the highway.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE

AMERICAN LEAGUE

Tampa Bay (85-57) at Boston (85-58)

The Rays, clinging to a half-game lead over the Red Sox in the A.L. East, send ace Scott Kazmir (11-6, 2.99) to the mound opposite Boston?s Daisuke Matsuzaka (16-2, 2.88) in the middle game of a crucial three-game set at Fenway Park.

The Red Sox shutout the Rays 3-0 last night to continue to close in on Tampa for the division lead. Boston has won six of its last seven overall and is on rolls of 56-20 at home, 7-1 against the A.L. East and 21-4 in Matsuzaka?s 25 starts this season (12-2 at home). Going back to last year, the Red Sox are 40-18 behind Matsuzaka, including 23-6 in his last 29 at Fenway.

Tampa Bay has lost six of its last seven overall, five straight on the road and five of its last six against A.L. East rivals. On the bright side, the Rays are 17-5 in Kazmir?s last 22 outings, including 8-1 in his last nine.

Boston now holds a slim 7-6 lead against the Rays in the season series, with the home team winning all 13 meetings. Additionally, Boston has beaten Tampa Bay nine straight times at Fenway dating back to last season, and the Red Sox are on a 46-9 run against the Rays in Beantown and 99-46 against them overall dating back several years.

Kazmir is 3-0 with a 1.93 ERA in his last four starts (all Tampa wins), and he hasn?t scattered four hits and eight walks over 11 1/3 innings in his two most recent starts (both at home). The southpaw is only 4-5 with a 3.96 ERA on the road and 0-1 with a 7.00 ERA in two starts against Boston this season. For his career, though, he?s 6-6 with a 3.02 ERA against the Red Sox, including 4-4 with a 3.02 ERA at Fenway Park.

Matsuzaka has won five straight decisions and the Red Sox are undefeated in his last seven trips to the mound. On Wednesday against Baltimore, the right-hander gave up four runs (three earned) on four hits and four walks in six innings, getting a no-decision in his team?s come-from-behind 5-4 victory. The Japanese native has allowed two earned runs or fewer in 18 of his 25 outings.

Matsuzaka is 9-2 with a 3.05 ERA at home, but 1-3 with a 3.79 ERA in six career starts against the Rays. One of those starts came on July 2 at Tampa Bay, and Matsuzaka gave up a run on two hits and five walks in five innings, getting a no-decision in his team?s 7-6 defeat.

For Tampa Bay, the over is on runs of 8-2 against the A.L. East, 8-2 overall and 5-3 on the highway. However, the under is 5-1 in Kazmir?s last six road starts, 24-9-2 in his last 35 versus winning teams and 7-3 in his last 10 outings at Fenway Park. For the Sox, the under is on runs of 8-2-1 in their last 11 overall, 5-1-1 at home, 5-1-1 behind Matsuzaka overall, 4-0 when Matsuzaka pitches at home.

ATS ADVANTAGE: BOSTON and UNDER

 

[the duke]

Yankee Capper

4 Units Philadelphia Phillies -150

3 Units Nationals/Mets Over 8.5 -120

 

[the duke]

Wise Guy Handicapping

3 Units Arizona Diamondbacks -120
2 Units Milwaukee Brewers -1.5
1 Unit Boston Red Sox -170
1 Unit Royals/Twins Over 9

 

[the duke]

Paul Leiner

100* Diamondbacks -115
25* Over 8.5 Mets/Nats
10* Phillies -145

 

[the duke]

PlusLineSports

Daily Client Information

Tuesday September 9, 2008:

Washington(Lannan) vs NY Mets(Perez)

NYMets -1.5(-105) Runline , Moneyline(-228)

Game Time: 6:10 CST September

 

[the duke]

Comps


Colorado (+105) at ATLANTA Karl Garrett

Tonight on the diamond, take Colorado over Atlanta.

The Rockies will go with Aaron Cook who is 16-9 on the season. Cook has beefed up his record with a 10-3 mark on the road this season, and has already worked 7 solid innings of 1 run ball in a home April no-decision against the Bravos.

Colorado took 3 of the 4 meetings in that set against Atlanta, and I like them to open with the win tonight.

Jorge Campillo has struggled down the stretch, and is 0-1 his last 3 efforts with 11 runs allowed in just 14 innings of work.

The Braves have dropped their last pair, and 7 of 10, and they drop another tonight.

4♦ COLORADO


Colorado (+105) at ATLANTA Drew Gordon

While I'll admit the Braves are clearly much better at Turner Field, do not make the mistake of underestimating the Rockies with their ace on the hill tonight on the road. True, the Rockies overall road record is poor (28-44 away), but that doesn't take into account their recent surge on the highway, winning 9 of their last 13 games away!

True, Cook looked nothing like an ace in his last start, getting roughed up by the Giants for 6 runs in 3 innings. But let's not get carried away, every pitcher is going to have an off-day, and fact of the matter is Cook has been downright nasty on the road, going 10-3 with a 3.57 ERA! That's almost a run lower than his ERA at Coors (4.53), and you know damn well he'll be targetting this game for a solid bounce back tonight!

The Rockies slumping offense gets just what the doctor ordered in Atlanta's Jorge Campillo tonight, as the Braves righty has been terrible over his last 6 starts, going 1-3 with a 7.39 ERA. We've seen a steady decline from Campillo as his innings pitched keeps rising, and its safe to say he's starting to fatigue. Look for the Rockies to take advantage of the struggling Campillo in this one, just like the Giants and Cubs did in his last two home starts (combined 10 runs surrendered on 14 hits over 11 2/3 innings)!

Finally, while making the postseason may need a miracle, at least Colorado has something to play for. Atlanta meanwhile, has lost 20 of 27 games, and is playing like a team counting down to the offseason. Cook is the unquestioned ace of this staff, and I expect the road-warrior will bounce back nicely tonight at Turner! Rockies roll!

Take Colorado behind Cook over Atlanta and Campillo in this MLB match up.

3♦ COLORADO


Chicago Cubs (-120) at ST. LOUIS Michael Cannon

Take the Cubs for the road win over the Cardinals tonight.

The Cubs may have hit a bump in the road, but they have been solid gold on the road winning 14 of their last 17 away from Wrigley

Ryan Dempster will get the start and he?s 15-6 with a 2.99 ERA on the year. The right-hander is 3-3 with a 3.15 ERA in 11 road starts.

Kyle Lohse will get the start for the Cards and he?s received absolutely no run support as of late. The right-hander has delivered four straight quality starts, but the Cards are winless in his last six starts and 1-8 in his last nine. They?ve scored three runs or fewer in seven of those games.

Take the Cubs as they grab the road win.

2♦ CHICAGO CUBS


Arizona (-115) at SAN FRANCISCO
Sports Gambling Hotline


Tonight look for Arizona to snap their 4-game losing streak with the win over San Francisco.

The Diamondbacks couldn't touch all-star Tim Linececum last night, but they should be able to reach tonight's starter, as Barry Zito has gone 0-4 in his last 5 starts against 'Zona, allowing 22 runs in 25 innings of work.

Arizona is still 5-2 in the season series against the Giants in the bay area this season, and southpaw hurler Doug Davis has gone 1-0 his last 2 trips to the bump.

Cheap price on the fading Snakes, so jump on them as they notch the win tonight, and snap the Giants 3 game winning streak.

Play on Arizona.

3♦ ARIZONA


Tampa Bay (+155) at BOSTON Bobby Maxwell

This has been one of the strangest rivalries this season with the home team winning all 13 games these two have played. Boston got a 3-0 win on Monday behind the pitching of Jon Lester, but the streak is ending today.

Look for the Rays and ace Scott Kazmir (11-6, 2.99 ERA) to get this one. Boston closed to within a half-game of the Rays in the battle for first place in the N.L. East with Monday's win, but Kazmir is the man Tampa wants in this situation.

Kazmir is 3-0 with a 1.93 ERA in his last four starts, all Tampa Bay victories. He hasn't allowed a run and held the opposition to four hits in his last 11.1 innings in his last two outings. He's got a 3.02 ERA in his career against the Red Sox and he's 4-4 with a 3.02 ERA at Fenway Park. He's been the victim of some bad offensive support from his team but he's pitched well against Boston.

Daisuke Matsuzaka (16-2, 2.88) goes for the Red Sox and he is just 1-3 with a 3.79 ERA in six career outings against Tampa Bay.

Backs against the wall for Tampa tonight and we're going to play these youngsters to come out fighting. Kazmir is going to deliver a gem so he won't need many runs. Play the Rays to win this one tonight and break the home-team hex.

2♦ TAMPA BAY

 

[the duke]

Comps

Rocky Atkinson


MLB | Sep 09
Arizona D-Backs vs. San Francisco Giants Arizona D-Backs -110

Arizona @ San Francisco 10:15 PM EST
Play On: 1* Arizona -110 (Davis/Zito) Listed

San Francisco is 25-45 last 3 years when playing on Tuesday. San Francisco is scoring only 3.9 runs per game overall, 3.9 runs per game at home and 3.7 runs per game against left handed starters. Zito is 3-10 with a 6.57 ERA at home this year. Arizona is 5-2 at San Francisco this year. Zito is 2-6 overall vs Arizona since 1997. Arizona needs to start winning again as they sit 1 1/2 games behind LA Dodgers in the NL West after giving up their 1st place lead. We'll recommend a small play on Arizona as your FREE play tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky



Jimmy Boyd


MLB | Sep 09
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners Total
8? un+103

1 Unit PLAY on Rangers/Mariners UNDER 8.5 (listing Padilla and Hernandez)
We'll make a small play on the Under behind a pair of quality A.L. West aces battling it out tonight. The Under is 8-2 in Hernandez's last 10 starts vs. the Rangers and 4-1 in Hernandez's last 5 home starts vs. the Rangers. The Under is 20-8-1 in Hernandez's last 29 starts overall, 12-3-2 in Hernandez's last 17 starts during game 1 of a series, and 9-2 in Hernandez's last 11 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Under is 5-1 in the Rangers last 6 vs. the American League West and 5-1 in the Rangers last 6 road games. Bet the Under tonight.





Larry Cook

MLB | Sep 09
Arizona D-Backs vs. San Francisco Giants Arizona D-Backs
-115

3* on Arizona Diamondbacks -115
(Listing Davis only)

We?ll Play Against - All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN FRANCISCO) - average hitting team (AVG = .255 to .269) against an average starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 5.20) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start. This is an 81-38 ML System hitting 68.1% over the last 5 seasons. After facing Tim Lincecum last night, the Diamondbacks will get their bats going Tuesday against Barry Zito who is 9-16 with a 5.45 ERA on the season. Bet Arizona on the road.




Black Widow

MLB | Sep 09
Florida Marlins vs. Philadelphia

Phillies Philadelphia Phillies -145

1* on Philadelphia Phillies -145
(List Kendrick only)

The Phillies should crush the Marlins at home with the NL East race in the balance. Philadelphia stepped it up to end the season last year, and they have the mentally-tough players to do the same again this season. Florida knows their chances of making the postseason are gone, and its showing. The Marlins have dropped 3 straight games heading into this contest. Kyle Kendrick pitches his best at home. Kendrick is 5-3 with a 3.69 ERA in home starts this year. He didn?t allow a single run in six scoreless innings against Florida in his last start facing the Marlins. Philly is 23-8 (+11.2 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season. Kendrick is 17-7 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season. Take Philadelphia on the Money Line.




Dave Price

MLB | Sep 09
Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets

Total 8? under-110

1 Unit PLAY on Nationals/Mets UNDER 8.5 (listing Perez and Lannan)
The Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings between these teams in New York, 4-1 in the Mets last 5 versus the N.L. East, and 5-2-1 in the Mets last 8 during game 1 of a series. The Under is 4-0-2 in the Nats last 6 Tuesday games, 4-1 in Lannan's last 5 starts during game 1 of a series, and 9-3 in Lannan's last 12 starts when their opponents scores 5 or more runs in their previous game. We'll be the Under here.


John Martin


MLB | Sep 09
Colorado Rockies vs. Atlanta Braves

Atlanta Braves-111

1 Unit on Atlanta Braves -111
(Listing Campillo)

There has been no push to make the playoffs by the Rockies this season. After winning 21 of final 22 games to make the postseason and get all the way to the world series in 2007, the Rockies have failed to get anything going to end their 2008 campaign. The Rockies are 4-5 in their last 9 games and can see their playoff chances slipping away as each day passes. All-Star pitcher Aaron Cook has been anything but an All-Star recently. The sinkerballer has struggled of late, going 2-3 with a 7.12 ERA over his last six starts. The Braves have won 80% of their home games against Colorado this season. The Rockies are scoring just 3.3 runs/game in their last 7 contests, and they are scoring a mere 4.0 runs/game on the road in 2008. Atlanta is 26-10 when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons. After getting on off day Monday, expect the Braves to put a beat down on the Rockies at home Tuesday night. Cash in with Atlanta as the favorite.




Jeff Alexander


MLB | Sep 09
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners

Seattle Mariners -146

1 Unit PLAY on Mariners -146 (listing Hernandez)
Seattle has won 6 of 9 and is coming off a big series win over the Yankees. I like the M's to keep on rolling behind their red hot ace tonight. The Mariners are 16-5 in Hernandez's last 21 starts during game 1 of a series, 11-5 in Hernandez's last 16 starts overall, and 5-2 in Hernandez's last 7 home starts. The M's have won 4 straight series openers and have taken 11 of the last 16 home meetings in this matchup. Bet the Mariners.

 

[the duke]

Comps

Jeff Benton

We will back the Reds at a nice plus price against the struggling Brewers.

Cincinnati is getting a lift from its young minor-league call-ups, as the Reds have won seven of their last 10 games, including two straight the last two days in miracle, ninth-inning fashion. On Sunday at home against the Cubs, Cincy got three runs off Kerry Wood to turn a 3-1 deficit into a 4-3 win. Then last night, down 4-1 at Milwaukee, the Reds rallied for a 5-4 victory.

Meanwhile, with the Cubs scuffling and giving the Brewers every opportunity to steal the division title, Milwaukee has refused to take it, having lost six of its last eight games ? all at home, if you can believe that.

Tonight, the pitching matchup features Jeff Suppan against Reds rookie Ramon Ramirez. Now, Suppan has been slightly above average lately, but the fact is the Brewers are only 6-5 in his 11 home starts this year. And even though Suppan has dominated Cincinnati recently, this is an entirely different Reds lineup ? one that Suppan doesn?t have much of a scouting report on.

As for Ramirez, he?s got a live arm ? see his six strikeouts in seven innings in his debut against the Giants on Aug. 30, when he gave up just three runs on five hits and two walks in a 7-6 home victory. And I think the kid is going to have a ton of success against a free-swinging and pressing Brewers lineup, which entered last night batting .236 in its previous 10 games against right-handers. Good spot play on the Reds here, as Milwaukee is clearly wilting under the September pressure.


(Based on a 1♦ to 10♦ rating system)

2♦ CINCINNATI REDS



Matt Rivers

Tuesday take the Padres at home.

San Diego has not been a good ballclub at all this season but there are some factors going our way in this thing and therefore I will back Bud Black's squad at this generous price for the second straight day.

Last week Hiorki Kuroda and the boys from Los Angeles beat Wade Leblanc in his major league debut, 6-4. I never mind a team in revenge like this when the pitching matchup is the same because more times than not it seems that we see things even up. Granted the Padres' lefty is not exactly a guy that we can trust but he at least has one start under his belt and today in a pitchers' paradise of PETCO should be alright and hold his own.

Kuroda has had a fine first season in the states and has a solid upside which we have seen this season but is still really not much above an average hurler overall. He is good and better than LeBlanc but in this one game scenario he very well may not be.

LA is the better team and has more to play for today, there is no denying that. They also have the best player on the field in Manny but Joe Torre's team is still not an offensive juggernaut at all and definitely can lose this game in this spot.

We may need an Adrian Gonzalez big fly as our offense is very lacking but there is enough here to back the home dog and that is exactly what I am going to do.

The price is right and that is the bottom line!




Jake Timlin

Tuesday selection is the Colorado Rockies.

Desperate for a road win and going with they Ace I like the Rockies plus money tonight. Yes thanks to Aaron Cook and his 10-3 road record this year I look for the Rockies to open up tonight?s series against the Braves a winner. After all thanks to the Braves sucking right now having lost 7 of their last 10 games and going with Campillo who is 1-3 with a 7.39 ERA in his last 6 starts it?s not like Colorado is catching a good team in Atlanta tonight. Plus, thanks to the Rockies going 3-1 at home against the Braves earlier this year it is clear that Colorado are in good shape to take another one in this series.

All Colorado!



Tony Weston
Well, we?re coming back with another free winner for you to enjoy as we?re taking the Chicago Cubs on the road at NL Central rival St. Louis.

These teams have beat up on each all season as the Cubs only have a 5-4 advantage against the Cardinals in their nine meetings this year. However, the Cubs are on a 3-1 run in their last four meetings against St. Louis.

Also, Chicago is 8-5 its last 13 games in St. Louis and has won 6 of its last 10 in Missouri.

Keep in mind, too, that Cardinals scheduled starting pitcher Kyle Lohse has been horrible lately, going 0-3 his last six starts. The Cardinals are 0-6 in that stretch and are 1-8 in his last nine starts. Cubs scheduled starter Ryan Dempster, on the other hand, has been pretty strong lately, having gone 3-1 in his last five starts, where the Cubs are 4-1.

Chicago will continue its winning ways against the Cardinals in St. Louis and get a strong win tonight.


3♦ CUBS (On a 1-5♦ Scale)

 

[the duke]

Comps

John Ryan

G2 Toronto Blue Jays vs. G2 Chicago White Sox (MLB) - Sep 9, 2008 8:10 PM EDT
Play: Money Line: 104 G2 Toronto Blue Jays Play Title: Toronto

Simulator 3* graded play on TORONTO ? Toronto is the hottest team in the AL and their bullpen has had a lot to do with their recent success. The group sports a 2.11 ERA and a 1.172 WHIP over the past 7 games and has allowed just 1 HR in 21.3 innings worked. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 32-14 making 29 units for 70% since 1997. The most impressive feature of this system is that the average play has been a dog of +134.3. Toronto starter Litsch is coming of a complete game shit out 4 hitter against the Twins. Toronto also in a strong role noting they are 13-4 (+11.1 Units) against the money line versus teams outscoring opposition by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season. Take Toronto.



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Frank Jordan
Arizona D-Backs vs. San Francisco Giants (MLB) - Sep 9, 2008 10:15 PM EDT
Play: Money Line: 107

San Francisco Giants Play Title: Best Bet

Arizona got dominated like so many before them by the young gun Tim Lincecum who has a shot at winning the NL Cy Young award as Brandon Webb has hit a rough patch in September. Look for Barry Zito to follow up Lincecum's outing of brilliance with one of his own. Play San Francisco




Gregg Price

Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners (MLB) - Sep 9, 2008 10:10 PM EDT
Play: Money Line: 134
Texas Rangers

Texas - We'll take the dog here as Hernandez just can't beat the Texas rangers. He is 0-3 this year and 4-7 in his career. Padilla has struggled of late, but will be up for the challenge tonight.



Brian Graves

Sport: MLB
Game: Pittsburgh vs. Houston
Date/Time: 9/9/2008 8:05PM EST
Pick: Astros

The Astros are quickly getting themselves into the wild card race and a sweep of the Pirates will mean it could be a race to finish with Milwaukee and the Mets/Phillies loser in the East. Randy Wolf has been very good for the Astros since coming over and he'll get it done again as Houston will bomb Ohlendorf right away and coast home for a 9-3 win!