Packers (46.5) @ Seahawks (-7.5)
The line movement this week has definitively been on the Seahawks. There is clearly still some doubt as to whether QB Aaron Rodgers is really going to be ready to go against Seattle at full strength. We know that he is going to play, but he didn't look great in the pocket last week against the Dallas Cowboys, and with the way the Seattle front four puts pressure on the passer, Rodgers is going to have to prove that he can move around a little bit.
Don't think that bettors don't realize that. As a result, this spread, one which opened up at -7, has risen to -7.5 (+100), and it could go higher by the time kickoff rolls around. The total of 46.5 has stayed firm all week long.
Interestingly enough, the Seahawks are relatively sharp in this game. A high 65 percent of all bets have come in on the Packers, yet the line is moving in the opposite direction of what that movement suggests. However, it should be noted that a lot of those bets came in early in the week. Expect to see this line level out in terms of percentage of bets on both sides come Sunday.
Colts (53.5) @ Patriots (-6.5)
The Patriots struggled last weekend, while the Colts really didn't have a tough time whatsoever against the Denver Broncos on the road. Bettors react to what they just saw, and not surprisingly, in spite of the fact that only 51 percent of the bets have come in on the Colts in this one, they have moved from +7 down to +6.5 and even +6 at some online sportsbooks.
That said, it's worth remembering that the three times these two teams have played against each other in the QB Andrew Luck era, the Pats have stomped the Colts by at least three touchdowns. New England doesn't have a great history in the AFC Championship Game, and last Sunday marked yet another home playoff game in which it didn't cover the spread. The opportunity is going to be there for the Colts, but it is going to take Luck figuring out how to take down yet another future Hall of Fame quarterback on the road to do so.
